Saturday , 14 November 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sun 19 Feb 2023 · 18:30 UTC BayArena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Guido Kleve
  • Referee Robert Schroder
  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Referee Daniel Schlager
  • Referee Markus Wollenweber
  • Referee Christof Gunsch

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–3 L
16 Feb AS Monaco FC H 2–3 L
11 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–1 W
03 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–1 L
29 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
25 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 3–2 W
11 Feb FC Augsburg H 3–1 W
04 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
01 Feb FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
28 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 H 5–2 W
25 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1. FSV Mainz 05
#5 Position #12
16 Points 10
9 Played 9
5 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 5
20 Scored 18
17 Conceded 19
+3 GD -1
1.78 PPG 1.11
56% Win % 33%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (16 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Patrik Schick 8 G 2 A
Ibrahim Maza 3 G 3 A
Christian Kofane 2 G
Facundo Medina 1 G
Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez 1 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.53 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.08 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen44% Draw23% 1. FSV Mainz 0533%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 66%
34%
± 4.5 48%
52%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
67%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
56%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FSV Mainz 05
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen38% Draw35% 1. FSV Mainz 0527%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 1
6%
3 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 3
Actual
3 – 3
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%
4 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.4%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 14% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 18% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 15% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 10% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.