Thursday , 2 July 2026

Spezia Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2020-21
2 0
Full Time
Sat 13 Feb 2021 · 19:45 UTC Stadio Dino Manuzzi HT 45+1' · FT 45+4'

Overview

Match Preview

Spezia Calcio vs AC MilanSerie A at Stadio Dino Manuzzi.

Match Details

  • Referee Paolo Mazzoleni
  • Referee Juan Sacchi
  • Referee Daniele Chiffi
  • Referee Lucas Mondin
  • Referee Valerio Vecchi

Head-to-Head

3
3
Spezia Calcio 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals AC Milan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Feb AC Milan H 2–0 W
06 Feb US Sassuolo Calcio A 2–1 W
31 Jan Udinese Calcio H 0–1 L
23 Jan AS Roma A 3–4 L
16 Jan Torino FC A 0–0 D
11 Jan UC Sampdoria H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Feb Spezia Calcio A 0–2 L
07 Feb FC Crotone H 4–0 W
30 Jan Bologna FC 1909 A 2–1 W
23 Jan Atalanta BC H 0–3 L
18 Jan Cagliari Calcio A 2–0 W
09 Jan Torino FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Stadio Dino Manuzzi will turn into a battlefield for Spezia Calcio and AC Milan.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' Spezia Calcio are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 20' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 23' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Luca Vignali.
  • 24' The referee shows Spezia Calcio player a Yellow card on 24.
  • 29' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Stefano Pioli will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 34' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 39' Spezia Calcio are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's shape.
  • 44' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 49' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nahuel Estevez suffering a number of foals already.
  • 54' Fikayo Tomori is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Spezia Calcio so far.
  • 56' Giulio Maggiore makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Spezia Calcio are in front.
  • 58' The referee calls foul for Martin Erlic. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 63' Spezia Calcio are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 64' The whistle greets Rafael Leao as he departs to be replaced by Mario Mandzukic.
  • 65' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Soualiho Meite comes on to replace Ismael Bennacer.
  • 65' Diogo Dalot has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 65.
  • 66' AC Milan receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 66.
  • 67' Simone Bastoni does the damage! The net is bulging and Spezia Calcio surge ahead!
  • 72' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 77' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 82' A quiet spell here at Stadio Dino Manuzzi. Spezia Calcio seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 83' The whistle greets Alexis Saelemaekers as he departs to be replaced by Samu Castillejo.
  • 88' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • Spezia Calcio celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.25 Spezia Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Spezia Calcio or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio42% Draw29% AC Milan29%
Actual: Spezia Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Spezia Calcio or Draw
71%
Draw or AC Milan
58%
Spezia Calcio or AC Milan
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio27% Draw50% AC Milan23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
11.8%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Spezia Calcio

Handicap Spezia Calcio covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
34%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.