VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Harm Osmers
- Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
- Assistant 2 Stefan Lupp
10 games this season
🟨 3.9/game
⚽ 11.5 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Oct | AC Sparta Praha | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Sep | Borussia Dortmund | H | 5–1 | W |
| 17 Sep | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Oct | FK Dynamo Kyiv | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | SV Werder Bremen | H | 3–4 | L |
| 25 Sep | FC Midtjylland | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 1–4 | L |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #9 |
| 12 | Points | 12 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 4 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 4 / 0 / 5 |
| 15 | Scored | 16 |
| 15 | Conceded | 17 |
| +0 | GD | -1 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 44% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
73%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
11%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
VfB Stuttgart are 8th (12 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 9th (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
2/4
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
| Ermedin Demirovic | 5 G | |
| Josha Vagnoman | 2 G | 1 A |
| Maximilian Mittelstadt | 2 G | 1 A |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 2 G | |
| Grischa Promel | 1 G |
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Adam Daghim | 2 G | 2 A |
| Bambase Conte | 2 G | 2 A |
| Adam Hlozek | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tim Lemperle | 2 G | |
| Ozan Kabak | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for VfB Stuttgart to score. At the same time, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Tim Drexler has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sebastian Hoeneß might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 15' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Arthur Chaves is hanging Tim Drexler on the field on 15 minute.
- 20' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Adam Hlozek scoring 2 goals.
- 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfB Stuttgart and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 26' It’s gonna be a card for Maximilian Mittelstadt.
- 31' It is a cagey affair so far. VfB Stuttgart in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's compact 3-4-1-2.
- 36' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 41' It looks surprising VfB Stuttgart does not make any changes. Anrie Chase has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 44' A stunning finish from Valentin Gendrey — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 45' It’s a booking for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim player. Tom Bischof gets a card.
- 46' A tactical swap from VfB Stuttgart — Josha Vagnoman on, Anthony Rouault off on 46 minutes.
- 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His VfB Stuttgart side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 55' Florian Grillitsch catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 55.
- 60' David Jurasek has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 482 appearances.
- 62' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ring the changes. Adam Hlozek has done his job and it is now time for Max Moerstedt to step up.
- 66' Andrej Kramaric has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 66.
- 71' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim player sees a card in front of him.
- 73' A tactical swap from VfB Stuttgart — Fabian Rieder on, Enzo Millot off on 73 minutes.
- 78' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfB Stuttgart that had 453 games and scored 468 goals.
- 83' Atakan Karazor is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for VfB Stuttgart so far.
- 88' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
16
Atakan Karazor ↓ Chris Fuhrich 46'
- 24
- 7
- 33
-
18
Jamie Leweling ↓ Nick Woltemade 73'
- 10
- 26
-
8
Enzo Millot ↓ Fabian Rieder 73'
- 29
- 6
- 45
Bench
-
9
Ermedin Demirovic ↑ 62'
-
4
Josha Vagnoman ↑ 46'
- 15
-
27
Chris Fuhrich ↑ 46'
- 1
-
11
Nick Woltemade ↑ 73'
- 5
-
32
Fabian Rieder ↑ 73'
- 3
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 25
- 1
- 27
- 11
-
21
Marius Bulter ↓ David Jurasek 73'
-
23
Adam Hlozek ↓ Max Moerstedt 62'
- 15
- 16
- 22
-
7
Tom Bischof ↓ Umut Tohumcu 62'
-
4
Tim Drexler ↓ Arthur Chaves 15'
Bench
- 29
- 13
- 18
-
26
Haris Tabakovic ↑ 73'
- 37
-
35
Arthur Chaves ↑ 15'
-
17
Umut Tohumcu ↑ 62'
-
19
David Jurasek ↑ 73'
-
33
Max Moerstedt ↑ 62'
Coach
Pellegrino Matarazzo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andrej Kramaric | 6 |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 3 |
| Tiago Tomas | 2 |
| Adam Hlozek | 2 |
| Ishak Belfodil | 2 |
| Chris Fuhrich | 2 |
| Roberto Massimo | 2 |
| Wataru Endo | 2 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2024-10-06
VfB Stuttgart
1–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2024-10-03
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–0
FK Dynamo Kyiv
W
2024-09-29
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
3–4
SV Werder Bremen
L
2024-09-25
FC Midtjylland
1–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2024-09-21
1. FC Union Berlin
2–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2024-09-14
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.93
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
73%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
51%
VfB Stuttgart or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 20% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 15% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

