Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 29 Apr 2023 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Christian Gittelmann
  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Referee Robert Schroder
  • Referee Florian Lechner
  • Referee Lasse Koslowski
  • Referee Arno Blos

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–0 W
23 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–2 L
15 Apr FC Augsburg H 3–2 W
08 Apr Hertha BSC A 1–0 W
05 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 2–0 W
01 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr RB Leipzig A 0–1 L
22 Apr 1. FC Koln H 1–3 L
15 Apr FC Bayern München A 1–1 D
09 Apr FC Schalke 04 H 2–0 W
02 Apr SV Werder Bremen A 2–1 W
18 Mar Hertha BSC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#3 Position #5
65 Points 61
34 Played 34
20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 18 / 7 / 9
66 Scored 65
47 Conceded 52
+19 GD +13
1.91 PPG 1.79
59% Win % 53%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — RB Leipzig and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim get this one started.
  • 5' The 36-year-old Oliver Baumann has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' RB Leipzig are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's shape.
  • 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 28' RB Leipzig is taking the lead after the goal scored by Christopher Nkunku on 28.
  • 33' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 38' RB Leipzig are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 43' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ring the changes. Angelino has done his job and it is now time for Stanley Nsoki to step up.
  • 51' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined TSG 1899 Hoffenheim backline.
  • 56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 59' The whistle greets Emil Forsberg as he departs to be replaced by Dani Olmo.
  • 60' A tactical swap from RB LeipzigMarcel Halstenberg on, Christopher Nkunku off on 60 minutes.
  • 61' A change in the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ranks — Christoph Baumgartner exits the field as Grischa Promel enters on 61.
  • 62' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Sebastian Rudy.
  • 67' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with TSG 1899 Hoffenheim winning 50% of all matches.
  • 69' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Robert Skov is hanging Pavel Kaderabek on the field on 69 minute.
  • 74' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 79' RB Leipzig currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 81' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 81 minute. Mohamed Simakan leaves to be changed by Benjamin Henrichs.
  • 86' The referee shows TSG 1899 Hoffenheim player a Yellow card on 86.
  • Full Time. RB Leipzig beats TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.87 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig53% Draw24% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim23%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
77%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
47%
RB Leipzig or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig37% Draw43% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim20%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 21% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
30%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.