Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 4 Feb 2023 · 14:30 UTC Alte Foersterei HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Alte Foersterei.

Match Details

  • Referee Philipp Huwe
  • Referee Florian Badstubner
  • Referee Thomas Stein
  • Referee Markus Schuller
  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Referee Florian Exner

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–1 W
31 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 2–1 W
28 Jan Hertha BSC A 2–0 W
25 Jan SV Werder Bremen A 2–1 W
21 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
13 Nov SC Freiburg A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
01 Feb FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
28 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 H 5–2 W
25 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
21 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 1–1 D
13 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D

Season Stats

1. FC Union Berlin 1. FSV Mainz 05
#11 Position #10
39 Points 40
34 Played 34
10 / 9 / 15 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
44 Scored 44
58 Conceded 53
-14 GD -9
1.15 PPG 1.18
29% Win % 29%

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — 1. FC Union Berlin and 1. FSV Mainz 05 get this one started.
  • 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FC Union Berlin that had 435 games and scored 363 goals.
  • 15' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is showing some good football. However, 1. FSV Mainz 05 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 32' Kevin Behrens doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 37' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 42' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FC Union Berlin must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Ludovic Ajorque.
  • 50' Aymen Barkok has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 55' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 56' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Dominik Kohr exits the field as Anton Stach enters on 56.
  • 61' Jamie Leweling needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 12 Yellow cards this season.
  • 66' A quiet spell here at Alte Foersterei. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 69' Another substitution for 1. FC Union Berlin to replace Janik Haberer by Aissa Laidouni on 69 minute.
  • 71' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Ludovic Ajorque trudges off to be replaced by Marcus Ingvartsen on 71 minutes.
  • 72' That is a Yellow card for 1. FC Union Berlin. Paul Seguin will be fuming at that decision.
  • 77' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 79' GOAL! Marcus Ingvartsen scores on 79.
  • 79' 1. FC Union Berlin manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Morten Thorsby is hanging Paul Seguin on the field on 79 minute.
  • 80' Fresh legs for 1. FC Union Berlin! Niko Giesselmann comes on to replace Jerome Roussillon.
  • 84' Jordan Siebatcheu doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 89' Jamie Leweling gets the nod from 1. FC Union Berlin. He replaces Sheraldo Becker and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Full Time. 1. FC Union Berlin beats 1. FSV Mainz 05

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.62 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin53% Draw25% 1. FSV Mainz 0522%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
78%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
47%
1. FC Union Berlin or 1. FSV Mainz 05
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin34% Draw46% 1. FSV Mainz 0520%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
33%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.