Thursday , 2 July 2026

UD Las Palmas vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Thu 29 Aug 2024 · 19:30 UTC Estadio de Gran Canaria 31,192 HT 45' · FT 45'
Alberto Moleiro 5' 1–0
1–1 69' Vinicius Junior pen

Overview

Match Preview

UD Las Palmas vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at Estadio de Gran Canaria.

Match Details

  • Referee Mateo Busquets Ferrer (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug Real Madrid CF H 1–1 D
25 Aug CD Leganes A 1–2 L
16 Aug Sevilla FC H 2–2 D
26 May Deportivo Alaves H 1–1 D
19 May Cadiz CF A 0–0 D
16 May Real Betis Balompie H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug UD Las Palmas A 1–1 D
25 Aug Real Valladolid CF H 3–0 W
18 Aug RCD Mallorca A 1–1 D
01 Jun Borussia Dortmund A 2–0 W
25 May Real Betis Balompie H 0–0 D
19 May Villarreal CF A 4–4 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Estadio de Gran Canaria will turn into a battlefield for UD Las Palmas and Real Madrid CF.
  • 5' Alberto Moleiro puts UD Las Palmas on the lead.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Federico Valverde suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Antonio Rudiger has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 23 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 20' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' It looks surprising Real Madrid CF does not make any changes. Lucas Vazquez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 35' Real Madrid CF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
  • 40' Real Madrid CF player sees a card in front of him.
  • 45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Ferland Mendy is replaced by Fran Garcia.
  • 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 56' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 61' The whistle greets Alberto Moleiro as he departs to be replaced by Benito Ramirez.
  • 63' The whistle greets Luka Modric as he departs to be replaced by Arda Guler.
  • 68' It’s high time Carlo Ancelotti made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 69' GOAL! Vinicius Junior scores on 69.
  • 74' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 75' It’s gonna be a card for Luis Carrion.
  • 76' Dani Carvajal has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Vazquez on 76 minute.
  • 78' Viti has so much to prove this time. He replaces Oliver McBurnie on 78 minute.
  • 81' Manuel Fuster is replacing Kirian Rodriguez for the UD Las Palmas side.
  • 86' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 86 minute. Vinicius Junior leaves to be changed by Endrick.
  • 88' The referee shows Real Madrid CF player a card on 88.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.21 UD Las Palmas xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: UD Las Palmas or Real Madrid CF 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
UD Las Palmas33% Draw30% Real Madrid CF37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

UD Las Palmas or Draw
62%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
67%
UD Las Palmas or Real Madrid CF
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
UD Las Palmas24% Draw48% Real Madrid CF28%
Actual: UD Las Palmas win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — UD Las Palmas

Handicap UD Las Palmas covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

UD Las Palmas keeps clean sheet
26%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.