AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio, Serie A 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio — Serie A at San Siro.
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- Spezia Calcio 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniele Doveri
- Referee Marco Serra
- Referee Mauro Vivenzi
- Referee Simone Sozza
- Referee Alessandro Cipressa
- Referee Michele Grossi (Italy)
3 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 3.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan | Spezia Calcio | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Jan | Venezia FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 Jan | AS Roma | H | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Dec | Empoli FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 19 Dec | SSC Napoli | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Dec | Udinese Calcio | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at San Siro. Ninety minutes of football awaits between AC Milan and Spezia Calcio.
- 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Arkadiusz Reca made 111 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 19' Emanuel Gyasi was booked on 19.
- 23' A meaty challenge results in booking for Pierre Kalulu on 23.
- 28' Daniele Verde is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AC Milan so far.
- 32' Poor challenge from Jakub Kiwior. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 37' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 42' Spezia Calcio come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 44' The referee shows Spezia Calcio player a Yellow card on 44.
- 45' Spezia Calcio player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 46' GOAL! Rafael Leao scores on 45.
- 51' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 57' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Junior Messias comes on to replace Alexis Saelemaekers.
- 58' Kevin Agudelo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rey Manaj at the 58 minute mark.
- 62' Matteo Gabbia catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 62.
- 64' Kevin Agudelo does the damage! The net is bulging and Spezia Calcio surge ahead!
- 65' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Giulio Maggiore on 65 minutes.
- 70' Olivier Giroud gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Brahim Diaz and will look to change the dynamic.
- 75' Dimitrios Nikolaou, a Greece , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 77' A change in the Spezia Calcio ranks — Arkadiusz Reca exits the field as Salvador Ferrer enters on 77.
- 80' Another change for Spezia Calcio made on 80 minute. Giulio Maggiore leaves to be changed by Viktor Kovalenko.
- 84' Ante Rebic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rafael Leao on 84 minute.
- 89' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 89.
- 90' Simone Bastoni is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for AC Milan.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Brahim Diaz ↓ Olivier Giroud 70'
- 16
-
17
Rafael Leao ↓ Ante Rebic 84'
- 19
- 25
- 41
- 33
- 11
- 56
- 46
- 20
Bench
-
9
Olivier Giroud ↑ 70'
- 1
-
12
Ante Rebic ↑ 84'
- 83
-
2
Davide Calabria ↑ 70'
- 7
- 27
-
30
Junior Messias ↑ 57'
- 62
- 91
Coach
Stefano Pioli
Spezia Calcio Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
- 13
- 25
- 20
- 28
- 11
- 94
- 10
-
9
Rey Manaj ↓ Kevin Agudelo 58'
- 43
- 14
Bench
- 1
- 15
- 7
-
8
Viktor Kovalenko ↑ 80'
- 44
-
33
Kevin Agudelo ↑ 58'
- 22
- 31
-
21
Salvador Ferrer ↑ 77'
- 18
- 40
- 77
Coach
Thiago Motta
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 3 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Brahim Diaz | 1 |
| Daniel Maldini | 1 |
| Daniele Verde | 1 |
| Emanuel Gyasi | 1 |
| Kevin Agudelo | 1 |
| Olivier Giroud | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.28
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan or Spezia Calcio 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Spezia Calcio win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
67%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
62%
AC Milan or Spezia Calcio
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.6%
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.8%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Spezia Calcio covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

