Sunday , 16 August 2026

Spezia Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2020-21
2 0
Full Time
Sat 13 Feb 2021 · 19:45 UTC Stadio Dino Manuzzi HT 45+1' · FT 45+4'

Overview

Match Preview

Spezia Calcio vs AC MilanSerie A at Stadio Dino Manuzzi.

Match Details

  • Referee Paolo Mazzoleni
  • Referee Juan Sacchi
  • Referee Daniele Chiffi
  • Referee Lucas Mondin
  • Referee Valerio Vecchi

Head-to-Head

3
3
Spezia Calcio 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals AC Milan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Feb AC Milan H 2–0 W
06 Feb US Sassuolo Calcio A 2–1 W
31 Jan Udinese Calcio H 0–1 L
23 Jan AS Roma A 3–4 L
16 Jan Torino FC A 0–0 D
11 Jan UC Sampdoria H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Feb Spezia Calcio A 0–2 L
07 Feb FC Crotone H 4–0 W
30 Jan Bologna FC 1909 A 2–1 W
23 Jan Atalanta BC H 0–3 L
18 Jan Cagliari Calcio A 2–0 W
09 Jan Torino FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Stadio Dino Manuzzi. Spezia Calcio are looking to make home advantage count against AC Milan.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vincenzo Italiano might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Emanuel Gyasi made 228 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' Spezia Calcio are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AC Milan backline.
  • 23' Poor challenge from Luca Vignali. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 24' Simone Bastoni has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 24.
  • 29' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mario Mandzukic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 34' Both keepers have barely been tested. Spezia Calcio and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 39' Gianluigi Donnarumma needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 44' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 49' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 54' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 56' GOAL! Giulio Maggiore fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 58' Martin Erlic picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 63' Spezia Calcio currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 64' Mario Mandzukic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rafael Leao at the 64 minute mark.
  • 65' The crowd applauds Ismael Bennacer as he leaves the pitch. Soualiho Meite steps in for AC Milan.
  • 65' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Diogo Dalot on 65 minutes.
  • 66' The referee calls foul for Diogo Dalot. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 67' A stunning finish from Simone Bastoni — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 72' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 77' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 82' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 83' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Alexis Saelemaekers departs to be replaced by Samu Castillejo.
  • 88' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.25 Spezia Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Spezia Calcio or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio42% Draw29% AC Milan29%
Actual: Spezia Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Spezia Calcio or Draw
71%
Draw or AC Milan
58%
Spezia Calcio or AC Milan
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio27% Draw50% AC Milan23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
11.8%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Spezia Calcio

Handicap Spezia Calcio covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
34%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.