VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Harm Osmers
- Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
- Assistant 2 Stefan Lupp
19 games this season
🟨 0.9/game
⚽ 5.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Oct | AC Sparta Praha | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Sep | Borussia Dortmund | H | 5–1 | W |
| 17 Sep | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Oct | FK Dynamo Kyiv | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | SV Werder Bremen | H | 3–4 | L |
| 25 Sep | FC Midtjylland | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 1–4 | L |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #5 |
| 62 | Points | 61 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 18 / 7 / 9 |
| 71 | Scored | 65 |
| 49 | Conceded | 52 |
| +22 | GD | +13 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 1.79 |
| 53% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
21%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for VfB Stuttgart to score. At the same time, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Julian Chabot, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' VfB Stuttgart are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined TSG 1899 Hoffenheim backline.
- 15' Arthur Chaves is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tim Drexler at the 15 minute mark.
- 20' VfB Stuttgart currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 25' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 26' The referee shows VfB Stuttgart player a card on 26.
- 31' The travelling TSG 1899 Hoffenheim supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 36' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 41' VfB Stuttgart are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 44' Brilliant from the ! Valentin Gendrey makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 44.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Tom Bischof is booked for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — card on 45.
- 46' Another change for VfB Stuttgart made on 46 minute. Anthony Rouault leaves to be changed by Josha Vagnoman.
- 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with TSG 1899 Hoffenheim winning 0% of all matches.
- 55' Poor challenge from Florian Grillitsch. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 60' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 62' Max Moerstedt is replacing Adam Hlozek for the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim side.
- 66' Andrej Kramaric is having his name booked by the referee on 66.
- 71' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
- 73' It is a substitution in VfB Stuttgart team. Enzo Millot is replaced by Fabian Rieder on 73 minute.
- 78' VfB Stuttgart have won 440 goals from 438 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 83' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 88' A quiet spell here at Mercedes-Benz Arena. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
16
Atakan Karazor ↓ Chris Fuhrich 46'
- 24
- 7
- 33
-
18
Jamie Leweling ↓ Nick Woltemade 73'
- 10
- 26
-
8
Enzo Millot ↓ Fabian Rieder 73'
- 29
- 6
- 45
Bench
-
9
Ermedin Demirovic ↑ 62'
-
4
Josha Vagnoman ↑ 46'
- 15
-
27
Chris Fuhrich ↑ 46'
- 1
-
11
Nick Woltemade ↑ 73'
- 5
-
32
Fabian Rieder ↑ 73'
- 3
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 25
- 1
- 27
- 11
-
21
Marius Bulter ↓ David Jurasek 73'
-
23
Adam Hlozek ↓ Max Moerstedt 62'
- 15
- 16
- 22
-
7
Tom Bischof ↓ Umut Tohumcu 62'
-
4
Tim Drexler ↓ Arthur Chaves 15'
Bench
- 29
- 13
- 18
-
26
Haris Tabakovic ↑ 73'
- 37
-
35
Arthur Chaves ↑ 15'
-
17
Umut Tohumcu ↑ 62'
-
19
David Jurasek ↑ 73'
-
33
Max Moerstedt ↑ 62'
Coach
Pellegrino Matarazzo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andrej Kramaric | 6 |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 3 |
| Marc-Oliver Kempf | 2 |
| Tiago Tomas | 2 |
| Ishak Belfodil | 2 |
| Chris Fuhrich | 2 |
| Roberto Massimo | 2 |
| Wataru Endo | 2 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2024-10-06
VfB Stuttgart
1–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2024-10-03
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–0
FK Dynamo Kyiv
W
2024-09-29
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
3–4
SV Werder Bremen
L
2024-09-25
FC Midtjylland
1–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2024-09-21
1. FC Union Berlin
2–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2024-09-14
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.02
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
74%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
50%
VfB Stuttgart or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.6%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 15% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 20% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 14% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

