UD Las Palmas vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
UD Las Palmas vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadio de Gran Canaria.
- UD Las Palmas 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Real Madrid CF 38 games · 86 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Mateo Busquets Ferrer (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 38 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 38 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal CF | 38 | 72 |
| 4 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 38 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis Balompie | 38 | 60 |
| 6 | RC Celta de Vigo | 38 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe CF | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 38 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia CF | 38 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Elche CF | 38 | 43 |
| 14 | Deportivo Alaves | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | Sevilla FC | 38 | 43 |
| 16 | CA Osasuna | 38 | 42 |
| 17 | RCD Mallorca | 38 | 42 |
| 18 | Levante UD | 38 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona FC | 38 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 29 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug | Real Madrid CF | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | CD Leganes | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | Sevilla FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 26 May | Deportivo Alaves | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 May | Cadiz CF | A | 0–0 | D |
| 16 May | Real Betis Balompie | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug | UD Las Palmas | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | Real Valladolid CF | H | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | RCD Mallorca | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jun | Borussia Dortmund | A | 2–0 | W |
| 25 May | Real Betis Balompie | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 May | Villarreal CF | A | 4–4 | D |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Estadio de Gran Canaria will turn into a battlefield for UD Las Palmas and Real Madrid CF.
- 5' Alberto Moleiro puts UD Las Palmas on the lead.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Federico Valverde suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' Antonio Rudiger has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 23 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 20' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 25' It looks surprising Real Madrid CF does not make any changes. Lucas Vazquez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 35' Real Madrid CF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
- 40' Real Madrid CF player sees a card in front of him.
- 45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 46' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Ferland Mendy is replaced by Fran Garcia.
- 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 56' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 61' The whistle greets Alberto Moleiro as he departs to be replaced by Benito Ramirez.
- 63' The whistle greets Luka Modric as he departs to be replaced by Arda Guler.
- 68' It’s high time Carlo Ancelotti made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 69' GOAL! Vinicius Junior scores on 69.
- 74' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 75' It’s gonna be a card for Luis Carrion.
- 76' Dani Carvajal has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Vazquez on 76 minute.
- 78' Viti has so much to prove this time. He replaces Oliver McBurnie on 78 minute.
- 81' Manuel Fuster is replacing Kirian Rodriguez for the UD Las Palmas side.
- 86' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 86 minute. Vinicius Junior leaves to be changed by Endrick.
- 88' The referee shows Real Madrid CF player a card on 88.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.
Lineups
UD Las Palmas Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
-
16
Oliver McBurnie ↓ Viti 78'
- 19
- 1
- 5
- 15
- 2
-
8
Jose Campana ↓ Enzo Loiodice 81'
- 3
- 4
- 20
- 10
Bench
-
12
Enzo Loiodice ↑ 81'
- 6
-
17
Mata ↑ 78'
- 9
-
18
Viti ↑ 78'
- 23
-
11
Benito Ramirez ↑ 61'
- 28
- 26
- 30
-
14
Manuel Fuster ↑ 81'
- 21
Coach
Luis Carrion
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 22
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Rodrygo 46'
- 9
-
23
Ferland Mendy ↓ Fran Garcia 46'
- 14
-
10
Luka Modric ↓ Arda Guler 63'
-
17
Lucas Vazquez ↓ Dani Carvajal 76'
- 8
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↓ Endrick 86'
- 1
- 3
Bench
- 13
- 19
-
2
Dani Carvajal ↑ 76'
-
11
Rodrygo ↑ 46'
-
15
Arda Guler ↑ 63'
-
16
Endrick ↑ 86'
-
20
Fran Garcia ↑ 46'
- 26
- 31
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappe | 2 |
| Brahim Diaz | 2 |
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Javi Munoz | 1 |
| Alberto Moleiro | 1 |
| Rodrygo | 1 |
| Fabio Silva | 1 |
| Joselu | 1 |
Head to Head
UD Las Palmas Form
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.21
UD Las Palmas xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
UD Las Palmas or Real Madrid CF 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
UD Las Palmas or Draw
62%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
67%
UD Las Palmas or Real Madrid CF
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: UD Las Palmas win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — UD Las Palmas
| Handicap | UD Las Palmas covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 18% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 20% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
UD Las Palmas keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

