Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 9 Dec 2023 · 14:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 25,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
05 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–1 L
02 Dec VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–3 L
25 Nov RB Leipzig H 2–1 W
10 Nov Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–4 L
05 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 1–0 W
03 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
30 Nov PAE Olympiakos SFP H 5–0 W
25 Nov SV Darmstadt 98 H 1–1 D
12 Nov RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
09 Nov FK TSC Backa Topola H 5–0 W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for VfL Wolfsburg to score. At the same time, SC Freiburg does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' VfL Wolfsburg currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' VfL Wolfsburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Freiburg backline.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lovro Majer is clearly more than just a goal scorer for VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both VfL Wolfsburg and SC Freiburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Christian Streich will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 35' Maximilian Arnold is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for VfL Wolfsburg so far.
  • 40' VfL Wolfsburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
  • 45' A quiet spell here at Volkswagen Arena. SC Freiburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 50' It is a cagey affair so far. VfL Wolfsburg in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past SC Freiburg's compact 4-4-1-1.
  • 55' SC Freiburg have won 478 goals from 495 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 57' Nicolas Hofler has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 57.
  • 58' The whistle greets Ritsu Doan as he departs to be replaced by Roland Sallai.
  • 63' The travelling SC Freiburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 68' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His VfL Wolfsburg side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 73' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 74' Magnificent from Michael Gregoritsch! That is 60 goals in 435 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 77' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Roland Sallai on 77 minutes.
  • 80' Cedric Zesiger makes way for Aster Vranckx at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 85' Merlin Rohl catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 85.
  • 86' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Lucas Holer.
  • 87' A change in the VfL Wolfsburg ranks — Lovro Majer exits the field as Sebastiaan Bornauw enters on 87.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Merlin Rohl as he leaves the pitch. Chikwubuike Adamu steps in for SC Freiburg.
  • Full Time. SC Freiburg beats VfL Wolfsburg

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or SC Freiburg 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg34% Draw29% SC Freiburg37%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
63%
Draw or SC Freiburg
66%
VfL Wolfsburg or SC Freiburg
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg26% Draw49% SC Freiburg25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
29% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.