Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
VfB Stuttgart
2 – 1
Full Time
Holstein Kiel
Sat 26 Oct 2024 · 13:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 59,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Deniz Undav 19' 1–0
El Bilal Toure 61' 2–0
2–1 84' Armin Gigovic
Y 31' Marvin Schulz
Josha Vagnoman 49' Y
Julian Chabot 63' Y
Julian Chabot 66' YR
Y 66' Nicolai Remberg
Y 71' Armin Gigovic
Y 80' Max Geschwill
Y 81' Jann-Fiete Arp
YR 88' Jann-Fiete Arp

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
  • Assistant 1 Christian Leicher
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
18 games this season 🟨 0.4/game ⚽ 4.1 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

2
1
VfB Stuttgart 3 games · Avg 3.3 goals Holstein Kiel
Last 5 meetings
2024-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Holstein Kiel H 2–1 W
22 Oct Juventus FC A 1–0 W
19 Oct FC Bayern München A 0–4 L
06 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
01 Oct AC Sparta Praha H 1–1 D
28 Sep VfL Wolfsburg A 2–2 D
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
20 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–2 L
05 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–2 D
29 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–4 L
21 Sep VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–2 D
14 Sep FC Bayern München H 1–6 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. VfB Stuttgart is hosting Holstein Kiel for another epic battle.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfB Stuttgart needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfB Stuttgart that had 438 games and scored 440 goals.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 19' VfB Stuttgart is taking the lead after the goal scored by Deniz Undav on 19.
  • 24' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 24 minutes.
  • 29' Holstein Kiel started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 29.
  • 31' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 31.
  • 36' VfB Stuttgart is showing some good football. However, VfB Stuttgart are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 41' It looks like no one’s ball. VfB Stuttgart is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 46' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Benedikt Pichler departs to be replaced by Steven Skrzybski.
  • 49' Josha Vagnoman was booked on 49.
  • 54' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for El Bilal Toure suffering a number of foals already.
  • 58' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Magnus Knudsen is replaced by Nicolai Remberg.
  • 61' GOAL! El Bilal Toure scores on 61. Assisted by Julian Chabot
  • 62' It is a substitution in VfB Stuttgart team. Fabian Rieder is replaced by Chris Fuhrich on 62 minute.
  • 63' That looks like a foul for a card for Julian Chabot.
  • 66' VfB Stuttgart receives a card for a hard tackle on 66.
  • 70' Anthony Rouault is replacing Deniz Undav for the VfB Stuttgart side.
  • 71' A meaty challenge results in booking for Armin Gigovic on 71.
  • 76' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 80' The referee calls foul for Max Geschwill. He receives a card.
  • 80' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Max Geschwill is replaced by Phil Harres.
  • 81' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 81.
  • 84' What a strike from Armin Gigovic! The score is 2-1.
  • 87' VfB Stuttgart manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ramon Hendriks is hanging Jamie Leweling on the field on 87 minute.
  • 88' Holstein Kiel receives a card for a hard tackle on 88.
  • Another three points for VfB Stuttgart.

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sebastian Hoeneß

Holstein Kiel Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Steven Skrzybski 2
Deniz Undav 1
Armin Gigovic 1
Ermedin Demirovic 1
Jamie Leweling 1
El Bilal Toure 1

Head to Head

2024-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Holstein Kiel

VfB Stuttgart Form

2024-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Holstein Kiel W 2024-10-22 Juventus FC 0–1 VfB Stuttgart W 2024-10-19 FC Bayern München 4–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2024-10-06 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2024-10-01 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 AC Sparta Praha D 2024-09-28 VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 VfB Stuttgart D

Holstein Kiel Form

2024-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Holstein Kiel L 2024-10-20 Holstein Kiel 0–2 1. FC Union Berlin L 2024-10-05 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–2 Holstein Kiel D 2024-09-29 Holstein Kiel 2–4 Eintracht Frankfurt L 2024-09-21 VfL Bochum 1848 2–2 Holstein Kiel D 2024-09-14 Holstein Kiel 1–6 FC Bayern München L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.6 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart51% Draw26% Holstein Kiel23%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
76%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
49%
VfB Stuttgart or Holstein Kiel
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart34% Draw46% Holstein Kiel20%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.