Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio, Serie A 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2021-22
1 2
Full Time
Mon 17 Jan 2022 · 17:30 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Spezia CalcioSerie A at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Doveri
  • Referee Marco Serra
  • Referee Mauro Vivenzi
  • Referee Simone Sozza
  • Referee Alessandro Cipressa
  • Referee Michele Grossi (Italy)
3 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 3.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Spezia Calcio H 1–2 L
09 Jan Venezia FC A 3–0 W
06 Jan AS Roma H 3–1 W
22 Dec Empoli FC A 4–2 W
19 Dec SSC Napoli H 0–1 L
11 Dec Udinese Calcio A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan AC Milan A 2–1 W
09 Jan Genoa CFC A 1–0 W
06 Jan Hellas Verona FC H 1–2 L
22 Dec SSC Napoli A 1–0 W
19 Dec Empoli FC H 1–1 D
13 Dec AS Roma A 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at San Siro. Ninety minutes of football awaits between AC Milan and Spezia Calcio.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Arkadiusz Reca made 111 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 19' Emanuel Gyasi was booked on 19.
  • 23' A meaty challenge results in booking for Pierre Kalulu on 23.
  • 28' Daniele Verde is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AC Milan so far.
  • 32' Poor challenge from Jakub Kiwior. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 37' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 42' Spezia Calcio come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 44' The referee shows Spezia Calcio player a Yellow card on 44.
  • 45' Spezia Calcio player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 46' GOAL! Rafael Leao scores on 45.
  • 51' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 57' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Junior Messias comes on to replace Alexis Saelemaekers.
  • 58' Kevin Agudelo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rey Manaj at the 58 minute mark.
  • 62' Matteo Gabbia catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 62.
  • 64' Kevin Agudelo does the damage! The net is bulging and Spezia Calcio surge ahead!
  • 65' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Giulio Maggiore on 65 minutes.
  • 70' Olivier Giroud gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Brahim Diaz and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' Dimitrios Nikolaou, a Greece , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 77' A change in the Spezia Calcio ranks — Arkadiusz Reca exits the field as Salvador Ferrer enters on 77.
  • 80' Another change for Spezia Calcio made on 80 minute. Giulio Maggiore leaves to be changed by Viktor Kovalenko.
  • 84' Ante Rebic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rafael Leao on 84 minute.
  • 89' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 89.
  • 90' Simone Bastoni is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for AC Milan.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.28 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Spezia Calcio 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan38% Draw30% Spezia Calcio32%
Actual: Spezia Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
67%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
62%
AC Milan or Spezia Calcio
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan27% Draw49% Spezia Calcio24%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.6%
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
31%
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.