Wednesday , 30 September 2026

UD Las Palmas vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Thu 29 Aug 2024 · 19:30 UTC Estadio de Gran Canaria 31,192 HT 45' · FT 45'
Alberto Moleiro 5' 1–0
1–1 69' Vinicius Junior pen

Overview

Match Preview

UD Las Palmas vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadio de Gran Canaria.

Match Details

  • Referee Mateo Busquets Ferrer (Spain)
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 15.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug Real Madrid CF H 1–1 D
25 Aug CD Leganes A 1–2 L
16 Aug Sevilla FC H 2–2 D
26 May Deportivo Alavés H 1–1 D
19 May Cadiz CF A 0–0 D
16 May Real Betis Balompié H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug UD Las Palmas A 1–1 D
25 Aug Real Valladolid CF H 3–0 W
18 Aug RCD Mallorca A 1–1 D
01 Jun Borussia Dortmund A 2–0 W
25 May Real Betis Balompié H 0–0 D
19 May Villarreal CF A 4–4 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Estadio de Gran Canaria. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' UD Las Palmas is taking the lead after the goal scored by Alberto Moleiro on 5.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' Arda Guler has been relatively quiet despite scoring 17 goals in his last 196 appearances.
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' The 27-year-old Kylian Mbappe has been sensational this season — 19 goals and 7 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His UD Las Palmas side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 40' It’s a booking for Real Madrid CF player. Ferland Mendy gets a card.
  • 45' Endrick has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 33 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 46' Real Madrid CF ring the changes. Ferland Mendy has done his job and it is now time for Fran Garcia to step up.
  • 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carlo Ancelotti might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 56' UD Las Palmas are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 61' Benito Ramirez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alberto Moleiro at the 61 minute mark.
  • 63' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Luka Modric by Arda Guler on 63 minute.
  • 68' UD Las Palmas are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Real Madrid CF backline.
  • 69' GOAL! Vinicius Junior scores on 69.
  • 74' named a 4-1-4-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 75' That looks like a foul for a card for Luis Carrion.
  • 76' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CF — Dani Carvajal on, Lucas Vazquez off on 76 minutes.
  • 78' The UD Las Palmas manager makes a substitution. Oliver McBurnie departs to be replaced by Viti.
  • 81' UD Las Palmas make a change. Kirian Rodriguez trudges off to be replaced by Manuel Fuster on 81 minutes.
  • 86' Endrick is replacing Vinicius Junior for the Real Madrid CF side.
  • 88' Real Madrid CF player sees a card in front of him.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.21 UD Las Palmas xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: UD Las Palmas or Real Madrid CF 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
UD Las Palmas33% Draw30% Real Madrid CF37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

UD Las Palmas or Draw
62%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
67%
UD Las Palmas or Real Madrid CF
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
UD Las Palmas24% Draw48% Real Madrid CF28%
Actual: UD Las Palmas win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — UD Las Palmas

Handicap UD Las Palmas covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

UD Las Palmas keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.