Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio, Serie A 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2021-22
1 2
Full Time
Mon 17 Jan 2022 · 17:30 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Spezia CalcioSerie A at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Doveri
  • Referee Marco Serra
  • Referee Mauro Vivenzi
  • Referee Simone Sozza
  • Referee Alessandro Cipressa
  • Referee Michele Grossi (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Spezia Calcio H 1–2 L
09 Jan Venezia FC A 3–0 W
06 Jan AS Roma H 3–1 W
22 Dec Empoli FC A 4–2 W
19 Dec SSC Napoli H 0–1 L
11 Dec Udinese Calcio A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan AC Milan A 2–1 W
09 Jan Genoa CFC A 1–0 W
06 Jan Hellas Verona FC H 1–2 L
22 Dec SSC Napoli A 1–0 W
19 Dec Empoli FC H 1–1 D
13 Dec AS Roma A 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' AC Milan have kicked off against Spezia Calcio. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Emanuel Gyasi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 27 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kelvin Amian Adou, as he is very good at scoring at San Siro with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 19' That is a Yellow card for Spezia Calcio. Emanuel Gyasi will be fuming at that decision.
  • 23' Pierre Kalulu picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 28' Alessandro Florenzi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 32' That is a Yellow card for Spezia Calcio. Jakub Kiwior will be fuming at that decision.
  • 37' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Theo Hernandez suffering a number of foals already.
  • 42' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 42 minutes.
  • 44' Spezia Calcio player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 45' It’s a booking for Spezia Calcio player. Ivan Provedel gets a Yellow card.
  • 46' What composure from Rafael Leao! The Portugal international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 51' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 56' Dimitrios Nikolaou, a Greece , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 57' Junior Messias has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alexis Saelemaekers on 57 minute.
  • 58' Kevin Agudelo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rey Manaj at the 58 minute mark.
  • 62' Matteo Gabbia was booked on 62.
  • 64' A stunning finish from Kevin Agudelo — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 65' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Giulio Maggiore.
  • 70' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Brahim Diaz by Olivier Giroud on 70 minute.
  • 75' Spezia Calcio is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 77' Spezia Calcio ring the changes. Arkadiusz Reca has done his job and it is now time for Salvador Ferrer to step up.
  • 80' Fresh legs for Spezia Calcio! Viktor Kovalenko comes on to replace Giulio Maggiore.
  • 84' AC Milan ring the changes. Rafael Leao has done his job and it is now time for Ante Rebic to step up.
  • 89' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Spezia Calcio player. Simone Bastoni gets a Yellow card.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Spezia Calcio take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.28 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Spezia Calcio 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan38% Draw30% Spezia Calcio32%
Actual: Spezia Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
67%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
62%
AC Milan or Spezia Calcio
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan27% Draw49% Spezia Calcio24%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.6%
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
31%
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.