AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United FC — Premier League at Vitality Stadium.
- AFC Bournemouth 10 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Leeds United FC 10 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Michael Salisbury
- Assistant 1 Marc Perry
- Assistant 2 Natalie Aspinall
- Assistant 2 Nicholas Greenhalgh (England)
5 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 10 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City FC | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool FC | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea FC | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton FC | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | AFC Bournemouth | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford FC | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds United FC | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa FC | 10 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 10 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 10 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City AFC | 10 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich Town FC | 10 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham FC | 10 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest FC | 10 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry City FC | 10 | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United FC | 10 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland AFC | 10 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace FC | 10 | 7 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | Leeds United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Apr | Newcastle United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Apr | Arsenal FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Mar | Manchester United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Mar | Burnley FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Mar | Brentford FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | AFC Bournemouth | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Apr | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Manchester United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | West Ham United FC | A | 6–4 | W |
| 21 Mar | Brentford FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Mar | Crystal Palace FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| AFC Bournemouth | Leeds United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #9 |
| 15 | Points | 14 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 4 / 3 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 5 / 2 |
| 16 | Scored | 10 |
| 14 | Conceded | 8 |
| +2 | GD | +2 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.40 |
| 40% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
80%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
30%
Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season
AFC Bournemouth this season
40%
Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season
Leeds United FC this season
AFC Bournemouth are 7th (15 pts). Leeds United FC are 9th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Bournemouth
0-15
3/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Leeds United FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Bournemouth
| Evanilson | 5 G | 4 A |
| Marcus Tavernier | 5 G | |
| Alex Scott | 1 G |
Leeds United FC
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jayden Bogle | 2 G | |
| Noah Okafor | 2 G | |
| Anton Stach | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. AFC Bournemouth get us underway at Vitality Stadium.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AFC Bournemouth side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 25' It’s gonna be a card for Eli Kroupi.
- 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 35' Karl Darlow has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 40' Leeds United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
- 41' That looks like a foul for a card for Alex Jimenez.
- 46' The crowd applauds Jayden Bogle as he leaves the pitch. Joe Rodon steps in for Leeds United FC.
- 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. AFC Bournemouth must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 56' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 60' Eli Kroupi puts AFC Bournemouth on the lead.
- 64' Leeds United FC ring the changes. Jaka Bijol has done his job and it is now time for Lukas Nmecha to step up.
- 67' Rayan has so much to prove this time. He replaces David Brooks on 67 minute.
- 68' James Hill adds to his 0 season tally! AFC Bournemouth lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Tyler Adams. He replaces Eli Kroupi on 73 minute.
- 78' Leeds United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 83' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 84' Leeds United FC ring the changes. Brenden Aaronson has done his job and it is now time for Sean Longstaff to step up.
- 85' Assisted by Tyler Adams with the perfectly-timed delivery and Rayan makes no mistake. 3-0!
- 89' Joel Piroe has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ao Tanaka on 89 minute.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Evanilson.
- 90' It is a substitution in AFC Bournemouth team. Marcus Tavernier is replaced by Alex Toth on 90 minute.
- The points are shared — AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Leeds United FC. Honours even.
Lineups
AFC Bournemouth Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
7
David Brooks ↓ Rayan 67'
-
16
Marcus Tavernier ↓ Alex Toth 90'
- 23
-
10
Ryan Christie ↓ Amine Adli 73'
- 5
- 1
- 9
- 3
- 8
-
22
Eli Kroupi ↓ Tyler Adams 73'
- 20
Bench
- 15
- 26
-
12
Tyler Adams ↑ 73'
- 29
- 18
-
21
Amine Adli ↑ 73'
- 11
-
27
Alex Toth ↑ 90'
-
37
Rayan ↑ 67'
Coach
Iraola
Leeds United FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4
- 9
- 26
-
2
Jayden Bogle ↓ Joe Rodon 46'
- 5
- 24
-
22
Ao Tanaka ↓ Joel Piroe 89'
-
19
Noah Okafor ↓ Wilfried Gnonto 64'
-
15
Jaka Bijol ↓ Lukas Nmecha 64'
- 11
- 3
Bench
- 1
-
6
Joe Rodon ↑ 46'
- 7
-
8
Sean Longstaff ↑ 84'
-
14
Lukas Nmecha ↑ 64'
- 23
-
10
Joel Piroe ↑ 89'
- 40
-
29
Wilfried Gnonto ↑ 64'
Coach
Daniel Farke
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dominic Solanke | 2 |
| Jefferson Lerma | 2 |
| Sean Longstaff | 1 |
| Liam Cooper | 1 |
| Rayan | 1 |
| Rodrigo | 1 |
| Eli Kroupi | 1 |
| Crysencio Summerville | 1 |
Head to Head
AFC Bournemouth Form
Leeds United FC Form
2026-04-22
AFC Bournemouth
2–2
Leeds United FC
D
2026-04-18
Leeds United FC
3–0
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
W
2026-04-13
Manchester United FC
1–2
Leeds United FC
W
2026-04-05
West Ham United FC
4–6
Leeds United FC
W
2026-03-21
Leeds United FC
0–0
Brentford FC
D
2026-03-15
Crystal Palace FC
0–0
Leeds United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64
AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6
Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for:
AFC Bournemouth or Leeds United FC 74% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.24
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
AFC Bournemouth or Draw
66%
Draw or Leeds United FC
60%
AFC Bournemouth or Leeds United FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
5.7%
0 – 1
5.6%
0 – 0
5.5%
2 – 0
5.2%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth
| Handicap | AFC Bournemouth covers | Push | Leeds United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 18% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 18% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

