Saturday , 14 November 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sun 20 Aug 2023 · 13:30 UTC An der Alten Forsterei 22,012 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kevin Behrens 1' 1–0
Kevin Behrens 9' 2–0
2–1 64' Anthony Caci
Kevin Behrens 70' 3–1
Milos Pantovic 90+6' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at An der Alten Forsterei.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
10 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–1 W
13 Aug FC Astoria Walldorf A 4–0 W
27 May SV Werder Bremen H 1–0 W
20 May TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–4 L
13 May SC Freiburg H 4–2 W
06 May FC Augsburg A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–4 L
12 Aug SV 07 Elversberg A 1–0 W
27 May Borussia Dortmund A 2–2 D
21 May VfB Stuttgart H 1–4 L
13 May Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–3 L
05 May FC Schalke 04 H 2–3 L

Season Stats

1. FC Union Berlin 1. FSV Mainz 05
#16 Position #12
7 Points 10
9 Played 9
1 / 4 / 4 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 5
7 Scored 18
21 Conceded 19
-14 GD -1
0.78 PPG 1.11
11% Win % 33%

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

1. FC Union Berlin are 16th (7 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
2/3
16-30
–/3
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/6
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
Tim Skarke 2 G 1 A
Leopold Querfeld 1 G 1 A
Emmanuel Latte Lath 1 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.83 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 69% + Over 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin47% Draw22% 1. FSV Mainz 0531%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
70%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
53%
1. FC Union Berlin or 1. FSV Mainz 05
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin31% Draw40% 1. FSV Mainz 0529%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
4.8%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 0
4.5%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 0
4.1%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 18% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 17% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.