Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sun 19 Feb 2023 · 18:30 UTC BayArena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Guido Kleve
  • Referee Robert Schroder
  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Referee Daniel Schlager
  • Referee Markus Wollenweber
  • Referee Christof Gunsch

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–3 L
16 Feb AS Monaco FC H 2–3 L
11 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–1 W
03 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–1 L
29 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
25 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 3–2 W
11 Feb FC Augsburg H 3–1 W
04 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
01 Feb FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
28 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 H 5–2 W
25 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1. FSV Mainz 05
#6 Position #10
59 Points 40
34 Played 34
17 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
68 Scored 44
47 Conceded 53
+21 GD -9
1.74 PPG 1.18
50% Win % 29%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.09 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen45% Draw25% 1. FSV Mainz 0530%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.66
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
70%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
55%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FSV Mainz 05
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen37% Draw39% 1. FSV Mainz 0524%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.6%
0 – 0
3.9%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.5%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 15% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 20% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 15% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
22%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.