Thursday , 2 July 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sun 7 May 2023 · 15:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs VfL WolfsburgBundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Referee Dominik Schaal
  • Referee Aarne Aarnink
  • Referee Christian Leicher
  • Referee Marcel Pelgrim
  • Referee Pascal Mueller
5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 May VfL Wolfsburg H 6–0 W
28 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–1 D
22 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt H 4–0 W
15 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 3–3 D
08 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–1 W
05 Apr RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 May Borussia Dortmund A 0–6 L
30 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–0 W
22 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 A 5–1 W
16 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–0 D
09 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–2 L
01 Apr FC Augsburg H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund VfL Wolfsburg
#2 Position #16
73 Points 29
34 Played 34
22 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 19
70 Scored 45
34 Conceded 69
+36 GD -24
2.15 PPG 0.85
65% Win % 21%

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.42 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Borussia Dortmund to win 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund77% Draw14% VfL Wolfsburg9%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 4.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
91%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
23%
Borussia Dortmund or VfL Wolfsburg
86%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund65% Draw28% VfL Wolfsburg7%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
9.4%
2 – 0
8.6%
4 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7.8%
2 – 1
7%
4 – 1
6.6%
5 – 0
5.4%
1 – 0
5%
1 – 1
4.7%
5 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
3.3%
6 – 0
Actual

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 47% 53%
-2 47% 20% 33%
-1.5 67% 33%
-1 67% 16% 17%
-0.5 83% 17%
+0.5 94% 6%
+1 94% 4% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
43%
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
4%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.