Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sun 30 Apr 2023 · 15:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Rafael Foltyn
  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Referee Jan Seidel
  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Referee Markus Sinn
  • Referee Robin Braun

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–0 W
22 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 A 5–1 W
16 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–0 D
09 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–2 L
01 Apr FC Augsburg H 2–2 D
18 Mar VfB Stuttgart A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Apr VfL Wolfsburg A 0–3 L
22 Apr FC Bayern München H 3–1 W
15 Apr 1. FC Köln A 1–1 D
08 Apr SV Werder Bremen H 2–2 D
01 Apr RB Leipzig A 3–0 W
19 Mar SC Freiburg H 1–1 D

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.72 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg54% Draw25% 1. FSV Mainz 0521%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
79%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
46%
VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg37% Draw46% 1. FSV Mainz 0517%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
10.4%
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 23% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.