Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sun 20 Aug 2023 · 13:30 UTC An der Alten Forsterei 22,012 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kevin Behrens 1' 1–0
Kevin Behrens 9' 2–0
2–1 64' Anthony Caci
Kevin Behrens 70' 3–1
Milos Pantovic 90+6' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at An der Alten Forsterei.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–1 W
13 Aug FC Astoria Walldorf A 4–0 W
27 May SV Werder Bremen H 1–0 W
20 May TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–4 L
13 May SC Freiburg H 4–2 W
06 May FC Augsburg A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–4 L
12 Aug SV 07 Elversberg A 1–0 W
27 May Borussia Dortmund A 2–2 D
21 May VfB Stuttgart H 1–4 L
13 May Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–3 L
05 May FC Schalke 04 H 2–3 L

Season Stats

1. FC Union Berlin 1. FSV Mainz 05
#11 Position #10
39 Points 40
34 Played 34
10 / 9 / 15 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
44 Scored 44
58 Conceded 53
-14 GD -9
1.15 PPG 1.18
29% Win % 29%

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.01 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + 1. FC Union Berlin to win 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin59% Draw22% 1. FSV Mainz 0519%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
81%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
41%
1. FC Union Berlin or 1. FSV Mainz 05
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin41% Draw42% 1. FSV Mainz 0517%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
5.9%
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 17% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 22% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
33%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.