Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at BayArena.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Guido Kleve
- Referee Robert Schroder
- Referee Christian Dingert
- Referee Daniel Schlager
- Referee Markus Wollenweber
- Referee Christof Gunsch
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 16 Feb | AS Monaco FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 11 Feb | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Feb | FC Augsburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Jan | Borussia Dortmund | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Jan | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 04 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Feb | FC Bayern München | H | 0–4 | L |
| 28 Jan | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 5–2 | W |
| 25 Jan | Borussia Dortmund | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #10 |
| 59 | Points | 40 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 17 / 8 / 9 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 |
| 68 | Scored | 44 |
| 47 | Conceded | 53 |
| +21 | GD | -9 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 50% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Bayer 04 Leverkusen host 1. FSV Mainz 05 — let the battle begin!
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Bayer 04 Leverkusen winning 50% of all matches.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' Bayer 04 Leverkusen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Anthony Caci is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 25' Kerem Demirbay has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 26' Against the run of play, Anthony Caci has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 31' Bayer 04 Leverkusen currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 32' Nadiem Amiri has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 32 minutes.
- 33' A goal from the Germany international Nadiem Amiri! He fires home on 33 to make it 2-1!
- 38' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 43' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Bayer 04 Leverkusen side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 45' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Xabi Alonso.
- 46' A change in the Bayer 04 Leverkusen ranks — Odilon Kossounou exits the field as Jeremie Frimpong enters on 46.
- 49' What composure from Leandro Barreiro Martins! The Luxembourg international strokes it home. 2-2.
- 54' Bayer 04 Leverkusen looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 55' The crowd applauds Daley Sinkgraven as he leaves the pitch. Florian Wirtz steps in for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
- 55' Andreas Hanche-Olsen catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 55.
- 56' The Bayer 04 Leverkusen bench stirs into life. Daley Sinkgraven is withdrawn and Florian Wirtz gets his opportunity.
- 58' A goal from the Czech Republic international Patrik Schick! He fires home on 58 to make it 3-2!
- 62' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Piero Hincapie.
- 64' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Ludovic Ajorque trudges off to be replaced by Marcus Ingvartsen on 64 minutes.
- 69' Both keepers have barely been tested. Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 74' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Anthony Caci is withdrawn and Aaron Martin gets his opportunity.
- 75' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 75 minute. Danny da Costa leaves to be changed by Silvan Widmer.
- 79' Leandro Barreiro Martins was booked on 79.
- 80' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Red card for Amine Adli.
- 81' That is a Red card for Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Amine Adli will be fuming at that decision.
- 82' GOAL! Marcus Ingvartsen fires home to make it 3-3!
- 83' Jeremie Frimpong picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 84' Another change for Bayer 04 Leverkusen made on 84 minute. Kerem Demirbay leaves to be changed by Adam Hlozek.
- 84' The referee has no hesitation. Marcus Ingvartsen is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Yellow card on 84.
- 87' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Dominik Kohr.
- 88' The referee calls foul for Adam Hlozek. He receives a Yellow card.
- 89' Robert Andrich picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' Anton Stach makes way for Aymen Barkok at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- It finishes all square. Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1. FSV Mainz 05 share the spoils 2-3.
Lineups
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 22
- 4
- 1
-
10
Kerem Demirbay ↓ Adam Hlozek 84'
-
11
Nadiem Amiri ↓ Patrik Schick 55'
- 8
- 9
- 12
- 21
- 6
Bench
- 5
-
14
Patrik Schick ↑ 55'
- 25
-
23
Adam Hlozek ↑ 84'
- 28
-
30
Jeremie Frimpong ↑ 46'
-
27
Florian Wirtz ↑ 55'
-
3
Piero Hincapie ↑ 46'
- 18
Coach
Xabi Alonso
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Lee Jaesung ↓ Dominik Kohr 64'
- 17
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Aaron Martin 74'
- 1
- 16
- 9
- 8
-
21
Danny da Costa ↓ Silvan Widmer 74'
- 20
-
6
Anton Stach ↓ Aymen Barkok 90'
- 25
Bench
-
31
Dominik Kohr ↑ 64'
- 27
- 42
-
3
Aaron Martin ↑ 74'
- 5
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 90'
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 74'
-
11
Marcus Ingvartsen ↑ 64'
- 36
Coach
Bo Svensson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Patrik Schick | 5 |
| Lucas Alario | 4 |
| Jeremie Frimpong | 2 |
| Nadiem Amiri | 2 |
| Kai Havertz | 2 |
| Julian Brandt | 2 |
| Alejandro Grimaldo | 2 |
| Aaron Martin | 2 |
Head to Head
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2023-02-19
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2023-02-16
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–3
AS Monaco FC
L
2023-02-11
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2023-02-03
FC Augsburg
1–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2023-01-29
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–2
Borussia Dortmund
L
2023-01-25
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–0
VfL Bochum 1848
W
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2023-02-19
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2023-02-11
1. FSV Mainz 05
3–1
FC Augsburg
W
2023-02-04
1. FC Union Berlin
2–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2023-02-01
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–4
FC Bayern München
L
2023-01-28
1. FSV Mainz 05
5–2
VfL Bochum 1848
W
2023-01-25
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–2
Borussia Dortmund
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.09
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.66
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
70%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
55%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FSV Mainz 05
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.6%
0 – 0
3.9%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.5%
2 – 3
Actual
Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
| Handicap | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 15% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 20% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 15% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

