VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.
- VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Rafael Foltyn
- Referee Daniel Siebert
- Referee Jan Seidel
- Referee Christian Dingert
- Referee Markus Sinn
- Referee Robin Braun
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 5–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Apr | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Apr | FC Augsburg | H | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Apr | 1. FC Koln | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Apr | SV Werder Bremen | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Apr | RB Leipzig | A | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | SC Freiburg | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| VfL Wolfsburg | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #10 |
| 29 | Points | 40 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 7 / 8 / 19 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 |
| 45 | Scored | 44 |
| 69 | Conceded | 53 |
| -24 | GD | -9 |
| 0.85 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 21% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
48%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
6%
Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season
VfL Wolfsburg this season
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against VfL Wolfsburg and 1. FSV Mainz 05 has kicked off!
- 5' Jonas Wind doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 13' Sebastiaan Bornauw is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 14' What a moment for Sebastiaan Bornauw! That strike on 14 puts his side firmly in control.
- 19' It’s high time Bo Svensson made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 24' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 28' Jonas Wind is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 29' Goal! Jonas Wind scores his 42 goal in 105 matches.
- 34' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 39' Jakub Kaminski has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 44' Maximilian Arnold is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
- 45' The referee calls foul for Stefan Bell. He receives a Yellow card.
- 46' The VfL Wolfsburg bench stirs into life. Maxence Lacroix is withdrawn and Nicolas Cozza gets his opportunity.
- 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 54' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a Yellow card on 54.
- 59' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 61' Lee Jaesung makes way for Aymen Barkok at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 65' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Silvan Widmer is replaced by Danny da Costa.
- 66' Aaron Martin picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 71' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 76' Supporters expect more eagerness from Robin Zentner, as he is very good at scoring at Volkswagen Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 81' The travelling 1. FSV Mainz 05 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 83' Time for substitution for VfL Wolfsburg. Jonas Wind is replaced by Gian-Luca Waldschmidt.
- 86' Sebastiaan Bornauw was booked on 86.
- 90' Omar Marmoush is ready to make an impact after coming on for Patrick Wimmer at the 90 minute mark.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-0.
Lineups
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
Starting XI
-
4
Maxence Lacroix ↓ Nicolas Cozza 46'
- 1
- 27
- 29
- 20
- 32
- 3
- 23
- 22
-
16
Jakub Kaminski ↓ Kilian Fischer 90'
-
39
Patrick Wimmer ↓ Omar Marmoush 90'
Bench
-
8
Nicolas Cozza ↑ 46'
-
31
Yannick Gerhardt ↑ 83'
- 12
-
7
Gian-Luca Waldschmidt ↑ 83'
-
33
Omar Marmoush ↑ 90'
-
2
Kilian Fischer ↑ 90'
- 18
- 36
- 47
Coach
Niko Kovać
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Lee Jaesung ↓ Aymen Barkok 61'
- 17
- 19
- 31
- 27
- 16
- 9
- 8
- 20
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↓ Danny da Costa 65'
- 25
Bench
- 1
- 42
-
3
Aaron Martin ↑ 46'
-
21
Danny da Costa ↑ 65'
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 61'
- 37
-
11
Marcus Ingvartsen ↑ 61'
-
6
Anton Stach ↑ 46'
- 44
Coach
Bo Svensson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonas Wind | 7 |
| Max Kruse | 3 |
| Maximilian Arnold | 3 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 3 |
| Renato Steffen | 2 |
| Paul Nebel | 2 |
| Maximilian Philipp | 2 |
| Sebastiaan Bornauw | 2 |
Head to Head
VfL Wolfsburg Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.8
VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfL Wolfsburg win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
75%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
49%
VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
7.7%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg
| Handicap | VfL Wolfsburg covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 21% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

