VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.
- VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Rafael Foltyn
- Referee Daniel Siebert
- Referee Jan Seidel
- Referee Christian Dingert
- Referee Markus Sinn
- Referee Robin Braun
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 5–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Apr | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Apr | FC Augsburg | H | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Apr | 1. FC Köln | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Apr | SV Werder Bremen | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Apr | RB Leipzig | A | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | SC Freiburg | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
48%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' VfL Wolfsburg have kicked off against 1. FSV Mainz 05. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Against the run of play, Jonas Wind has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 13' Against the run of play, Sebastiaan Bornauw has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 14' What a strike from Sebastiaan Bornauw! The score is 3-0.
- 19' Silvan Widmer needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 24' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 28' Against the run of play, Jonas Wind has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 29' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jonas Wind makes it 5-0.
- 34' Edimilson Fernandes has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 467 appearances.
- 39' Over 39 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 44' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Stefan Bell is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Yellow card on 45.
- 46' VfL Wolfsburg ring the changes. Maxence Lacroix has done his job and it is now time for Nicolas Cozza to step up.
- 51' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
- 54' Dominik Kohr is having his name booked by the referee on 54.
- 59' VfL Wolfsburg have won 509 goals from 484 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 61' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Lee Jaesung is replaced by Aymen Barkok.
- 65' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 65 minute. Silvan Widmer leaves to be changed by Danny da Costa.
- 66' Poor challenge from Aaron Martin. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 71' With 1 assists to his name this season, Leandro Barreiro Martins is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 76' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 81' Karim Onisiwo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 83' The crowd applauds Jonas Wind as he leaves the pitch. Gian-Luca Waldschmidt steps in for VfL Wolfsburg.
- 86' It’s a booking for VfL Wolfsburg player. Sebastiaan Bornauw gets a Yellow card.
- 90' The crowd applauds Patrick Wimmer as he leaves the pitch. Omar Marmoush steps in for VfL Wolfsburg.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
Starting XI
-
4
Maxence Lacroix ↓ Nicolas Cozza 46'
- 1
- 27
- 29
- 20
- 32
- 3
- 23
- 22
-
16
Jakub Kaminski ↓ Kilian Fischer 90'
-
39
Patrick Wimmer ↓ Omar Marmoush 90'
Bench
-
8
Nicolas Cozza ↑ 46'
-
31
Yannick Gerhardt ↑ 83'
- 12
-
7
Gian-Luca Waldschmidt ↑ 83'
-
33
Omar Marmoush ↑ 90'
-
2
Kilian Fischer ↑ 90'
- 18
- 36
- 47
Coach
Niko Kovać
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Lee Jaesung ↓ Aymen Barkok 61'
- 17
- 19
- 31
- 27
- 16
- 9
- 8
- 20
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↓ Danny da Costa 65'
- 25
Bench
- 1
- 42
-
3
Aaron Martin ↑ 46'
-
21
Danny da Costa ↑ 65'
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 61'
- 37
-
11
Marcus Ingvartsen ↑ 61'
-
6
Anton Stach ↑ 46'
- 44
Coach
Bo Svensson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonas Wind | 7 |
| Maximilian Arnold | 3 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 3 |
| Max Kruse | 3 |
| Robin Quaison | 2 |
| Renato Steffen | 2 |
| Paul Nebel | 2 |
| Maximilian Philipp | 2 |
Head to Head
VfL Wolfsburg Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.72
VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfL Wolfsburg win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
79%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
46%
VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
10.4%
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg
| Handicap | VfL Wolfsburg covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 23% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

