VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.
- VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Hartmann
- Assistant 1 Christian Leicher
- Assistant 2 Christof Gunsch
18 games this season
🟨 0.4/game
⚽ 4.1 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov | RB Leipzig | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Nov | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 0–4 | L |
| 05 Nov | SV Werder Bremen | H | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Oct | RB Leipzig | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | FC Augsburg | A | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Oct | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Nov | SC Freiburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 07 Nov | FK Crvena Zvezda | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Nov | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Oct | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Oct | 1. FC Koln | H | 6–0 | W |
Season Stats
| VfL Wolfsburg | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #3 |
| 29 | Points | 65 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 7 / 8 / 19 | W / D / L | 20 / 5 / 9 |
| 45 | Scored | 66 |
| 69 | Conceded | 47 |
| -24 | GD | +19 |
| 0.85 | PPG | 1.91 |
| 21% | Win % | 59% |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
6%
Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season
VfL Wolfsburg this season
32%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Volkswagen Arena that hosts another battle between VfL Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig.
- 5' Benjamin Henrichs is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for VfL Wolfsburg so far.
- 9' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jonas Wind makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 14' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 19' Tiago Tomas has been relatively quiet despite scoring 24 goals in his last 505 appearances.
- 24' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 29' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with RB Leipzig winning 50% of all matches.
- 33' Lois Openda was booked on 33.
- 34' Controversy at the stadium! Lois Openda argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 35' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Mattias Svanberg.
- 40' Koen Casteels has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 45' A moment of madness from Cedric Zesiger on 45 minutes earns him a Yellow card. VfL Wolfsburg will be frustrated.
- 46' Sebastiaan Bornauw makes way for Moritz Jenz at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfL Wolfsburg.
- 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 52' A goal from the Denmark international Yussuf Poulsen! He fires home on 52 to make it 1-1!
- 57' VfL Wolfsburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 59' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Maxence Lacroix.
- 64' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Xavi Simons made 520 appearances and scored 45 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 66' Rogerio does the damage! The net is bulging and VfL Wolfsburg surge ahead!
- 71' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nicolas Seiwald suffering a number of foals already.
- 73' Yussuf Poulsen makes way for Emil Forsberg at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
- 77' The VfL Wolfsburg manager makes a substitution. Lovro Majer departs to be replaced by Maximilian Arnold.
- 79' Xavi Simons catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 79.
- 83' Tiago Tomas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jonas Wind on 83 minute.
- 84' Another substitution for VfL Wolfsburg to replace Jonas Wind by Tiago Tomas on 84 minute.
- 89' RB Leipzig looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 90' The referee shows VfL Wolfsburg player a Yellow card on 90.
- The points are shared — VfL Wolfsburg 2-1 RB Leipzig. Honours even.
Lineups
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
-
7
Vaclav Cerny ↓ Kevin Paredes 73'
- 4
- 1
- 20
- 32
- 13
-
19
Lovro Majer ↓ Maximilian Arnold 77'
- 3
-
23
Jonas Wind ↓ Tiago Tomas 84'
- 6
- 5
Bench
-
27
Maximilian Arnold ↑ 77'
-
31
Yannick Gerhardt ↑ 83'
- 12
- 9
- 16
-
40
Kevin Paredes ↑ 73'
-
11
Tiago Tomas ↑ 84'
- 2
-
25
Moritz Jenz ↑ 46'
Coach
Niko Kovać
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
- 17
- 21
- 39
- 14
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↓ Emil Forsberg 73'
- 22
- 8
- 24
- 2
- 20
- 23
Bench
-
10
Emil Forsberg ↑ 73'
- 1
- 16
- 44
- 3
-
13
Nicolas Seiwald ↑ 83'
-
18
Fabio Carvalho ↑ 83'
- 26
- 30
Coach
Marco Rose
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 4 |
| Wout Weghorst | 3 |
| Willi Orban | 3 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 2 |
| Maximilian Philipp | 2 |
| Josko Gvardiol | 2 |
| Mohammed Amoura | 2 |
| Emil Forsberg | 2 |
Head to Head
VfL Wolfsburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.28
VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
VfL Wolfsburg or RB Leipzig 75% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: VfL Wolfsburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
58%
Draw or RB Leipzig
67%
VfL Wolfsburg or RB Leipzig
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 0
5%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg
| Handicap | VfL Wolfsburg covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 21% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 15% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

