1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FC Union Berlin 34 games · 39 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Harm Osmers
- Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
- Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
19 games this season
🟨 0.9/game
⚽ 5.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Aug | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 May | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–1 | W |
| 11 May | Borussia Dortmund | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 May | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Apr | 1. FC Koln | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Aug | Greifswalder FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 May | SC Freiburg | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | 1. FC Koln | A | 2–3 | L |
| 05 May | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 3–4 | L |
| 28 Apr | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 1. FC Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #11 |
| 40 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 10 / 9 / 15 |
| 44 | Scored | 44 |
| 53 | Conceded | 58 |
| -9 | GD | -14 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 29% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
79%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
21%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
1. FC Union Berlin this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin is underway.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 7' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a card on 7.
- 12' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FC Union Berlin backline.
- 17' It looks surprising 1. FC Union Berlin does not make any changes. Danilho Doekhi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 22' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 27' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 31' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Maxim Leitsch trudges off to be replaced by Stefan Bell on 31 minutes.
- 36' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 41' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Lucas Tousart is booked for 1. FC Union Berlin — card on 45.
- 50' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 53' A stunning finish from Nadiem Amiri — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 53' The referee calls foul for Danilho Doekhi. He receives a card.
- 58' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 63' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 65' Lucas Tousart makes way for Yorbe Vertessen at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FC Union Berlin.
- 70' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FC Union Berlin is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 72' A change in the 1. FC Union Berlin ranks — Christopher Trimmel exits the field as Janik Haberer enters on 72.
- 74' Laszlo Benes makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and 1. FC Union Berlin are in front.
- 76' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Karim Onisiwo has done his job and it is now time for Armindo Sieb to step up.
- 81' 1. FC Union Berlin is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 83' 1. FC Union Berlin ring the changes. Kevin Vogt has done his job and it is now time for Leopold Querfeld to step up.
- 85' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Anthony Caci trudges off to be replaced by Paul Nebel on 85 minutes.
- 90' Robin Gosens catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Paul Nebel 85'
- 31
- 2
- 27
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↓ Armindo Sieb 76'
- 29
- 18
-
5
Maxim Leitsch ↓ Stefan Bell 31'
- 25
-
6
Kaishu Sano ↓ Nelson Weiper 85'
- 7
Bench
- 10
-
16
Stefan Bell ↑ 31'
- 21
- 4
-
8
Paul Nebel ↑ 85'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 76'
- 1
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 85'
- 22
Coach
Bo Henriksen
1. FC Union Berlin Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5
- 17
-
29
Lucas Tousart ↓ Yorbe Vertessen 65'
- 8
-
2
Kevin Vogt ↓ Leopold Querfeld 83'
- 1
- 28
- 6
- 4
-
13
Andras Schafer ↓ Laszlo Benes 72'
- 16
Bench
- 37
-
19
Janik Haberer ↑ 72'
-
20
Laszlo Benes ↑ 72'
- 3
-
21
Tim Skarke ↑ 72'
-
7
Yorbe Vertessen ↑ 65'
- 15
- 36
-
14
Leopold Querfeld ↑ 83'
Coach
Bo Svensson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Behrens | 4 |
| Taiwo Awoniyi | 4 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Nadiem Amiri | 2 |
| Daniel Brosinski | 2 |
| Sebastian Andersson | 2 |
| Oliver Burke | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2024-08-24
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
1. FC Union Berlin
D
2024-08-16
SV Wehen Wiesbaden
1–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2024-05-18
VfL Wolfsburg
1–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2024-05-11
1. FSV Mainz 05
3–0
Borussia Dortmund
W
2024-05-05
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2024-04-28
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
1. FC Koln
D
1. FC Union Berlin Form
2024-08-24
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
1. FC Union Berlin
D
2024-08-17
Greifswalder FC
0–1
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2024-05-18
1. FC Union Berlin
2–1
SC Freiburg
W
2024-05-11
1. FC Koln
3–2
1. FC Union Berlin
L
2024-05-05
1. FC Union Berlin
3–4
VfL Bochum 1848
L
2024-04-28
Borussia Monchengladbach
0–0
1. FC Union Berlin
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or 1. FC Union Berlin 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
69%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
59%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or 1. FC Union Berlin
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.8%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | 1. FC Union Berlin covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 20% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 18% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

