1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Alte Foersterei.
- 1. FC Union Berlin 34 games · 39 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Philipp Huwe
- Referee Florian Badstubner
- Referee Thomas Stein
- Referee Markus Schuller
- Referee Benjamin Brand
- Referee Florian Exner
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jan | Hertha BSC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Jan | SV Werder Bremen | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Jan | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Nov | SC Freiburg | A | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Feb | FC Bayern München | H | 0–4 | L |
| 28 Jan | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 5–2 | W |
| 25 Jan | Borussia Dortmund | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Nov | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| 1. FC Union Berlin | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #10 |
| 39 | Points | 40 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 9 / 15 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 |
| 44 | Scored | 44 |
| 58 | Conceded | 53 |
| -14 | GD | -9 |
| 1.15 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 29% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
79%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
1. FC Union Berlin this season
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — 1. FC Union Berlin and 1. FSV Mainz 05 get this one started.
- 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FC Union Berlin that had 435 games and scored 363 goals.
- 15' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 20' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is showing some good football. However, 1. FSV Mainz 05 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 30' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 32' Kevin Behrens doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 37' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 42' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FC Union Berlin must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Ludovic Ajorque.
- 50' Aymen Barkok has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 55' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 56' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Dominik Kohr exits the field as Anton Stach enters on 56.
- 61' Jamie Leweling needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 12 Yellow cards this season.
- 66' A quiet spell here at Alte Foersterei. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 69' Another substitution for 1. FC Union Berlin to replace Janik Haberer by Aissa Laidouni on 69 minute.
- 71' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Ludovic Ajorque trudges off to be replaced by Marcus Ingvartsen on 71 minutes.
- 72' That is a Yellow card for 1. FC Union Berlin. Paul Seguin will be fuming at that decision.
- 77' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 79' GOAL! Marcus Ingvartsen scores on 79.
- 79' 1. FC Union Berlin manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Morten Thorsby is hanging Paul Seguin on the field on 79 minute.
- 80' Fresh legs for 1. FC Union Berlin! Niko Giesselmann comes on to replace Jerome Roussillon.
- 84' Jordan Siebatcheu doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 89' Jamie Leweling gets the nod from 1. FC Union Berlin. He replaces Sheraldo Becker and will look to change the dynamic.
- Full Time. 1. FC Union Berlin beats 1. FSV Mainz 05
Lineups
1. FC Union Berlin Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
- 5
- 8
- 26
- 31
-
14
Paul Seguin ↓ Morten Thorsby 79'
-
19
Janik Haberer ↓ Aissa Laidouni 69'
- 1
- 28
- 17
- 4
Bench
-
2
Morten Thorsby ↑ 79'
-
45
Jordan Siebatcheu ↑ 79'
- 25
- 37
-
23
Niko Giesselmann ↑ 79'
- 11
- 18
-
20
Aissa Laidouni ↑ 69'
-
40
Jamie Leweling ↑ 89'
Coach
Urs Fischer
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Lee Jaesung ↓ Aymen Barkok 71'
- 17
- 19
-
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Anton Stach 56'
- 1
- 16
- 9
- 8
-
21
Danny da Costa ↓ Maxim Leitsch 71'
- 20
- 25
Bench
- 42
- 3
-
5
Maxim Leitsch ↑ 71'
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 71'
-
11
Marcus Ingvartsen ↑ 71'
-
6
Anton Stach ↑ 56'
- 36
- 32
-
43
Brajan Gruda ↑ 89'
Coach
Bo Svensson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Taiwo Awoniyi | 4 |
| Kevin Behrens | 4 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Nadiem Amiri | 2 |
| Daniel Brosinski | 2 |
| Sebastian Andersson | 2 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Robin Gosens | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FC Union Berlin Form
2023-02-04
1. FC Union Berlin
2–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2023-01-31
1. FC Union Berlin
2–1
VfL Wolfsburg
W
2023-01-28
Hertha BSC
0–2
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2023-01-25
SV Werder Bremen
1–2
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2023-01-21
1. FC Union Berlin
3–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2022-11-13
SC Freiburg
4–1
1. FC Union Berlin
L
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2023-02-04
1. FC Union Berlin
2–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2023-02-01
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–4
FC Bayern München
L
2023-01-28
1. FSV Mainz 05
5–2
VfL Bochum 1848
W
2023-01-25
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–2
Borussia Dortmund
L
2023-01-21
VfB Stuttgart
1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2022-11-13
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
Eintracht Frankfurt
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.62
1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FC Union Berlin win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
78%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
47%
1. FC Union Berlin or 1. FSV Mainz 05
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin
| Handicap | 1. FC Union Berlin covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

