AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio — Serie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
- AC Milan 11 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
- Spezia Calcio 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Paolo Valeri
- Referee Luca Pairetto
- Referee Marco Serra
- Referee Rodolfo Di Vuolo
- Referee Edoardo Raspollini
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | Spezia Calcio | H | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Oct | Rio Ave FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | FC Crotone | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | FK Bodø/Glimt | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Sep | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | Shamrock Rovers FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | AC Milan | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | Udinese Calcio | A | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | US Sassuolo Calcio | H | 1–4 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza as AC Milan face off against Spezia Calcio in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' Spezia Calcio have won 244 goals from 228 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' Spezia Calcio are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 30' A quiet spell here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Spezia Calcio seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 32' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Matteo Ricci.
- 32' It is a substitution in Spezia Calcio team. Andrey Galabinov is replaced by Roberto Piccoli on 32 minute.
- 37' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 40' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Emanuel Gyasi on 40 minutes.
- 45' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Spezia Calcio that had 228 games and scored 244 goals.
- 46' Hakan Calhanoglu is replacing Lorenzo Colombo for the AC Milan side.
- 47' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Hakan Calhanoglu gets a Yellow card.
- 52' The travelling Spezia Calcio supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 57' Rafael Leao puts AC Milan on the lead.
- 58' The whistle greets Rade Krunic as he departs to be replaced by Franck Kessie.
- 59' Matteo Ricci makes way for Gennaro Acampora at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Spezia Calcio.
- 64' It looks like no one’s ball. Spezia Calcio is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 69' It looks surprising Spezia Calcio does not make any changes. Daniel Maldini has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 71' Brahim Diaz makes way for Jens Hauge at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
- 76' Brilliant from the ! Theo Hernandez makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 76.
- 77' The crowd applauds Tommaso Pobega as he leaves the pitch. Luca Mora steps in for Spezia Calcio.
- 78' A goal from the Portugal international Rafael Leao! He fires home on 78 to make it 3-0!
- 83' AC Milan make a change. Rafael Leao trudges off to be replaced by Daniel Maldini on 83 minutes.
- 88' It’s high time Vincenzo Italiano made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- Spezia Calcio will have plenty to reflect on. AC Milan were simply the better side today.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Jens Hauge 71'
-
17
Rafael Leao ↓ Daniel Maldini 83'
- 19
- 24
- 99
- 2
-
8
Sandro Tonali ↓ Franck Kessie 58'
-
33
Rade Krunic ↓ Ismael Bennacer 58'
- 56
- 46
- 29
Bench
- 1
- 90
-
79
Franck Kessie ↑ 58'
-
10
Hakan Calhanoglu ↑ 46'
- 93
- 7
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↑ 58'
- 20
-
27
Daniel Maldini ↑ 83'
-
15
Jens Hauge ↑ 71'
Coach
Stefano Pioli
Spezia Calcio Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 77
- 5
- 7
- 9
-
8
Matteo Ricci ↓ Gennaro Acampora 59'
- 25
- 28
- 11
-
31
Daniele Verde ↓ Kevin Agudelo 59'
-
26
Tommaso Pobega ↓ Luca Mora 77'
Bench
- 17
- 12
- 39
-
16
Paolo Bartolomei ↑ 77'
- 97
-
6
Luca Mora ↑ 77'
-
4
Gennaro Acampora ↑ 59'
- 20
- 69
- 10
-
91
Roberto Piccoli ↑ 32'
-
80
Kevin Agudelo ↑ 59'
Coach
Vincenzo Italiano
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 3 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Emanuel Gyasi | 1 |
| Kevin Agudelo | 1 |
| Olivier Giroud | 1 |
| Sandro Tonali | 1 |
| Daniel Maldini | 1 |
| Salvatore Esposito | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.95
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77
Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
85%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
37%
AC Milan or Spezia Calcio
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
12.2%
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
8.4%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 1
4.3%
4 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Spezia Calcio covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 20% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 24% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

