Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sun 30 Apr 2023 · 15:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Rafael Foltyn
  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Referee Jan Seidel
  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Referee Markus Sinn
  • Referee Robin Braun

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–0 W
22 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 A 5–1 W
16 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–0 D
09 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–2 L
01 Apr FC Augsburg H 2–2 D
18 Mar VfB Stuttgart A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Apr VfL Wolfsburg A 0–3 L
22 Apr FC Bayern München H 3–1 W
15 Apr 1. FC Köln A 1–1 D
08 Apr SV Werder Bremen H 2–2 D
01 Apr RB Leipzig A 3–0 W
19 Mar SC Freiburg H 1–1 D

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg 1. FSV Mainz 05
#1 Position #16
29 Points 0
34 Played 0
7 / 8 / 19 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
45 Scored 0
69 Conceded 0
-24 GD +0
0.85 PPG
21% Win %

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. VfL Wolfsburg host 1. FSV Mainz 05 — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jonas Wind makes it 1-0.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 13' A stunning finish from Sebastiaan Bornauw — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 14' The Belgium Sebastiaan Bornauw breaks the deadlock on 14 minutes. 3-0!
  • 19' With 0 assists to his name this season, Andreas Hanche-Olsen is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 24' Felix Kalu Nmecha has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
  • 28' What a strike from Jonas Wind! The score is 4-0.
  • 29' Jonas Wind does the damage! The net is bulging and VfL Wolfsburg surge ahead!
  • 34' The 26-year-old Maxence Lacroix has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 39' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 44' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both VfL Wolfsburg and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Stefan Bell. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 46' The VfL Wolfsburg bench stirs into life. Maxence Lacroix is withdrawn and Nicolas Cozza gets his opportunity.
  • 51' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
  • 54' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dominik Kohr on 54.
  • 59' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 61' The supporters are chanting for Aymen Barkok. He replaces Lee Jaesung on 61 minute.
  • 65' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Silvan Widmer trudges off to be replaced by Danny da Costa on 65 minutes.
  • 66' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 66.
  • 71' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 76' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 81' Edimilson Fernandes, a Switzerland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 83' The whistle greets Jonas Wind as he departs to be replaced by Gian-Luca Waldschmidt.
  • 86' The referee shows VfL Wolfsburg player a Yellow card on 86.
  • 90' VfL Wolfsburg ring the changes. Patrick Wimmer has done his job and it is now time for Omar Marmoush to step up.
  • 1. FSV Mainz 05 will have plenty to reflect on. VfL Wolfsburg were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.07 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.48 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + Under — clean sheet likely 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg50% Draw33% 1. FSV Mainz 0517%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes27% 0% No73%
Avg goals/match: 1.55
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 76%
24%
± 1.5 46%
54%
± 2.5 21%
79%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
83%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
50%
VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg30% Draw61% 1. FSV Mainz 059%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
23.7%
1 – 0
21.3%
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 0
11.4%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
6%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
2.6%
3 – 1
2.2%
0 – 2
2.2%
2 – 2
1.6%
4 – 0
1.1%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 14% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 28% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 12% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
62%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.