AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio — Serie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
- AC Milan 5 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- Spezia Calcio 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Paolo Valeri
- Referee Luca Pairetto
- Referee Marco Serra
- Referee Rodolfo Di Vuolo
- Referee Edoardo Raspollini
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | Spezia Calcio | H | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Oct | Rio Ave FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | FC Crotone | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | FK Bodø/Glimt | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Sep | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | Shamrock Rovers FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | AC Milan | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | Udinese Calcio | A | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | US Sassuolo Calcio | H | 1–4 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' AC Milan have kicked off against Spezia Calcio. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' Kevin Agudelo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 15' AC Milan have won 603 goals from 517 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Stefano Pioli might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 25' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 32' That is a Yellow card for Spezia Calcio. Matteo Ricci will be fuming at that decision.
- 32' Roberto Piccoli gets the nod from Spezia Calcio. He replaces Andrey Galabinov and will look to change the dynamic.
- 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Riccardo Marchizza made 386 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 40' Emanuel Gyasi was booked on 40.
- 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 46' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Hakan Calhanoglu comes on to replace Lorenzo Colombo.
- 47' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Hakan Calhanoglu on 47 minutes.
- 52' Jens Hauge has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 57' Against the run of play, Rafael Leao has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 58' The whistle greets Rade Krunic as he departs to be replaced by Franck Kessie.
- 59' Spezia Calcio manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gennaro Acampora is hanging Matteo Ricci on the field on 59 minute.
- 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 69' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and Spezia Calcio are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 71' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Brahim Diaz is replaced by Jens Hauge.
- 76' A goal from the France international Theo Hernandez! He fires home on 76 to make it 2-0!
- 77' Spezia Calcio ring the changes. Tommaso Pobega has done his job and it is now time for Luca Mora to step up.
- 78' GOAL! Rafael Leao fires home to make it 3-0!
- 83' Daniel Maldini is replacing Rafael Leao for the AC Milan side.
- 88' Daniele Verde is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Spezia Calcio so far.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for AC Milan and Spezia Calcio (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Jens Hauge 71'
-
17
Rafael Leao ↓ Daniel Maldini 83'
- 19
- 24
- 99
- 2
-
8
Sandro Tonali ↓ Franck Kessie 58'
-
33
Rade Krunic ↓ Ismael Bennacer 58'
- 56
- 46
- 29
Bench
- 1
- 90
-
79
Franck Kessie ↑ 58'
-
10
Hakan Calhanoglu ↑ 46'
- 93
- 7
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↑ 58'
- 20
-
27
Daniel Maldini ↑ 83'
-
15
Jens Hauge ↑ 71'
Coach
Stefano Pioli
Spezia Calcio Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 77
- 5
- 7
- 9
-
8
Matteo Ricci ↓ Gennaro Acampora 59'
- 25
- 28
- 11
-
31
Daniele Verde ↓ Kevin Agudelo 59'
-
26
Tommaso Pobega ↓ Luca Mora 77'
Bench
- 17
- 12
- 39
-
16
Paolo Bartolomei ↑ 77'
- 97
-
6
Luca Mora ↑ 77'
-
4
Gennaro Acampora ↑ 59'
- 20
- 69
- 10
-
91
Roberto Piccoli ↑ 32'
-
80
Kevin Agudelo ↑ 59'
Coach
Vincenzo Italiano
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 3 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 1 |
| Sandro Tonali | 1 |
| Daniel Maldini | 1 |
| Salvatore Esposito | 1 |
| Giulio Maggiore | 1 |
| Przemyslaw Wisniewski | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.95
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77
Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
85%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
37%
AC Milan or Spezia Calcio
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
12.2%
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
8.4%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 1
4.3%
4 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Spezia Calcio covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 20% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 24% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

