Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sun 19 Feb 2023 · 18:30 UTC BayArena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Guido Kleve
  • Referee Robert Schroder
  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Referee Daniel Schlager
  • Referee Markus Wollenweber
  • Referee Christof Gunsch

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–3 L
16 Feb AS Monaco FC H 2–3 L
11 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–1 W
03 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–1 L
29 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
25 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 3–2 W
11 Feb FC Augsburg H 3–1 W
04 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
01 Feb FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
28 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 H 5–2 W
25 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1. FSV Mainz 05
#5 Position #6
7 Points 7
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
10 Scored 10
5 Conceded 6
+5 GD +4
1.75 PPG 1.75
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (7 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Patrik Schick 4 G 1 A
Christian Kofane 2 G
Ibrahim Maza 1 G 1 A
Facundo Medina 1 G
Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez 1 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.11 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FSV Mainz 05 76% + Over 2.5 goals 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen42% Draw24% 1. FSV Mainz 0534%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 3.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
66%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
58%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FSV Mainz 05
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen35% Draw38% 1. FSV Mainz 0527%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.7%
0 – 2
3.3%
0 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 13% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 18% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 16% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 10% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.