1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2022-23

1. FSV Mainz 05

1 – 0

Full Time

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Sat 4 Mar 2023 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 8' Kevin Akpoguma

Y 66' Dennis Geiger

Y 81' Sebastian Rudy

Y 85' Christoph Baumgartner

Y 90' Kevin Vogt

Aymen Barkok 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Sascha Stegemann
Referee Guido Kleve
Referee Frederick Assmuth
Referee Florian Badstubner
Referee Christof Gunsch
Referee Guido Winkmann

3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 16 games · Avg 2.9 goals TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2022-09-10 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-02-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2021-09-11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2021-03-21 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	1–0	W
24 Feb	Borussia Mönchengladbach	H	4–0	W
19 Feb	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	3–2	W
11 Feb	FC Augsburg	H	3–1	W
04 Feb	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–2	L
01 Feb	FC Bayern München	H	0–4	L

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	0–1	L
25 Feb	Borussia Dortmund	H	0–1	L
17 Feb	FC Augsburg	A	0–1	L
11 Feb	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	1–3	L
04 Feb	VfL Bochum 1848	A	2–5	L
01 Feb	RB Leipzig	A	1–3	L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#6	Position	#14
7	Points	3
4	Played	4
2 / 1 / 1	W / D / L	1 / 0 / 3
10	Scored	7
6	Conceded	10
+4	GD	-3
1.75	PPG	0.75
50%	Win %	25%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

0% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 14th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/–

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/1

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/4

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	4 G
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	3 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Adam Daghim	2 G	2 A
Adam Hlozek	2 G
Ozan Kabak	1 G
Tim Lemperle	1 G
Leon Avdullahu	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim get us underway at MEWA Arena.
5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Anthony Caci, as he is very good at scoring at MEWA Arena with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
8' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Kevin Akpoguma.
13' Ihlas Bebou, a Togo centre-forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
18' The travelling TSG 1899 Hoffenheim supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
23' Israel international Munas Dabbur has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
28' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Edimilson Fernandes has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
33' Leandro Barreiro Martins makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are in front.
38' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
43' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
46' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 46 minute. Dominik Kohr leaves to be changed by Anton Stach.
51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
56' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's shape.
59' Munas Dabbur is replacing Kasper Dolberg for the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim side.
64' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have won 538 goals from 410 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
66' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 66.
69' The crowd applauds Dennis Geiger as he leaves the pitch. Finn Becker steps in for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
73' Aymen Barkok is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marcus Ingvartsen at the 73 minute mark.
78' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
81' Sebastian Rudy is having his name booked by the referee on 81.
84' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Lee Jaesung is replaced by Nelson Weiper.
85' Christoph Baumgartner catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 85.
90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kevin Vogt on 90.
90' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alexander Hack is hanging Ludovic Ajorque on the field on 90 minute.
Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

1
Finn Dahmen
42
Alexander Hack ↑ 90'
3
Aaron Martin
5
Maxim Leitsch
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 73'
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 73'
37
Delano Burgzorg
6
Anton Stach ↑ 46'
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 84'

Coach Bo Svensson

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

23
John Brooks
9
Ihlas Bebou ↑ 59'
4
Ermin Bicakcic
16
Sebastian Rudy ↑ 46'
10
Munas Dabbur ↑ 59'
29
Robert Skov ↑ 69'
37
Luca Philipp
20
Finn Becker ↑ 69'
40
Umut Tohumcu

Coach Pellegrino Matarazzo

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Andrej Kramaric	5
Jean-Paul Boetius	4
Jonathan Burkardt	4
Pavel Kaderabek	3
Ihlas Bebou	3
Phillip Tietz	2
Moussa Niakhate	2
Pierre Kunde	2

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2023-03-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2023-02-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 4–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach W 2023-02-19 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2023-02-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 FC Augsburg W 2023-02-04 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2023-02-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 FC Bayern München L

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

2023-03-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2023-02-25 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–1 Borussia Dortmund L 2023-02-17 FC Augsburg 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2023-02-11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2023-02-04 VfL Bochum 1848 5–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2023-02-01 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.9 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.09 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0571% Draw17% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim12%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.99

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	74%	26%
± 3.5	55%	45%
± 4.5	36%	64%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

88%

Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

29%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0555% Draw33% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim12%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

8.3%

2 – 0

3 – 1

7.9%

3 – 0

7.4%

1 – 1

6.6%

4 – 1

5.7%

4 – 0

5.3%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 2

4.5%

3 – 2

4.3%

5 – 1

3.4%

1 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5	34%	—	66%
-2	34%	20%	47%
-1.5	53%	—	47%
-1	53%	19%	27%
-0.5	73%	—	27%
+0.5	89%	—	11%
+1	89%	7%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

34% ✗

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.