Thursday , 2 July 2026

Spezia Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2021-22
1 2
Full Time
Sat 25 Sep 2021 · 13:00 UTC Stadio Alberto Picco HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Spezia Calcio vs AC MilanSerie A at Stadio Alberto Picco.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Orsato
  • Referee Gianluca Manganiello
  • Referee Daniele Bindoni
  • Referee Davide Imperiale
  • Referee Valerio Vecchi
  • Referee Francesco Meraviglia (Italy)
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game 15.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Sep AC Milan H 1–2 L
22 Sep Juventus FC H 2–3 L
19 Sep Venezia FC A 2–1 W
12 Sep Udinese Calcio H 0–1 L
28 Aug SS Lazio A 1–6 L
23 Aug Cagliari Calcio A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Sep Spezia Calcio A 2–1 W
22 Sep Venezia FC H 2–0 W
19 Sep Juventus FC A 1–1 D
15 Sep Liverpool FC A 2–3 L
12 Sep SS Lazio H 2–0 W
29 Aug Cagliari Calcio H 4–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Spezia Calcio and AC Milan is underway.
  • 5' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Jacopo Sala on 25 minutes.
  • 30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 40' A quiet spell here at Stadio Alberto Picco. AC Milan seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 45' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 46' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Ante Rebic departs to be replaced by Rafael Leao.
  • 48' Goal! Daniel Maldini scores his 14 goal in 515 matches.
  • 53' Mike Maignan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 58' The referee has no hesitation. Daniel Maldini is booked for AC Milan — Yellow card on 58.
  • 59' AC Milan ring the changes. Daniel Maldini has done his job and it is now time for Ismael Bennacer to step up.
  • 64' Salvador Ferrer is ready to make an impact after coming on for Giulio Maggiore at the 64 minute mark.
  • 65' Jacopo Sala makes way for Daniele Verde at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Spezia Calcio.
  • 70' AC Milan come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 72' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Pierre Kalulu departs to be replaced by Davide Calabria.
  • 77' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kelvin Amian Adou suffering a number of foals already.
  • 79' A tactical swap from Spezia CalcioDavid Strelec on, Emanuel Gyasi off on 79 minutes.
  • 80' Daniele Verde doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 82' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Franck Kessie is replaced by Brahim Diaz.
  • 86' What a moment for Brahim Diaz! That strike on 86 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 89' Spezia Calcio player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 90' Theo Hernandez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
  • With this win, AC Milan is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.27 Spezia Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Spezia Calcio or AC Milan 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio31% Draw28% AC Milan41%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Spezia Calcio or Draw
59%
Draw or AC Milan
69%
Spezia Calcio or AC Milan
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio24% Draw47% AC Milan29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Spezia Calcio

Handicap Spezia Calcio covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 20% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
24%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.