Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Spezia Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2020-21
Spezia Calcio
2 – 0
Full Time
AC Milan
Sat 13 Feb 2021 · 19:45 UTC Stadio Dino Manuzzi HT 45+1' · FT 45+4'
Luca Vignali 23' Y
Simone Bastoni 24' Y
Martin Erlic 58' Y
Y 65' Diogo Dalot
Y 66' Diogo Dalot

Overview

Match Preview

Spezia Calcio vs AC Milan — Serie A at Stadio Dino Manuzzi.

Match Details

  • Referee Paolo Mazzoleni
  • Referee Juan Sacchi
  • Referee Daniele Chiffi
  • Referee Lucas Mondin
  • Referee Valerio Vecchi

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AS Roma 5 13
2 FC Internazionale Milano 5 13
3 SS Lazio 5 13
4 Cagliari Calcio 5 12
5 AC Milan 5 11
6 Frosinone Calcio 5 10
7 Juventus FC 5 10
8 Como 1907 5 10
9 SSC Napoli 5 7
10 US Sassuolo Calcio 5 7
11 Atalanta BC 5 6
12 US Lecce 5 6
13 Udinese Calcio 5 4
14 Torino FC 5 4
15 Parma Calcio 1913 5 4
16 AC Monza 5 4
17 ACF Fiorentina 5 4
18 Bologna FC 1909 5 2
19 Genoa CFC 5 1
20 Venezia FC 5 0

Head-to-Head

3
3
Spezia Calcio 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals AC Milan
Last 5 meetings
2021-02-13 Spezia Calcio 2–0 AC Milan 2020-10-04 AC Milan 3–0 Spezia Calcio

Recent Form

Spezia Calcio
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Feb AC Milan H 2–0 W
06 Feb US Sassuolo Calcio A 2–1 W
31 Jan Udinese Calcio H 0–1 L
23 Jan AS Roma A 3–4 L
16 Jan Torino FC A 0–0 D
11 Jan UC Sampdoria H 2–1 W
AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Feb Spezia Calcio A 0–2 L
07 Feb FC Crotone H 4–0 W
30 Jan Bologna FC 1909 A 2–1 W
23 Jan Atalanta BC H 0–3 L
18 Jan Cagliari Calcio A 2–0 W
09 Jan Torino FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Spezia Calcio gets underway.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Samu Castillejo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 518 appearances.
  • 15' Spezia Calcio have won 244 goals from 228 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' Emanuel Gyasi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 23' The referee calls foul for Luca Vignali. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 24' The referee has no hesitation. Simone Bastoni is booked for Spezia Calcio — Yellow card on 24.
  • 29' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Spezia Calcio and AC Milan are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 34' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 39' Both keepers have barely been tested. Spezia Calcio and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 44' Theo Hernandez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 49' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 518 games and scored 604 goals.
  • 54' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alexis Saelemaekers made 395 appearances and scored 25 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 56' Goal! Giulio Maggiore scores his 14 goal in 228 matches.
  • 58' Martin Erlic is having his name booked by the referee on 58.
  • 63' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 64' Mario Mandzukic gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Rafael Leao and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 65' Ismael Bennacer makes way for Soualiho Meite at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
  • 65' A moment of madness from Diogo Dalot on 65 minutes earns him a Yellow card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
  • 66' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Diogo Dalot.
  • 67' The deadlock is broken! Simone Bastoni gets on the scoresheet on 67 minutes.
  • 72' Spezia Calcio currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 77' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 82' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 83' AC Milan make a change. Alexis Saelemaekers trudges off to be replaced by Samu Castillejo on 83 minutes.
  • 88' Kevin Agudelo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • AC Milan will have plenty to reflect on. Spezia Calcio were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Spezia Calcio Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vincenzo Italiano

AC Milan Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Stefano Pioli

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafael Leao 3
Theo Hernandez 2
Giulio Maggiore 1
Przemyslaw Wisniewski 1
Simone Bastoni 1
Brahim Diaz 1
Daniel Maldini 1
Daniele Verde 1

Head to Head

2021-02-13 Spezia Calcio 2–0 AC Milan 2020-10-04 AC Milan 3–0 Spezia Calcio

Spezia Calcio Form

2021-02-13 Spezia Calcio 2–0 AC Milan W 2021-02-06 US Sassuolo Calcio 1–2 Spezia Calcio W 2021-01-31 Spezia Calcio 0–1 Udinese Calcio L 2021-01-23 AS Roma 4–3 Spezia Calcio L 2021-01-16 Torino FC 0–0 Spezia Calcio D 2021-01-11 Spezia Calcio 2–1 UC Sampdoria W

AC Milan Form

2021-02-13 Spezia Calcio 2–0 AC Milan L 2021-02-07 AC Milan 4–0 FC Crotone W 2021-01-30 Bologna FC 1909 1–2 AC Milan W 2021-01-23 AC Milan 0–3 Atalanta BC L 2021-01-18 Cagliari Calcio 0–2 AC Milan W 2021-01-09 AC Milan 2–0 Torino FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.25 Spezia Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Spezia Calcio or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio42% Draw29% AC Milan29%
Actual: Spezia Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Spezia Calcio or Draw
71%
Draw or AC Milan
58%
Spezia Calcio or AC Milan
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio27% Draw50% AC Milan23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
11.8%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Spezia Calcio

Handicap Spezia Calcio covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.