Thursday , 2 July 2026

Villarreal CF vs UD Las Palmas, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Mon 30 Sep 2024 · 19:00 UTC Estadio de la Ceramica 18,159 HT 45' · FT 45'
Nicolas Pepe 45' 1–0
1–1 47' Fabio Silva
Thierno Barry 84' 2–1
Alex Baena 90+7' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Villarreal CF vs UD Las PalmasLa Liga at Estadio de la Ceramica.

Match Details

  • Referee Mario Melero Lopez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Jose Martinez Serrato (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Jose Francisco Garcia Lozano (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep UD Las Palmas H 3–1 W
26 Sep RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 2–1 W
22 Sep FC Barcelona H 1–5 L
14 Sep RCD Mallorca A 2–1 W
31 Aug Valencia CF A 1–1 D
26 Aug RC Celta de Vigo H 4–3 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Villarreal CF A 1–3 L
26 Sep Real Betis Balompie H 1–1 D
21 Sep CA Osasuna A 1–2 L
15 Sep Athletic Club H 2–3 L
01 Sep Deportivo Alaves A 0–2 L
29 Aug Real Madrid CF H 1–1 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Villarreal CF is hosting UD Las Palmas for another epic battle.
  • 5' UD Las Palmas is showing some good football. However, UD Las Palmas are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' Dario Essugo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 20' Juanma Herzog has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 42 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' It looks surprising UD Las Palmas does not make any changes. Adnan Januzaj has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 29' Alex Suarez was booked on 29.
  • 34' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 39' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Pape Gueye suffering a number of foals already.
  • 44' UD Las Palmas seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 45' Nicolas Pepe puts Villarreal CF on the lead.
  • 46' Alex Baena has so much to prove this time. He replaces Denis Suarez on 46 minute.
  • 47' What a strike from Fabio Silva! The score is 1-1.
  • 50' The referee shows UD Las Palmas player a card on 50.
  • 52' Fabio Silva was booked on 52.
  • 57' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 62' The supporters are chanting for Manuel Fuster. He replaces Oliver McBurnie on 62 minute.
  • 67' It’s high time Luis Carrion made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 72' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. UD Las Palmas needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 77' Santi Comesana is replacing Pape Gueye for the Villarreal CF side.
  • 78' Pau Cabanes is replacing Ilias Akhomach for the Villarreal CF side.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Viti. He replaces Benito Ramirez on 79 minute.
  • 84' Goal! Thierno Barry scores his 13 goal in 172 matches.
  • 86' The UD Las Palmas manager makes a substitution. Dario Essugo departs to be replaced by Mata.
  • 87' RamonTerrats Espacio is replacing Nicolas Pepe for the Villarreal CF side.
  • 88' The whistle greets Sergi Cardona as he departs to be replaced by Juan Bernat.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Villarreal CF players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.71 Villarreal CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 UD Las Palmas xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Villarreal CF47% Draw24% UD Las Palmas29%
Actual: Villarreal CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Villarreal CF or Draw
71%
Draw or UD Las Palmas
53%
Villarreal CF or UD Las Palmas
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Villarreal CF32% Draw43% UD Las Palmas25%
Actual: Villarreal CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
5.7%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Villarreal CF

Handicap Villarreal CF covers Push UD Las Palmas covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 19% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
23%
UD Las Palmas keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.