Sunday , 16 August 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sun 19 Feb 2023 · 18:30 UTC BayArena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Guido Kleve
  • Referee Robert Schroder
  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Referee Daniel Schlager
  • Referee Markus Wollenweber
  • Referee Christof Gunsch

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–3 L
16 Feb AS Monaco FC H 2–3 L
11 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–1 W
03 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–1 L
29 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
25 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 3–2 W
11 Feb FC Augsburg H 3–1 W
04 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
01 Feb FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
28 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 H 5–2 W
25 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1. FSV Mainz 05
#12 Position #16
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 12th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.98 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FSV Mainz 05 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen33% Draw33% 1. FSV Mainz 0534%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
66%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
67%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FSV Mainz 05
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen22% Draw55% 1. FSV Mainz 0523%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
15.8%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
11.7%
0 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
3.5%
1 – 3
2.4%
0 – 3
2.3%
3 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 19% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 21% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
36%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.