1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2022-23

1. FSV Mainz 05

1 – 0

Full Time

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Sat 4 Mar 2023 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 8' Kevin Akpoguma

Y 66' Dennis Geiger

Y 81' Sebastian Rudy

Y 85' Christoph Baumgartner

Y 90' Kevin Vogt

Aymen Barkok 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Sascha Stegemann
Referee Guido Kleve
Referee Frederick Assmuth
Referee Florian Badstubner
Referee Christof Gunsch
Referee Guido Winkmann

19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 5.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 16 games · Avg 2.9 goals TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2022-09-10 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-02-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2021-09-11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2021-03-21 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	1–0	W
24 Feb	Borussia Monchengladbach	H	4–0	W
19 Feb	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	3–2	W
11 Feb	FC Augsburg	H	3–1	W
04 Feb	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–2	L
01 Feb	FC Bayern München	H	0–4	L

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	0–1	L
25 Feb	Borussia Dortmund	H	0–1	L
17 Feb	FC Augsburg	A	0–1	L
11 Feb	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	1–3	L
04 Feb	VfL Bochum 1848	A	2–5	L
01 Feb	RB Leipzig	A	1–3	L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#10	Position	#5
40	Points	61
34	Played	34
10 / 10 / 14	W / D / L	18 / 7 / 9
44	Scored	65
53	Conceded	52
-9	GD	+13
1.18	PPG	1.79
29%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0-15

1/4

16-30

4/2

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/1

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim get us underway at MEWA Arena.
5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
8' Kevin Akpoguma catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 8.
13' It looks like no one’s ball. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
18' Finn Becker needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
23' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
28' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
33' Leandro Barreiro Martins makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are in front.
38' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
43' Stefan Bell has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
46' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Dominik Kohr trudges off to be replaced by Anton Stach on 46 minutes.
51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Robin Zentner, as he is very good at scoring at MEWA Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
56' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
59' Fresh legs for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim! Munas Dabbur comes on to replace Kasper Dolberg.
64' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their trying to find a way past TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's compact .
66' Poor challenge from Dennis Geiger. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
69' Finn Becker gets the nod from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. He replaces Dennis Geiger and will look to change the dynamic.
73' Marcus Ingvartsen makes way for Aymen Barkok at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
78' Over 78 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
81' Sebastian Rudy has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 81.
84' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Lee Jaesung by Nelson Weiper on 84 minute.
85' Christoph Baumgartner was booked on 85.
90' The referee calls foul for Kevin Vogt. He receives a Yellow card.
90' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Alexander Hack on, Ludovic Ajorque off on 90 minutes.
1-0 the final result. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

1
Finn Dahmen
42
Alexander Hack ↑ 90'
3
Aaron Martin
5
Maxim Leitsch
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 73'
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 73'
37
Delano Burgzorg
6
Anton Stach ↑ 46'
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 84'

Coach Bo Svensson

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

23
John Brooks
9
Ihlas Bebou ↑ 59'
4
Ermin Bicakcic
16
Sebastian Rudy ↑ 46'
10
Munas Dabbur ↑ 59'
29
Robert Skov ↑ 69'
37
Luca Philipp
20
Finn Becker ↑ 69'
40
Umut Tohumcu

Coach Pellegrino Matarazzo

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Andrej Kramaric	5
Jonathan Burkardt	4
Jean-Paul Boetius	4
Pavel Kaderabek	3
Ihlas Bebou	3
Phillip Tietz	2
Moussa Niakhate	2
Pierre Kunde	2

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2023-03-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2023-02-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 4–0 Borussia Monchengladbach W 2023-02-19 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2023-02-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 FC Augsburg W 2023-02-04 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2023-02-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 FC Bayern München L

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

2023-03-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2023-02-25 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–1 Borussia Dortmund L 2023-02-17 FC Augsburg 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2023-02-11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2023-02-04 VfL Bochum 1848 5–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2023-02-01 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.71 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.31 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0552% Draw24% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim24%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.02

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	36%	64%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

76%

Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

48%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0534% Draw44% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim22%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.8%

2 – 1

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

1 – 2

6.9%

0 – 0

6.6%

2 – 2

5.9%

0 – 1

5.6%

3 – 1

5.1%

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 0

3.9%

3 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	14%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	21%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	16%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

28% ✗

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.