Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, DFB-Pokal 2022-23 LAST 16

DFB-Pokal · 2022-23
Wed 1 Feb 2023 · 17:00 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimDFB-Pokal at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Christian Gittelmann
  • Referee Robert Hartmann
  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Referee Timo Gerach
  • Referee Benedikt Kempkes
  • Referee Florian Badstubner

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
27 Jan VfB Stuttgart H 2–1 W
24 Jan FC Schalke 04 A 6–1 W
20 Jan FC Bayern München H 1–1 D
12 Nov SV Werder Bremen A 2–1 W
09 Nov SC Freiburg H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
28 Jan Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–4 L
24 Jan VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D
21 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–3 L
12 Nov VfL Wolfsburg H 1–2 L
09 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt A 2–4 L

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.89 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig59% Draw23% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim18%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
82%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
41%
RB Leipzig or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig40% Draw43% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim17%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.8%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.2%
4 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 23% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
36%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.