Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Union Berlin — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FC Union Berlin 9 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Timo Gerach
- Assistant 1 Florian Heft
- Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
4 games this season
🟨 4.8/game
⚽ 9.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Sep | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–4 | L |
| 21 Sep | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Sep | FC Bayern München | H | 1–6 | L |
| 31 Aug | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Oct | Borussia Dortmund | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Sep | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Sep | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | RB Leipzig | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
1. FC Union Berlin this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
2/3
16-30
–/3
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/6
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FC Union Berlin
| Tim Skarke | 2 G | 1 A |
| Leopold Querfeld | 1 G | 1 A |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Holstein-Stadion as Holstein Kiel face off against 1. FC Union Berlin in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jann-Fiete Arp made 276 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' Kevin Vogt has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 18' What a strike from Aljoscha Kemlein! The score is 0-1.
- 23' 1. FC Union Berlin started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 23.
- 27' Fresh legs for 1. FC Union Berlin! Jeong Wooyeong comes on to replace Tim Skarke.
- 32' Christopher Trimmel is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FC Union Berlin tonight.
- 34' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Alexander Bernhardsson by Steven Skrzybski on 34 minute.
- 39' 1. FC Union Berlin are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 44' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 46' Fresh legs for Holstein Kiel! Shuto Machino comes on to replace Magnus Knudsen.
- 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Janik Haberer is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FC Union Berlin.
- 56' 1. FC Union Berlin is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 61' Finn Porath, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 66' The referee has no hesitation. Marco Komenda is booked for Holstein Kiel — card on 66.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Tymoteusz Puchacz. He replaces Patrick Erras on 68 minute.
- 73' Controversy at the stadium! Frederik Ronnow argues furiously but the card stands.
- 75' 1. FC Union Berlin ring the changes. Benedict Hollerbach has done his job and it is now time for Jordan Siebatcheu to step up.
- 79' Controversy at the stadium! Nicolai Remberg argues furiously but the card stands.
- 79' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Finn Porath by Marvin Schulz on 79 minute.
- 80' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Armin Gigovic is replaced by Jann-Fiete Arp.
- 85' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 87' The supporters are chanting for Janik Haberer. He replaces Aljoscha Kemlein on 87 minute.
- 89' Tom Rothe doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for Holstein Kiel and 1. FC Union Berlin (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 4
- 1
-
24
Magnus Knudsen ↓ Shuto Machino 46'
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Marvin Schulz 79'
- 9
- 17
- 3
-
37
Armin Gigovic ↓ Jann-Fiete Arp 80'
- 22
- 6
- 11
Bench
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 80'
-
7
Steven Skrzybski ↑ 34'
-
18
Shuto Machino ↑ 46'
-
15
Marvin Schulz ↑ 79'
-
27
Tymoteusz Puchacz ↑ 68'
- 21
- 33
- 14
- 23
Coach
Marcel Rapp
1. FC Union Berlin Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 5
- 8
- 2
- 1
- 28
-
21
Tim Skarke ↓ Jeong Wooyeong 27'
- 4
- 16
-
7
Yorbe Vertessen ↓ Laszlo Benes 75'
- 15
- 36
Bench
-
17
Jordan Siebatcheu ↑ 75'
- 10
- 26
- 37
-
19
Janik Haberer ↑ 87'
-
20
Laszlo Benes ↑ 75'
- 24
-
11
Jeong Wooyeong ↑ 27'
- 14
Coach
Bo Svensson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Rothe | 1 |
| Aljoscha Kemlein | 1 |
| Armin Gigovic | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
1. FC Union Berlin Form
2024-10-20
Holstein Kiel
0–2
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2024-10-05
1. FC Union Berlin
2–1
Borussia Dortmund
W
2024-09-28
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–0
1. FC Union Berlin
L
2024-09-21
1. FC Union Berlin
2–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2024-09-14
RB Leipzig
0–0
1. FC Union Berlin
D
2024-08-30
1. FC Union Berlin
1–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.1
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52
1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for:
1. FC Union Berlin or Draw 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FC Union Berlin win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
56%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
72%
Holstein Kiel or 1. FC Union Berlin
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
10.1%
0 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | 1. FC Union Berlin covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 22% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

