Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
VfL Wolfsburg
2 – 1
Full Time
RB Leipzig
Sat 25 Nov 2023 · 14:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Jonas Wind 9' 1–0
1–1 52' Yussuf Poulsen
Rogerio 66' 2–1
Y 33' Lois Openda
Y 34' Marco Rose
Mattias Svanberg 35' Y
Cedric Zesiger 45' Y
Maxence Lacroix 59' Y
Y 79' Xavi Simons
Koen Casteels 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
  • Assistant 1 Christian Leicher
  • Assistant 2 Christof Gunsch
4 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 30.8 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

9
5
11
VfL Wolfsburg 25 games · Avg 2.6 goals RB Leipzig
Last 5 meetings
2023-11-25 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 RB Leipzig 2023-10-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 RB Leipzig 2023-02-18 VfL Wolfsburg 0–3 RB Leipzig 2022-08-27 RB Leipzig 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg 2022-01-23 RB Leipzig 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov RB Leipzig H 2–1 W
10 Nov Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–4 L
05 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 2–2 D
31 Oct RB Leipzig H 1–0 W
28 Oct FC Augsburg A 2–3 L
21 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–2 L
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 1–2 L
12 Nov SC Freiburg H 3–1 W
07 Nov FK Crvena Zvezda A 2–1 W
04 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–2 L
31 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 0–1 L
28 Oct 1. FC Köln H 6–0 W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against VfL Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig has kicked off!
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 9' Jonas Wind makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and VfL Wolfsburg are in front.
  • 14' It looks surprising RB Leipzig does not make any changes. Cedric Zesiger has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 19' Lovro Majer has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 24' Nicolas Seiwald is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for VfL Wolfsburg so far.
  • 29' The home supporters are growing impatient. VfL Wolfsburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 33' It’s a booking for RB Leipzig player. Lois Openda gets a Yellow card.
  • 34' A moment of madness from Lois Openda on 34 minutes earns him a Yellow card. RB Leipzig will be frustrated.
  • 35' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Mattias Svanberg.
  • 40' VfL Wolfsburg are deployed in a 3-4-3 today, looking to exploit space against RB Leipzig's 4-2-2-2 shape.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Cedric Zesiger on 45 minutes.
  • 46' The whistle greets Sebastiaan Bornauw as he departs to be replaced by Moritz Jenz.
  • 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 52' Yussuf Poulsen doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 57' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 59' Maxence Lacroix has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 59.
  • 64' Supporters expect more eagerness from Aster Vranckx, as he is very good at scoring at Volkswagen Arena with 2 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 66' A goal from the Brazil international Rogerio! He fires home on 66 to make it 2-1!
  • 71' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 73' A tactical swap from RB Leipzig — Emil Forsberg on, Yussuf Poulsen off on 73 minutes.
  • 77' Maximilian Arnold is replacing Lovro Majer for the VfL Wolfsburg side.
  • 79' A moment of madness from Xavi Simons on 79 minutes earns him a Yellow card. RB Leipzig will be frustrated.
  • 83' The crowd applauds Jonas Wind as he leaves the pitch. Tiago Tomas steps in for VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 84' Jonas Wind makes way for Tiago Tomas at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 89' It is a cagey affair so far. VfL Wolfsburg in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past RB Leipzig's compact 4-2-2-2.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Koen Casteels on 90 minutes.
  • Another three points for VfL Wolfsburg.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Niko Kovać

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Timo Werner 4
Wout Weghorst 3
Willi Orban 3
Benjamin Sesko 2
Yussuf Poulsen 2
Maximilian Philipp 2
Josko Gvardiol 2
Mohammed Amoura 2

Head to Head

2023-11-25 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 RB Leipzig 2023-10-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 RB Leipzig 2023-02-18 VfL Wolfsburg 0–3 RB Leipzig 2022-08-27 RB Leipzig 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg 2022-01-23 RB Leipzig 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2023-11-25 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 RB Leipzig W 2023-11-10 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–0 VfL Wolfsburg L 2023-11-05 VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 SV Werder Bremen D 2023-10-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 RB Leipzig W 2023-10-28 FC Augsburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg L 2023-10-21 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L

RB Leipzig Form

2023-11-25 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 RB Leipzig L 2023-11-12 RB Leipzig 3–1 SC Freiburg W 2023-11-07 FK Crvena Zvezda 1–2 RB Leipzig W 2023-11-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 RB Leipzig L 2023-10-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 RB Leipzig L 2023-10-28 RB Leipzig 6–0 1. FC Köln W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.28 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or RB Leipzig 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg41% Draw29% RB Leipzig30%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
70%
Draw or RB Leipzig
59%
VfL Wolfsburg or RB Leipzig
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg27% Draw49% RB Leipzig24%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
2.9%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.