Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FC Koln vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
4 1
Full Time
Sun 31 Aug 2025 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Koln vs SC FreiburgBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Reichel
13 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug SC Freiburg H 4–1 W
24 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
17 Aug SSV Jahn Regensburg A 2–1 W
18 May 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 4–0 W
09 May 1. FC Nurnberg A 2–1 W
03 May SSV Jahn Regensburg H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug 1. FC Koln A 1–4 L
23 Aug FC Augsburg H 1–3 L
16 Aug VfL Sportfreunde Lotte A 2–0 W
17 May Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–3 L
10 May Holstein Kiel A 2–1 W
04 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D

Season Stats

1. FC Koln SC Freiburg
#14 Position #7
32 Points 47
34 Played 34
7 / 11 / 16 W / D / L 13 / 8 / 13
49 Scored 51
63 Conceded 57
-14 GD -6
0.94 PPG 1.38
21% Win % 38%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
9% Clean Sheets
1. FC Koln this season
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

1. FC Koln are 14th (32 pts). SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Koln
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
/1
61-75
3/6
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FC Koln Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.87 1. FC Koln xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Koln50% Draw24% SC Freiburg26%
Actual: 1. FC Koln win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

1. FC Koln or Draw
74%
Draw or SC Freiburg
50%
1. FC Koln or SC Freiburg
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Koln35% Draw42% SC Freiburg23%
Actual: 1. FC Koln win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.3%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Koln

Handicap 1. FC Koln covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 20% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Koln keeps clean sheet
25%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.