Saturday , 14 November 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 9 Dec 2023 · 14:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 25,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
05 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–1 L
02 Dec VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–3 L
25 Nov RB Leipzig H 2–1 W
10 Nov Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–4 L
05 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 1–0 W
03 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
30 Nov PAE Olympiakos SFP H 5–0 W
25 Nov SV Darmstadt 98 H 1–1 D
12 Nov RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
09 Nov FK TSC Backa Topola H 5–0 W

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Volkswagen Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between VfL Wolfsburg and SC Freiburg.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Noah Atubolu needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ridle Baku made 447 appearances and scored 29 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Freiburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' Lucas Holer has been relatively quiet despite scoring 51 goals in his last 503 appearances.
  • 30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 35' SC Freiburg has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 40' Roland Sallai is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Freiburg tonight.
  • 45' SC Freiburg come into this ranked 8 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 50' VfL Wolfsburg currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 55' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His VfL Wolfsburg side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 57' The referee shows SC Freiburg player a Yellow card on 57.
  • 58' A tactical swap from SC Freiburg — Roland Sallai on, Ritsu Doan off on 58 minutes.
  • 63' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 68' Chikwubuike Adamu is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Freiburg so far.
  • 73' Michael Gregoritsch has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 6 goals this season.
  • 74' GOAL! Michael Gregoritsch scores on 74.
  • 77' The referee has no hesitation. Roland Sallai is booked for SC Freiburg — Yellow card on 77.
  • 80' Aster Vranckx is replacing Cedric Zesiger for the VfL Wolfsburg side.
  • 85' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Merlin Rohl.
  • 86' Lucas Holer is having his name booked by the referee on 86.
  • 87' Another change for VfL Wolfsburg made on 87 minute. Lovro Majer leaves to be changed by Sebastiaan Bornauw.
  • 90' SC Freiburg ring the changes. Merlin Rohl has done his job and it is now time for Chikwubuike Adamu to step up.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or SC Freiburg 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg34% Draw29% SC Freiburg37%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
63%
Draw or SC Freiburg
66%
VfL Wolfsburg or SC Freiburg
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg26% Draw49% SC Freiburg25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
29% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.