AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United FC — Premier League at Vitality Stadium.
- AFC Bournemouth 38 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
- Leeds United FC 38 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Michael Salisbury
- Assistant 1 Marc Perry
- Assistant 2 Natalie Aspinall
- Assistant 2 Nicholas Greenhalgh (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham United FC | 38 | 39 |
| 2 | Burnley FC | 38 | 22 |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 38 | 20 |
| 4 | Arsenal FC | 38 | 85 |
| 5 | Manchester City FC | 38 | 78 |
| 6 | Manchester United FC | 38 | 71 |
| 7 | Aston Villa FC | 38 | 65 |
| 8 | Liverpool FC | 38 | 60 |
| 9 | AFC Bournemouth | 38 | 57 |
| 10 | Sunderland AFC | 38 | 54 |
| 11 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 38 | 53 |
| 12 | Brentford FC | 38 | 53 |
| 13 | Chelsea FC | 38 | 52 |
| 14 | Fulham FC | 38 | 52 |
| 15 | Newcastle United FC | 38 | 49 |
| 16 | Everton FC | 38 | 49 |
| 17 | Leeds United FC | 38 | 47 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace FC | 38 | 45 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest FC | 38 | 44 |
| 20 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 38 | 41 |
| 21 | Coventry City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Hull City AFC | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Ipswich Town FC | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | Leeds United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Apr | Newcastle United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Apr | Arsenal FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Mar | Manchester United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Mar | Burnley FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Mar | Brentford FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | AFC Bournemouth | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Apr | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Manchester United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | West Ham United FC | A | 6–4 | W |
| 21 Mar | Brentford FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Mar | Crystal Palace FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| AFC Bournemouth | Leeds United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #17 |
| 57 | Points | 47 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 13 / 18 / 7 | W / D / L | 11 / 14 / 13 |
| 58 | Scored | 49 |
| 54 | Conceded | 56 |
| +4 | GD | -7 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 34% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AFC Bournemouth are 9th (57 pts). Leeds United FC are 17th (47 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Vitality Stadium. AFC Bournemouth are looking to make home advantage count against Leeds United FC.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Adrien Truffert, as he is very good at scoring at Vitality Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AFC Bournemouth and Leeds United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AFC Bournemouth side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 25' That looks like a foul for a card for Eli Kroupi.
- 30' England international James Hill has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Leeds United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 40' The energy levels are beginning to show. Iraola might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 41' Alex Jimenez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 41.
- 46' The whistle greets Jayden Bogle as he departs to be replaced by Joe Rodon.
- 51' AFC Bournemouth have won 441 goals from 335 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 56' Ethan Ampadu, a Wales , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 60' Eli Kroupi makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and AFC Bournemouth are in front.
- 64' It is a substitution in Leeds United FC team. Jaka Bijol is replaced by Lukas Nmecha on 64 minute.
- 67' Time for substitution for AFC Bournemouth. David Brooks is replaced by Rayan.
- 68' James Hill makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and AFC Bournemouth are in front.
- 73' AFC Bournemouth ring the changes. Eli Kroupi has done his job and it is now time for Tyler Adams to step up.
- 78' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 83' Leeds United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 84' Sean Longstaff is replacing Brenden Aaronson for the Leeds United FC side.
- 85' What a moment for Rayan! That strike on 85 puts his side firmly in control.
- 89' Leeds United FC ring the changes. Ao Tanaka has done his job and it is now time for Joel Piroe to step up.
- 90' AFC Bournemouth receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- 90' Alex Toth gets the nod from AFC Bournemouth. He replaces Marcus Tavernier and will look to change the dynamic.
- The final score is 2-2.
Lineups
AFC Bournemouth Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
7
David Brooks ↓ Rayan 67'
-
16
Marcus Tavernier ↓ Alex Toth 90'
- 23
-
10
Ryan Christie ↓ Amine Adli 73'
- 5
- 1
- 9
- 3
- 8
-
22
Eli Kroupi ↓ Tyler Adams 73'
- 20
Bench
- 15
- 26
-
12
Tyler Adams ↑ 73'
- 29
- 18
-
21
Amine Adli ↑ 73'
- 11
-
27
Alex Toth ↑ 90'
-
37
Rayan ↑ 67'
Coach
Iraola
Leeds United FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4
- 9
- 26
-
2
Jayden Bogle ↓ Joe Rodon 46'
- 5
- 24
-
22
Ao Tanaka ↓ Joel Piroe 89'
-
19
Noah Okafor ↓ Wilfried Gnonto 64'
-
15
Jaka Bijol ↓ Lukas Nmecha 64'
- 11
- 3
Bench
- 1
-
6
Joe Rodon ↑ 46'
- 7
-
8
Sean Longstaff ↑ 84'
-
14
Lukas Nmecha ↑ 64'
- 23
-
10
Joel Piroe ↑ 89'
- 40
-
29
Wilfried Gnonto ↑ 64'
Coach
Daniel Farke
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dominic Solanke | 2 |
| Jefferson Lerma | 2 |
| Rodrigo | 1 |
| Eli Kroupi | 1 |
| Crysencio Summerville | 1 |
| Sam Greenwood | 1 |
| Philip Billing | 1 |
| Marcus Tavernier | 1 |
Head to Head
AFC Bournemouth Form
Leeds United FC Form
2026-04-22
AFC Bournemouth
2–2
Leeds United FC
D
2026-04-18
Leeds United FC
3–0
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
W
2026-04-13
Manchester United FC
1–2
Leeds United FC
W
2026-04-05
West Ham United FC
4–6
Leeds United FC
W
2026-03-21
Leeds United FC
0–0
Brentford FC
D
2026-03-15
Crystal Palace FC
0–0
Leeds United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.04
AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75
Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for:
AFC Bournemouth or Leeds United FC 76% + Over 2.5 goals 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.79
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
AFC Bournemouth or Draw
68%
Draw or Leeds United FC
56%
AFC Bournemouth or Leeds United FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
5.4%
2 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.7%
1 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 3
4%
0 – 2
3.5%
0 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth
| Handicap | AFC Bournemouth covers | Push | Leeds United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 13% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 19% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 16% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.