Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2020-21
3 0
Full Time
Sun 4 Oct 2020 · 16:00 UTC Stadio Giuseppe Meazza HT 45+5' · FT 45+3'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Spezia CalcioSerie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Paolo Valeri
  • Referee Luca Pairetto
  • Referee Marco Serra
  • Referee Rodolfo Di Vuolo
  • Referee Edoardo Raspollini

Head-to-Head

3
3
AC Milan 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals Spezia Calcio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Spezia Calcio H 3–0 W
01 Oct Rio Ave FC A 2–2 D
27 Sep FC Crotone A 2–0 W
24 Sep FK Bodø/Glimt H 3–2 W
21 Sep Bologna FC 1909 H 2–0 W
17 Sep Shamrock Rovers FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct AC Milan A 0–3 L
30 Sep Udinese Calcio A 2–0 W
27 Sep US Sassuolo Calcio H 1–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Ninety minutes of football awaits between AC Milan and Spezia Calcio.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Simon Kjaer is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Spezia Calcio.
  • 15' Spezia Calcio is showing some good football. However, Spezia Calcio are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 30' Davide Calabria, a Italy , has 3 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 32' Matteo Ricci was booked on 32.
  • 32' Fresh legs for Spezia Calcio! Roberto Piccoli comes on to replace Andrey Galabinov.
  • 37' Spezia Calcio is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 40' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Emanuel Gyasi.
  • 45' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Lorenzo Colombo as he leaves the pitch. Hakan Calhanoglu steps in for AC Milan.
  • 47' Hakan Calhanoglu has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 47.
  • 52' Spezia Calcio are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 57' What a moment for Rafael Leao! That strike on 57 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 58' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Franck Kessie comes on to replace Rade Krunic.
  • 59' It is a substitution in Spezia Calcio team. Matteo Ricci is replaced by Gennaro Acampora on 59 minute.
  • 64' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 69' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 71' The whistle greets Brahim Diaz as he departs to be replaced by Jens Hauge.
  • 76' The deadlock is broken! Theo Hernandez gets on the scoresheet on 76 minutes.
  • 77' Tommaso Pobega makes way for Luca Mora at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from Spezia Calcio.
  • 78' Assisted by Franck Kessie with the perfectly-timed delivery and Rafael Leao makes no mistake. 3-0!
  • 83' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Rafael Leao departs to be replaced by Daniel Maldini.
  • 88' The travelling Spezia Calcio supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • The points are shared — AC Milan 3-0 Spezia Calcio. Honours even.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.95 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan63% Draw23% Spezia Calcio14%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
85%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
37%
AC Milan or Spezia Calcio
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan45% Draw44% Spezia Calcio11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
12.2%
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
8.4%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 1
4.3%
4 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 20% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 24% 36%
-0.5 64% 36%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
47%
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.