VfL Wolfsburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2022-23

VfL Wolfsburg

2 – 1

Full Time

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Sat 13 May 2023 · 13:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Ridle Baku 31' Y

Ridle Baku 32' Y

Josuha Guilavogui 49' Y

Y 51' Ihlas Bebou

Y 88' Kevin Akpoguma

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Christian Gittelmann
Referee Tobias Stieler
Referee Tobias Welz
Referee Lasse Koslowski
Referee Max Burda
Referee Vanessa Kaminski (Germany)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

VfL Wolfsburg 17 games · Avg 3.4 goals TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Last 5 meetings

2023-05-13 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2022-11-12 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg 2022-02-19 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2021-09-25 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2021-03-06 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–1 VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 May	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	2–1	W
07 May	Borussia Dortmund	A	0–6	L
30 Apr	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	3–0	W
22 Apr	VfL Bochum 1848	A	5–1	W
16 Apr	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	0–0	D
09 Apr	Borussia Monchengladbach	A	0–2	L

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 May	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–2	L
06 May	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	3–1	W
29 Apr	RB Leipzig	A	0–1	L
22 Apr	1. FC Koln	H	1–3	L
15 Apr	FC Bayern München	A	1–1	D
09 Apr	FC Schalke 04	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg		TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#16	Position	#5
29	Points	61
34	Played	34
7 / 8 / 19	W / D / L	18 / 7 / 9
45	Scored	65
69	Conceded	52
-24	GD	+13
0.85	PPG	1.79
21%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

88% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season

21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfL Wolfsburg

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/2

46-60

2/3

61-75

–/3

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0-15

1/4

16-30

4/2

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/1

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim gets underway.
5' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
15' The deadlock is broken! Jakub Kaminski gets on the scoresheet on 15 minutes.
20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
30' Christoph Baumgartner has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
31' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Ridle Baku.
32' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Ridle Baku.
37' VfL Wolfsburg is showing some good football. However, VfL Wolfsburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
42' Felix Kalu Nmecha has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
47' The home supporters are growing impatient. VfL Wolfsburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
49' Josuha Guilavogui is having his name booked by the referee on 49.
51' It’s a booking for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim player. Ihlas Bebou gets a Yellow card.
56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kasper Dolberg suffering a number of foals already.
60' It is a substitution in VfL Wolfsburg team. Mattias Svanberg is replaced by Yannick Gerhardt on 60 minute.
61' Mattias Svanberg makes way for Yannick Gerhardt at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfL Wolfsburg.
62' Munas Dabbur makes way for Robert Skov at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
67' A quiet spell here at Volkswagen Arena. VfL Wolfsburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
70' Another substitution for VfL Wolfsburg to replace Patrick Wimmer by Gian-Luca Waldschmidt on 70 minute.
73' A tactical swap from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Kasper Dolberg on, Angelino off on 73 minutes.
75' Gian-Luca Waldschmidt has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 75 minutes.
80' VfL Wolfsburg have won 479 goals from 471 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
85' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tom Bischof is hanging Grischa Promel on the field on 85 minute.
86' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Finn Becker is hanging Ihlas Bebou on the field on 86 minute.
88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kevin Akpoguma on 88.
90' The supporters are chanting for Kilian Fischer. He replaces Ridle Baku on 90 minute.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

Starting XI

1
Koen Casteels
27
Maximilian Arnold
29
Josuha Guilavogui
20
Ridle Baku ↓ Kilian Fischer 90'
32
Mattias Svanberg ↓ Yannick Gerhardt 61'
3
Sebastiaan Bornauw
23
Jonas Wind ↓ Omar Marmoush 61'
22
Felix Kalu Nmecha
16
Jakub Kaminski ↓ Nicolas Cozza 90'
39
Patrick Wimmer ↓ Gian-Luca Waldschmidt 70'
5
Mickey van de Ven

Bench

Coach Niko Kovać

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pellegrino Matarazzo

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Wout Weghorst	7
Andrej Kramaric	5
Christoph Baumgartner	4
Pavel Kaderabek	3
Jonas Wind	3
William	2
Maximilian Beier	2
Ridle Baku	2

Head to Head

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2023-05-13 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2023-05-07 Borussia Dortmund 6–0 VfL Wolfsburg L 2023-04-30 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2023-04-22 VfL Bochum 1848 1–5 VfL Wolfsburg W 2023-04-16 VfL Wolfsburg 0–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2023-04-09 Borussia Monchengladbach 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg L

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

2023-05-13 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2023-05-06 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–1 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2023-04-29 RB Leipzig 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2023-04-22 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–3 1. FC Koln L 2023-04-15 FC Bayern München 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2023-04-09 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–0 FC Schalke 04 W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.53 VfL Wolfsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.69 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 75% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

VfL Wolfsburg40% Draw25% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim35%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.22

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw

65%

Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

60%

VfL Wolfsburg or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

VfL Wolfsburg26% Draw43% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim31%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.2%

1 – 2

8.4%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

6.4%

0 – 1

0 – 2

5.7%

0 – 0

5.6%

1 – 0

5.4%

1 – 3

4.7%

2 – 0

4.7%

3 – 1

3.9%

2 – 3

3.6%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap	VfL Wolfsburg covers	Push	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	17%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	19%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	12%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.