Thursday , 1 October 2026

Spezia Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2021-22
1 – 2
Full Time
Sat 25 Sep 2021 · 13:00 UTC Stadio Alberto Picco HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Spezia Calcio vs AC Milan — Serie A at Stadio Alberto Picco.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Orsato
  • Referee Gianluca Manganiello
  • Referee Daniele Bindoni
  • Referee Davide Imperiale
  • Referee Valerio Vecchi
  • Referee Francesco Meraviglia (Italy)
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 15.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Sep AC Milan H 1–2 L
22 Sep Juventus FC H 2–3 L
19 Sep Venezia FC A 2–1 W
12 Sep Udinese Calcio H 0–1 L
28 Aug SS Lazio A 1–6 L
23 Aug Cagliari Calcio A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Sep Spezia Calcio A 2–1 W
22 Sep Venezia FC H 2–0 W
19 Sep Juventus FC A 1–1 D
15 Sep Liverpool FC A 2–3 L
12 Sep SS Lazio H 2–0 W
29 Aug Cagliari Calcio H 4–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.27 Spezia Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Spezia Calcio or AC Milan 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio31% Draw28% AC Milan41%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Spezia Calcio or Draw
59%
Draw or AC Milan
69%
Spezia Calcio or AC Milan
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio24% Draw47% AC Milan29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Spezia Calcio

Handicap Spezia Calcio covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 20% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.