Sunday , 16 August 2026

Spezia Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2021-22
1 2
Full Time
Sat 25 Sep 2021 · 13:00 UTC Stadio Alberto Picco HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Spezia Calcio vs AC MilanSerie A at Stadio Alberto Picco.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Orsato
  • Referee Gianluca Manganiello
  • Referee Daniele Bindoni
  • Referee Davide Imperiale
  • Referee Valerio Vecchi
  • Referee Francesco Meraviglia (Italy)
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game 15.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Sep AC Milan H 1–2 L
22 Sep Juventus FC H 2–3 L
19 Sep Venezia FC A 2–1 W
12 Sep Udinese Calcio H 0–1 L
28 Aug SS Lazio A 1–6 L
23 Aug Cagliari Calcio A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Sep Spezia Calcio A 2–1 W
22 Sep Venezia FC H 2–0 W
19 Sep Juventus FC A 1–1 D
15 Sep Liverpool FC A 2–3 L
12 Sep SS Lazio H 2–0 W
29 Aug Cagliari Calcio H 4–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Spezia Calcio have kicked off against AC Milan. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Spezia Calcio is showing some good football. However, Spezia Calcio are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Janis Antiste needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
  • 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Spezia Calcio in their trying to find a way past AC Milan's compact .
  • 25' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Jacopo Sala.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 40' Supporters expect more eagerness from Petko Hristov, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Alberto Picco with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 45' It looks surprising Spezia Calcio does not make any changes. Fikayo Tomori has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Ante Rebic by Rafael Leao on 46 minute.
  • 48' Goal! Daniel Maldini scores his 14 goal in 515 matches.
  • 53' It’s high time Thiago Motta made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 58' AC Milan receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 58.
  • 59' A tactical swap from AC MilanIsmael Bennacer on, Daniel Maldini off on 59 minutes.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Salvador Ferrer. He replaces Giulio Maggiore on 64 minute.
  • 65' A change in the Spezia Calcio ranks — Jacopo Sala exits the field as Daniele Verde enters on 65.
  • 70' Both keepers have barely been tested. Spezia Calcio and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 72' Davide Calabria is ready to make an impact after coming on for Pierre Kalulu at the 72 minute mark.
  • 77' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Theo Hernandez suffering a number of foals already.
  • 79' The Spezia Calcio bench stirs into life. Emanuel Gyasi is withdrawn and David Strelec gets his opportunity.
  • 80' What a moment for Daniele Verde! That strike on 80 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 82' Brahim Diaz is ready to make an impact after coming on for Franck Kessie at the 82 minute mark.
  • 86' Assisted by Alexis Saelemaekers with the perfectly-timed delivery and Brahim Diaz makes no mistake. 1-2!
  • 89' That is a Yellow card for Spezia Calcio. Dimitrios Nikolaou will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Theo Hernandez.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.27 Spezia Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Spezia Calcio or AC Milan 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio31% Draw28% AC Milan41%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Spezia Calcio or Draw
59%
Draw or AC Milan
69%
Spezia Calcio or AC Milan
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio24% Draw47% AC Milan29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Spezia Calcio

Handicap Spezia Calcio covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 20% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
24%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.