Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2020-21
3 – 0
Full Time
Sun 4 Oct 2020 · 16:00 UTC Stadio Giuseppe Meazza HT 45+5' · FT 45+3'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio — Serie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Paolo Valeri
  • Referee Luca Pairetto
  • Referee Marco Serra
  • Referee Rodolfo Di Vuolo
  • Referee Edoardo Raspollini

Head-to-Head

3
3
AC Milan 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals Spezia Calcio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Spezia Calcio H 3–0 W
01 Oct Rio Ave FC A 2–2 D
27 Sep FC Crotone A 2–0 W
24 Sep FK Bodø/Glimt H 3–2 W
21 Sep Bologna FC 1909 H 2–0 W
17 Sep Shamrock Rovers FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct AC Milan A 0–3 L
30 Sep Udinese Calcio A 2–0 W
27 Sep US Sassuolo Calcio H 1–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' AC Milan have kicked off against Spezia Calcio. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' Kevin Agudelo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' AC Milan have won 603 goals from 517 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Stefano Pioli might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 32' That is a Yellow card for Spezia Calcio. Matteo Ricci will be fuming at that decision.
  • 32' Roberto Piccoli gets the nod from Spezia Calcio. He replaces Andrey Galabinov and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Riccardo Marchizza made 386 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 40' Emanuel Gyasi was booked on 40.
  • 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 46' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Hakan Calhanoglu comes on to replace Lorenzo Colombo.
  • 47' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Hakan Calhanoglu on 47 minutes.
  • 52' Jens Hauge has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 57' Against the run of play, Rafael Leao has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 58' The whistle greets Rade Krunic as he departs to be replaced by Franck Kessie.
  • 59' Spezia Calcio manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gennaro Acampora is hanging Matteo Ricci on the field on 59 minute.
  • 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 69' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and Spezia Calcio are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 71' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Brahim Diaz is replaced by Jens Hauge.
  • 76' A goal from the France international Theo Hernandez! He fires home on 76 to make it 2-0!
  • 77' Spezia Calcio ring the changes. Tommaso Pobega has done his job and it is now time for Luca Mora to step up.
  • 78' GOAL! Rafael Leao fires home to make it 3-0!
  • 83' Daniel Maldini is replacing Rafael Leao for the AC Milan side.
  • 88' Daniele Verde is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Spezia Calcio so far.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for AC Milan and Spezia Calcio (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.95 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan63% Draw23% Spezia Calcio14%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
85%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
37%
AC Milan or Spezia Calcio
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan45% Draw44% Spezia Calcio11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
12.2%
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
8.4%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 1
4.3%
4 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 20% 61%
-1.5 39% — 61%
-1 39% 24% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
47% ✗
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.