Wednesday , 14 October 2026

AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio, Serie A 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2021-22
1 – 2
Full Time
Mon 17 Jan 2022 · 17:30 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio — Serie A at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Doveri
  • Referee Marco Serra
  • Referee Mauro Vivenzi
  • Referee Simone Sozza
  • Referee Alessandro Cipressa
  • Referee Michele Grossi (Italy)
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 4.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Spezia Calcio H 1–2 L
09 Jan Venezia FC A 3–0 W
06 Jan AS Roma H 3–1 W
22 Dec Empoli FC A 4–2 W
19 Dec SSC Napoli H 0–1 L
11 Dec Udinese Calcio A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan AC Milan A 2–1 W
09 Jan Genoa CFC A 1–0 W
06 Jan Hellas Verona FC H 1–2 L
22 Dec SSC Napoli A 1–0 W
19 Dec Empoli FC H 1–1 D
13 Dec AS Roma A 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
9/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Adrien Rabiot 3 G 2 A
Diego Moreira 3 G
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AC Milan to score. At the same time, Spezia Calcio does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and Spezia Calcio are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' Spezia Calcio is showing some good football. However, Spezia Calcio are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 19' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Emanuel Gyasi.
  • 23' Poor challenge from Pierre Kalulu. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 28' Spezia Calcio fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 32' Jakub Kiwior catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 32.
  • 37' Rade Krunic, a Bosnia-Herzegovina , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 42' With 1 assists to his name this season, Rafael Leao is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Spezia Calcio.
  • 44' Poor challenge from Ivan Provedel. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 45' Ivan Provedel has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 45.
  • 46' What composure from Rafael Leao! The Portugal international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 57' Junior Messias has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alexis Saelemaekers on 57 minute.
  • 58' Spezia Calcio ring the changes. Rey Manaj has done his job and it is now time for Kevin Agudelo to step up.
  • 62' The referee shows AC Milan player a Yellow card on 62.
  • 64' Against the run of play, Kevin Agudelo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 65' It’s a booking for Spezia Calcio player. Giulio Maggiore gets a Yellow card.
  • 70' The whistle greets Brahim Diaz as he departs to be replaced by Olivier Giroud.
  • 75' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Spezia Calcio backline.
  • 77' The crowd applauds Arkadiusz Reca as he leaves the pitch. Salvador Ferrer steps in for Spezia Calcio.
  • 80' Another substitution for Spezia Calcio to replace Giulio Maggiore by Viktor Kovalenko on 80 minute.
  • 84' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Rafael Leao exits the field as Ante Rebic enters on 84.
  • 89' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Simone Bastoni. He receives a Yellow card.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — AC Milan 1-2 Spezia Calcio.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.28 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Spezia Calcio 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan38% Draw30% Spezia Calcio32%
Actual: Spezia Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
67%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
62%
AC Milan or Spezia Calcio
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan27% Draw49% Spezia Calcio24%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.6%
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.