Sunday , 15 November 2026

AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2020-21
3 – 0
Full Time
Sun 4 Oct 2020 · 16:00 UTC Stadio Giuseppe Meazza HT 45+5' · FT 45+3'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio — Serie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Paolo Valeri
  • Referee Luca Pairetto
  • Referee Marco Serra
  • Referee Rodolfo Di Vuolo
  • Referee Edoardo Raspollini

Head-to-Head

3
3
AC Milan 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals Spezia Calcio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Spezia Calcio H 3–0 W
01 Oct Rio Ave FC A 2–2 D
27 Sep FC Crotone A 2–0 W
24 Sep FK Bodø/Glimt H 3–2 W
21 Sep Bologna FC 1909 H 2–0 W
17 Sep Shamrock Rovers FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct AC Milan A 0–3 L
30 Sep Udinese Calcio A 2–0 W
27 Sep US Sassuolo Calcio H 1–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Adrien Rabiot 5 G 4 A
Alphadjo Cisse 5 G
Diego Moreira 4 G 3 A
Christian Pulisic 4 G 1 A
Goncalo Ramos 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza as AC Milan face off against Spezia Calcio in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' Spezia Calcio have won 244 goals from 228 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' Spezia Calcio are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' A quiet spell here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Spezia Calcio seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 32' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Matteo Ricci.
  • 32' It is a substitution in Spezia Calcio team. Andrey Galabinov is replaced by Roberto Piccoli on 32 minute.
  • 37' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 40' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Emanuel Gyasi on 40 minutes.
  • 45' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Spezia Calcio that had 228 games and scored 244 goals.
  • 46' Hakan Calhanoglu is replacing Lorenzo Colombo for the AC Milan side.
  • 47' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Hakan Calhanoglu gets a Yellow card.
  • 52' The travelling Spezia Calcio supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 57' Rafael Leao puts AC Milan on the lead.
  • 58' The whistle greets Rade Krunic as he departs to be replaced by Franck Kessie.
  • 59' Matteo Ricci makes way for Gennaro Acampora at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Spezia Calcio.
  • 64' It looks like no one’s ball. Spezia Calcio is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 69' It looks surprising Spezia Calcio does not make any changes. Daniel Maldini has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 71' Brahim Diaz makes way for Jens Hauge at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
  • 76' Brilliant from the ! Theo Hernandez makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 76.
  • 77' The crowd applauds Tommaso Pobega as he leaves the pitch. Luca Mora steps in for Spezia Calcio.
  • 78' A goal from the Portugal international Rafael Leao! He fires home on 78 to make it 3-0!
  • 83' AC Milan make a change. Rafael Leao trudges off to be replaced by Daniel Maldini on 83 minutes.
  • 88' It’s high time Vincenzo Italiano made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • Spezia Calcio will have plenty to reflect on. AC Milan were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.95 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan63% Draw23% Spezia Calcio14%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
85%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
37%
AC Milan or Spezia Calcio
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan45% Draw44% Spezia Calcio11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
12.2%
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
8.4%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 1
4.3%
4 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 20% 61%
-1.5 39% — 61%
-1 39% 24% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
47% ✗
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.