Thursday , 2 July 2026

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 20 Oct 2024 · 13:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 15,034 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 18' Aljoscha Kemlein
0–2 89' Tom Rothe

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach
  • Assistant 1 Florian Heft
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
15 games this season 🟨 1.1/game 5.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–2 L
05 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–2 D
29 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–4 L
21 Sep VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–2 D
14 Sep FC Bayern München H 1–6 L
31 Aug VfL Wolfsburg H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct Holstein Kiel A 2–0 W
05 Oct Borussia Dortmund H 2–1 W
28 Sep Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–1 L
21 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–1 W
14 Sep RB Leipzig A 0–0 D
30 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–0 W

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.1 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: 1. FC Union Berlin or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel28% Draw28% 1. FC Union Berlin44%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
56%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
72%
Holstein Kiel or 1. FC Union Berlin
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel20% Draw47% 1. FC Union Berlin33%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
10.1%
0 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 22% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
23%
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.