Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sun 20 Aug 2023 · 13:30 UTC An der Alten Forsterei 22,012 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kevin Behrens 1' 1–0
Kevin Behrens 9' 2–0
2–1 64' Anthony Caci
Kevin Behrens 70' 3–1
Milos Pantovic 90+6' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at An der Alten Forsterei.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
5 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–1 W
13 Aug FC Astoria Walldorf A 4–0 W
27 May SV Werder Bremen H 1–0 W
20 May TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–4 L
13 May SC Freiburg H 4–2 W
06 May FC Augsburg A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–4 L
12 Aug SV 07 Elversberg A 1–0 W
27 May Borussia Dortmund A 2–2 D
21 May VfB Stuttgart H 1–4 L
13 May Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–3 L
05 May FC Schalke 04 H 2–3 L

Season Stats

1. FC Union Berlin 1. FSV Mainz 05
#17 Position #16
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FC Union Berlin are 17th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.29 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.48 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 74% + Under — clean sheet likely 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin58% Draw29% 1. FSV Mainz 0513%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes29% 0% No71%
Avg goals/match: 1.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 53%
47%
± 2.5 26%
74%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
87%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
42%
1. FC Union Berlin or 1. FSV Mainz 05
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin35% Draw56% 1. FSV Mainz 059%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
21%
0 – 0
19.5%
2 – 0
13.6%
1 – 1
11.2%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
3%
1 – 2
2.4%
4 – 0
1.9%
0 – 2
1.7%
2 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 17% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 29% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 10% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
62%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.