Sunday , 16 August 2026

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 20 Oct 2024 · 13:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 15,034 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 18' Aljoscha Kemlein
0–2 89' Tom Rothe

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach
  • Assistant 1 Florian Heft
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–2 L
05 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–2 D
29 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–4 L
21 Sep VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–2 D
14 Sep FC Bayern München H 1–6 L
31 Aug VfL Wolfsburg H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct Holstein Kiel A 2–0 W
05 Oct Borussia Dortmund H 2–1 W
28 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–1 L
21 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–1 W
14 Sep RB Leipzig A 0–0 D
30 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–0 W

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Holstein-Stadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Laszlo Benes, as he is very good at scoring at Holstein-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FC Union Berlin that had 435 games and scored 363 goals.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 18' Assisted by Tom Rothe with the perfectly-timed delivery and Aljoscha Kemlein makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 23' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 27' Jeong Wooyeong has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tim Skarke on 27 minute.
  • 32' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 34' The supporters are chanting for Steven Skrzybski. He replaces Alexander Bernhardsson on 34 minute.
  • 39' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 44' 1. FC Union Berlin seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 46' Holstein Kiel ring the changes. Magnus Knudsen has done his job and it is now time for Shuto Machino to step up.
  • 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FC Union Berlin is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 61' Both keepers have barely been tested. Holstein Kiel and 1. FC Union Berlin are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 66' Marco Komenda is having his name booked by the referee on 66.
  • 68' The supporters are chanting for Tymoteusz Puchacz. He replaces Patrick Erras on 68 minute.
  • 73' Frederik Ronnow was booked on 73.
  • 75' Another substitution for 1. FC Union Berlin to replace Benedict Hollerbach by Jordan Siebatcheu on 75 minute.
  • 79' A moment of madness from Nicolai Remberg on 79 minutes earns him a card. Holstein Kiel will be frustrated.
  • 79' Holstein Kiel make a change. Finn Porath trudges off to be replaced by Marvin Schulz on 79 minutes.
  • 80' Holstein Kiel make a change. Armin Gigovic trudges off to be replaced by Jann-Fiete Arp on 80 minutes.
  • 85' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 87' The 1. FC Union Berlin manager makes a substitution. Aljoscha Kemlein departs to be replaced by Janik Haberer.
  • 89' What a strike from Tom Rothe! The score is 0-2.
  • 0-2 the final result. Holstein Kiel will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.1 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: 1. FC Union Berlin or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel28% Draw28% 1. FC Union Berlin44%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
56%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
72%
Holstein Kiel or 1. FC Union Berlin
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel20% Draw47% 1. FC Union Berlin33%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
10.1%
0 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 22% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
23%
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.