1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at An der Alten Forsterei.
- 1. FC Union Berlin 34 games · 39 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Stieler
- Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
- Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
24 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 4.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 4–1 | W |
| 13 Aug | FC Astoria Walldorf | A | 4–0 | W |
| 27 May | SV Werder Bremen | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 May | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 2–4 | L |
| 13 May | SC Freiburg | H | 4–2 | W |
| 06 May | FC Augsburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 1–4 | L |
| 12 Aug | SV 07 Elversberg | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 May | Borussia Dortmund | A | 2–2 | D |
| 21 May | VfB Stuttgart | H | 1–4 | L |
| 13 May | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 0–3 | L |
| 05 May | FC Schalke 04 | H | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| 1. FC Union Berlin | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #10 |
| 39 | Points | 40 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 9 / 15 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 |
| 44 | Scored | 44 |
| 58 | Conceded | 53 |
| -14 | GD | -9 |
| 1.15 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 29% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
79%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
1. FC Union Berlin this season
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! 1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — let the football do the talking.
- 1' The deadlock is broken! Kevin Behrens gets on the scoresheet on 1 minutes.
- 6' It looks surprising 1. FC Union Berlin does not make any changes. Edimilson Fernandes has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 9' Assisted by Christopher Trimmel with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kevin Behrens makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 10' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Kevin Behrens.
- 11' Kevin Behrens was booked on 11.
- 16' 1. FC Union Berlin looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Andrej Ilic scoring 1 goals.
- 21' Diogo Leite needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 26' 1. FC Union Berlin are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
- 31' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Jae-sung Lee gets a Yellow card.
- 36' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FC Union Berlin in their 5-3-2 trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 41' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 46' 1. FSV Mainz 05 come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 51' The referee calls foul for Dominik Kohr. He receives a Yellow card.
- 56' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 58' Poor challenge from Danny da Costa. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 60' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Dominik Kohr exits the field as Sepp van den Berg enters on 60.
- 64' Against the run of play, Anthony Caci has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 66' 1. FC Union Berlin manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Robin Gosens is hanging Jerome Roussillon on the field on 66 minute.
- 70' GOAL! Kevin Behrens fires home to make it 3-1!
- 75' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Jae-sung Lee is replaced by Aymen Barkok.
- 76' Milos Pantovic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Brenden Aaronson at the 76 minute mark.
- 80' Controversy at the stadium! Leandro Barreiro Martins argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 81' Nelson Weiper gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Danny da Costa and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' 1. FC Union Berlin currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 89' 1. FC Union Berlin make a change. Kevin Behrens trudges off to be replaced by Kevin Volland on 89 minutes.
- 90' That is a Yellow card for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Sepp van den Berg will be fuming at that decision.
- With this win, 1. FC Union Berlin is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
1. FC Union Berlin Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 5
- 26
- 31
- 1
- 28
-
17
Kevin Behrens ↓ Kevin Volland 89'
- 4
- 33
- 7
- 20
-
11
David Fofana ↓ Sheraldo Becker 66'
Bench
-
27
Sheraldo Becker ↑ 66'
- 45
-
32
Milos Pantovic ↑ 76'
-
10
Kevin Volland ↑ 89'
- 37
- 3
-
6
Robin Gosens ↑ 66'
- 18
-
36
Aljoscha Kemlein ↑ 89'
Coach
Urs Fischer
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 17
- 19
- 31
- 27
- 16
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↓ Brajan Gruda 60'
- 8
-
21
Danny da Costa ↓ Nelson Weiper 81'
- 20
-
6
Anton Stach ↓ Tom Krauss 81'
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Aymen Barkok 75'
Bench
-
3
Sepp van den Berg ↑ 60'
- 5
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 75'
-
14
Tom Krauss ↑ 81'
- 24
- 1
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 81'
-
43
Brajan Gruda ↑ 60'
- 45
Coach
Bo Svensson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Taiwo Awoniyi | 4 |
| Kevin Behrens | 4 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Daniel Brosinski | 2 |
| Sebastian Andersson | 2 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Nadiem Amiri | 2 |
| Laszlo Benes | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FC Union Berlin Form
2023-08-20
1. FC Union Berlin
4–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2023-08-13
FC Astoria Walldorf
0–4
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2023-05-27
1. FC Union Berlin
1–0
SV Werder Bremen
W
2023-05-20
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
4–2
1. FC Union Berlin
L
2023-05-13
1. FC Union Berlin
4–2
SC Freiburg
W
2023-05-06
FC Augsburg
1–0
1. FC Union Berlin
L
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.01
1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 60% + 1. FC Union Berlin to win 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FC Union Berlin win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
81%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
41%
1. FC Union Berlin or 1. FSV Mainz 05
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
5.9%
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin
| Handicap | 1. FC Union Berlin covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 17% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 22% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

