Saturday , 14 November 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
VfL Wolfsburg
2 – 1
Full Time
RB Leipzig
Sat 25 Nov 2023 · 14:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Jonas Wind 9' 1–0
1–1 52' Yussuf Poulsen
Rogerio 66' 2–1
Y 33' Lois Openda
Y 34' Marco Rose
Mattias Svanberg 35' Y
Cedric Zesiger 45' Y
Maxence Lacroix 59' Y
Y 79' Xavi Simons
Koen Casteels 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
  • Assistant 1 Christian Leicher
  • Assistant 2 Christof Gunsch
5 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 25.2 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 9 21
2 Borussia Dortmund 9 21
3 SC Freiburg 9 19
4 RB Leipzig 9 18
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 16
6 SV Werder Bremen 9 15
7 SV 07 Elversberg 9 13
8 VfB Stuttgart 9 12
9 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 9 12
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9 12
11 Hamburger SV 9 12
12 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 10
13 SC Paderborn 07 9 10
14 FC Augsburg 9 9
15 1. FC Köln 9 9
16 1. FC Union Berlin 9 7
17 FC Schalke 04 9 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9 4

Head-to-Head

9
5
11
VfL Wolfsburg 25 games · Avg 2.6 goals RB Leipzig
Last 5 meetings
2023-11-25 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 RB Leipzig 2023-10-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 RB Leipzig 2023-02-18 VfL Wolfsburg 0–3 RB Leipzig 2022-08-27 RB Leipzig 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg 2022-01-23 RB Leipzig 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov RB Leipzig H 2–1 W
10 Nov Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–4 L
05 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 2–2 D
31 Oct RB Leipzig H 1–0 W
28 Oct FC Augsburg A 2–3 L
21 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–2 L
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 1–2 L
12 Nov SC Freiburg H 3–1 W
07 Nov FK Crvena Zvezda A 2–1 W
04 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–2 L
31 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 0–1 L
28 Oct 1. FC Köln H 6–0 W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Christopher Nkunku 5 G 2 A
Romulo Cruz 5 G
Antonio Nusa 4 G 7 A
Tidiam Gomis 3 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Volkswagen Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Rose might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 9' A stunning finish from Jonas Wind — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 14' Belgium international Koen Casteels has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 19' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Benjamin Henrichs suffering a number of foals already.
  • 24' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 29' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lovro Majer, as he is very good at scoring at Volkswagen Arena with 4 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 33' Lois Openda catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 33.
  • 34' That is a Yellow card for RB Leipzig. Lois Openda will be fuming at that decision.
  • 35' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Mattias Svanberg on 35 minutes.
  • 40' VfL Wolfsburg are deployed in a 3-4-3 today, looking to exploit space against RB Leipzig's 4-2-2-2 shape.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Cedric Zesiger. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 46' VfL Wolfsburg make a change. Sebastiaan Bornauw trudges off to be replaced by Moritz Jenz on 46 minutes.
  • 51' The 23-year-old Castello Lukeba has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 52' What composure from Yussuf Poulsen! The Denmark international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 57' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 59' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Maxence Lacroix.
  • 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfL Wolfsburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 66' What a moment for Rogerio! That strike on 66 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 71' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 73' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 73 minute. Yussuf Poulsen leaves to be changed by Emil Forsberg.
  • 77' Another change for VfL Wolfsburg made on 77 minute. Lovro Majer leaves to be changed by Maximilian Arnold.
  • 79' Controversy at the stadium! Xavi Simons argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 83' The whistle greets Jonas Wind as he departs to be replaced by Tiago Tomas.
  • 84' Another substitution for VfL Wolfsburg to replace Jonas Wind by Tiago Tomas on 84 minute.
  • 89' VfL Wolfsburg currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Koen Casteels on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. VfL Wolfsburg will be frustrated.
  • RB Leipzig will have plenty to reflect on. VfL Wolfsburg were simply the better side today.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Niko Kovać

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Timo Werner 4
Willi Orban 3
Wout Weghorst 3
Xavi Simons 2
Lois Openda 2
Jerome Roussillon 2
Benjamin Sesko 2
Yussuf Poulsen 2

Head to Head

2023-11-25 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 RB Leipzig 2023-10-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 RB Leipzig 2023-02-18 VfL Wolfsburg 0–3 RB Leipzig 2022-08-27 RB Leipzig 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg 2022-01-23 RB Leipzig 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2023-11-25 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 RB Leipzig W 2023-11-10 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–0 VfL Wolfsburg L 2023-11-05 VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 SV Werder Bremen D 2023-10-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 RB Leipzig W 2023-10-28 FC Augsburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg L 2023-10-21 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L

RB Leipzig Form

2023-11-25 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 RB Leipzig L 2023-11-12 RB Leipzig 3–1 SC Freiburg W 2023-11-07 FK Crvena Zvezda 1–2 RB Leipzig W 2023-11-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 RB Leipzig L 2023-10-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 RB Leipzig L 2023-10-28 RB Leipzig 6–0 1. FC Köln W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.28 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or RB Leipzig 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg41% Draw29% RB Leipzig30%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
70%
Draw or RB Leipzig
59%
VfL Wolfsburg or RB Leipzig
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg27% Draw49% RB Leipzig24%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
2.9%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.