Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 25 Nov 2023 · 14:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Jonas Wind 9' 1–0
1–1 52' Yussuf Poulsen
Rogerio 66' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs RB LeipzigBundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
  • Assistant 1 Christian Leicher
  • Assistant 2 Christof Gunsch
18 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 4.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov RB Leipzig H 2–1 W
10 Nov Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–4 L
05 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 2–2 D
31 Oct RB Leipzig H 1–0 W
28 Oct FC Augsburg A 2–3 L
21 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 1–2 L
12 Nov SC Freiburg H 3–1 W
07 Nov FK Crvena Zvezda A 2–1 W
04 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–2 L
31 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 0–1 L
28 Oct 1. FC Koln H 6–0 W

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg RB Leipzig
#16 Position #3
29 Points 65
34 Played 34
7 / 8 / 19 W / D / L 20 / 5 / 9
45 Scored 66
69 Conceded 47
-24 GD +19
0.85 PPG 1.91
21% Win % 59%

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Volkswagen Arena that hosts another battle between VfL Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig.
  • 5' Benjamin Henrichs is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for VfL Wolfsburg so far.
  • 9' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jonas Wind makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 14' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 19' Tiago Tomas has been relatively quiet despite scoring 24 goals in his last 505 appearances.
  • 24' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 29' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with RB Leipzig winning 50% of all matches.
  • 33' Lois Openda was booked on 33.
  • 34' Controversy at the stadium! Lois Openda argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 35' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Mattias Svanberg.
  • 40' Koen Casteels has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Cedric Zesiger on 45 minutes earns him a Yellow card. VfL Wolfsburg will be frustrated.
  • 46' Sebastiaan Bornauw makes way for Moritz Jenz at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 52' A goal from the Denmark international Yussuf Poulsen! He fires home on 52 to make it 1-1!
  • 57' VfL Wolfsburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 59' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Maxence Lacroix.
  • 64' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Xavi Simons made 520 appearances and scored 45 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 66' Rogerio does the damage! The net is bulging and VfL Wolfsburg surge ahead!
  • 71' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nicolas Seiwald suffering a number of foals already.
  • 73' Yussuf Poulsen makes way for Emil Forsberg at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
  • 77' The VfL Wolfsburg manager makes a substitution. Lovro Majer departs to be replaced by Maximilian Arnold.
  • 79' Xavi Simons catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 79.
  • 83' Tiago Tomas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jonas Wind on 83 minute.
  • 84' Another substitution for VfL Wolfsburg to replace Jonas Wind by Tiago Tomas on 84 minute.
  • 89' RB Leipzig looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 90' The referee shows VfL Wolfsburg player a Yellow card on 90.
  • The points are shared — VfL Wolfsburg 2-1 RB Leipzig. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.28 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or RB Leipzig 75% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg33% Draw25% RB Leipzig42%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
58%
Draw or RB Leipzig
67%
VfL Wolfsburg or RB Leipzig
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg21% Draw43% RB Leipzig36%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 0
5%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 21% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
17%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.