Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 6 Oct 2024 · 17:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 58,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 44' Valentin Gendrey
Ermedin Demirovic 90+9' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Stefan Lupp
19 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
01 Oct AC Sparta Praha H 1–1 D
28 Sep VfL Wolfsburg A 2–2 D
22 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 5–1 W
17 Sep Real Madrid CF A 1–3 L
14 Sep Borussia Monchengladbach A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 1–1 D
03 Oct FK Dynamo Kyiv H 2–0 W
29 Sep SV Werder Bremen H 3–4 L
25 Sep FC Midtjylland A 1–1 D
21 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
14 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–4 L

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#4 Position #5
62 Points 61
34 Played 34
18 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 18 / 7 / 9
71 Scored 65
49 Conceded 52
+22 GD +13
1.82 PPG 1.79
53% Win % 53%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for VfB Stuttgart to score. At the same time, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Julian Chabot, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' VfB Stuttgart are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined TSG 1899 Hoffenheim backline.
  • 15' Arthur Chaves is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tim Drexler at the 15 minute mark.
  • 20' VfB Stuttgart currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 25' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 26' The referee shows VfB Stuttgart player a card on 26.
  • 31' The travelling TSG 1899 Hoffenheim supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 36' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 41' VfB Stuttgart are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 44' Brilliant from the ! Valentin Gendrey makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 44.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Tom Bischof is booked for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — card on 45.
  • 46' Another change for VfB Stuttgart made on 46 minute. Anthony Rouault leaves to be changed by Josha Vagnoman.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with TSG 1899 Hoffenheim winning 0% of all matches.
  • 55' Poor challenge from Florian Grillitsch. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 60' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 62' Max Moerstedt is replacing Adam Hlozek for the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim side.
  • 66' Andrej Kramaric is having his name booked by the referee on 66.
  • 71' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
  • 73' It is a substitution in VfB Stuttgart team. Enzo Millot is replaced by Fabian Rieder on 73 minute.
  • 78' VfB Stuttgart have won 440 goals from 438 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 83' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 88' A quiet spell here at Mercedes-Benz Arena. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.02 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart50% Draw24% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
74%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
50%
VfB Stuttgart or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart38% Draw41% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim21%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.6%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 15% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 20% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 14% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
25%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.