Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2020-21
3 0
Full Time
Sun 4 Oct 2020 · 16:00 UTC Stadio Giuseppe Meazza HT 45+5' · FT 45+3'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Spezia CalcioSerie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Paolo Valeri
  • Referee Luca Pairetto
  • Referee Marco Serra
  • Referee Rodolfo Di Vuolo
  • Referee Edoardo Raspollini

Head-to-Head

3
3
AC Milan 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals Spezia Calcio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Spezia Calcio H 3–0 W
01 Oct Rio Ave FC A 2–2 D
27 Sep FC Crotone A 2–0 W
24 Sep FK Bodo/Glimt H 3–2 W
21 Sep Bologna FC 1909 H 2–0 W
17 Sep Shamrock Rovers FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct AC Milan A 0–3 L
30 Sep Udinese Calcio A 2–0 W
27 Sep US Sassuolo Calcio H 1–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! AC Milan welcome Spezia Calcio for this crunch clash at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Luca Mora suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' Simon Kjaer has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 418 appearances.
  • 20' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 25' Rade Krunic has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 32' Spezia Calcio receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 32.
  • 32' The crowd applauds Andrey Galabinov as he leaves the pitch. Roberto Piccoli steps in for Spezia Calcio.
  • 37' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and Spezia Calcio are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 40' Emanuel Gyasi is having his name booked by the referee on 40.
  • 45' Spezia Calcio fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 46' Another change for AC Milan made on 46 minute. Lorenzo Colombo leaves to be changed by Hakan Calhanoglu.
  • 47' The referee shows AC Milan player a Yellow card on 47.
  • 52' The travelling Spezia Calcio supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 57' Rafael Leao adds to his 1 season tally! AC Milan lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 58' Franck Kessie is replacing Rade Krunic for the AC Milan side.
  • 59' Spezia Calcio make a change. Matteo Ricci trudges off to be replaced by Gennaro Acampora on 59 minutes.
  • 64' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 69' Gianluigi Donnarumma, a Italy , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 71' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Brahim Diaz exits the field as Jens Hauge enters on 71.
  • 76' What a moment for Theo Hernandez! That strike on 76 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 77' Another change for Spezia Calcio made on 77 minute. Tommaso Pobega leaves to be changed by Luca Mora.
  • 78' Rafael Leao is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 83' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Rafael Leao by Daniel Maldini on 83 minute.
  • 88' AC Milan have won 600 goals from 515 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Spezia Calcio.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.95 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan63% Draw23% Spezia Calcio14%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
85%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
37%
AC Milan or Spezia Calcio
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan45% Draw44% Spezia Calcio11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
12.2%
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
8.4%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 1
4.3%
4 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 20% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 24% 36%
-0.5 64% 36%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
47%
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.