Sunday , 23 August 2026

1. FC Köln vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 31 Aug 2025 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug SC Freiburg H 4–1 W
24 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
17 Aug SSV Jahn Regensburg A 2–1 W
18 May 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 4–0 W
09 May 1. FC Nurnberg A 2–1 W
03 May SSV Jahn Regensburg H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug 1. FC Köln A 1–4 L
23 Aug FC Augsburg H 1–3 L
16 Aug VfL Sportfreunde Lotte A 2–0 W
17 May Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–3 L
10 May Holstein Kiel A 2–1 W
04 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D

Season Stats

1. FC Köln SC Freiburg
#17 Position #10
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FC Köln are 17th (0 pts). SC Freiburg are 10th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — 1. FC Koln and SC Freiburg get this one started.
  • Another three points for 1. FC Koln.

Lineups

1. FC Koln Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.01 1. FC Koln xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.6 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 78% + Under — clean sheet likely 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Koln47% Draw33% SC Freiburg20%
Actual: 1. FC Koln win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes30% 0% No70%
Avg goals/match: 1.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 77%
23%
± 1.5 48%
52%
± 2.5 22%
78%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

1. FC Koln or Draw
80%
Draw or SC Freiburg
53%
1. FC Koln or SC Freiburg
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Koln27% Draw60% SC Freiburg13%
Actual: 1. FC Koln win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
22.5%
1 – 0
18.7%
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
10.5%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 0
3.2%
3 – 1
2.2%
2 – 2
2%
4 – 0
0.8%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Koln

Handicap 1. FC Koln covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 12% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 26% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 15% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Koln keeps clean sheet
55%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.