AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio, Serie A 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio — Serie A at San Siro.
- AC Milan 6 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- Spezia Calcio 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniele Doveri
- Referee Marco Serra
- Referee Mauro Vivenzi
- Referee Simone Sozza
- Referee Alessandro Cipressa
- Referee Michele Grossi (Italy)
3 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 4.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | SS Lazio | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Como 1907 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | SSC Napoli | 6 | 10 |
| 9 | Frosinone Calcio | 6 | 10 |
| 10 | Atalanta BC | 6 | 9 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 6 | 8 |
| 12 | Torino FC | 6 | 7 |
| 13 | US Lecce | 6 | 6 |
| 14 | Bologna FC 1909 | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Udinese Calcio | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | Genoa CFC | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 6 | 4 |
| 19 | ACF Fiorentina | 6 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 6 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan | Spezia Calcio | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Jan | Venezia FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 Jan | AS Roma | H | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Dec | Empoli FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 19 Dec | SSC Napoli | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Dec | Udinese Calcio | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
9/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 3 G | 2 A |
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AC Milan to score. At the same time, Spezia Calcio does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and Spezia Calcio are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' Spezia Calcio is showing some good football. However, Spezia Calcio are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 19' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Emanuel Gyasi.
- 23' Poor challenge from Pierre Kalulu. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 28' Spezia Calcio fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 32' Jakub Kiwior catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 32.
- 37' Rade Krunic, a Bosnia-Herzegovina , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 42' With 1 assists to his name this season, Rafael Leao is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Spezia Calcio.
- 44' Poor challenge from Ivan Provedel. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 45' Ivan Provedel has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 45.
- 46' What composure from Rafael Leao! The Portugal international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 57' Junior Messias has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alexis Saelemaekers on 57 minute.
- 58' Spezia Calcio ring the changes. Rey Manaj has done his job and it is now time for Kevin Agudelo to step up.
- 62' The referee shows AC Milan player a Yellow card on 62.
- 64' Against the run of play, Kevin Agudelo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 65' It’s a booking for Spezia Calcio player. Giulio Maggiore gets a Yellow card.
- 70' The whistle greets Brahim Diaz as he departs to be replaced by Olivier Giroud.
- 75' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Spezia Calcio backline.
- 77' The crowd applauds Arkadiusz Reca as he leaves the pitch. Salvador Ferrer steps in for Spezia Calcio.
- 80' Another substitution for Spezia Calcio to replace Giulio Maggiore by Viktor Kovalenko on 80 minute.
- 84' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Rafael Leao exits the field as Ante Rebic enters on 84.
- 89' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Simone Bastoni. He receives a Yellow card.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — AC Milan 1-2 Spezia Calcio.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Brahim Diaz ↓ Olivier Giroud 70'
- 16
-
17
Rafael Leao ↓ Ante Rebic 84'
- 19
- 25
- 41
- 33
- 11
- 56
- 46
- 20
Bench
-
9
Olivier Giroud ↑ 70'
- 1
-
12
Ante Rebic ↑ 84'
- 83
-
2
Davide Calabria ↑ 70'
- 7
- 27
-
30
Junior Messias ↑ 57'
- 62
- 91
Coach
Stefano Pioli
Spezia Calcio Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
- 13
- 25
- 20
- 28
- 11
- 94
- 10
-
9
Rey Manaj ↓ Kevin Agudelo 58'
- 43
- 14
Bench
- 1
- 15
- 7
-
8
Viktor Kovalenko ↑ 80'
- 44
-
33
Kevin Agudelo ↑ 58'
- 22
- 31
-
21
Salvador Ferrer ↑ 77'
- 18
- 40
- 77
Coach
Thiago Motta
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 3 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Kevin Agudelo | 1 |
| Olivier Giroud | 1 |
| Sandro Tonali | 1 |
| Daniel Maldini | 1 |
| Salvatore Esposito | 1 |
| Giulio Maggiore | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.28
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan or Spezia Calcio 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Spezia Calcio win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
67%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
62%
AC Milan or Spezia Calcio
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.6%
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.8%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Spezia Calcio covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

