Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 6 Oct 2024 · 17:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 58,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 44' Valentin Gendrey
Ermedin Demirovic 90+9' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Stefan Lupp
5 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 10.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
01 Oct AC Sparta Praha H 1–1 D
28 Sep VfL Wolfsburg A 2–2 D
22 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 5–1 W
17 Sep Real Madrid CF A 1–3 L
14 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 1–1 D
03 Oct FK Dynamo Kyiv H 2–0 W
29 Sep SV Werder Bremen H 3–4 L
25 Sep FC Midtjylland A 1–1 D
21 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
14 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–4 L

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#15 Position #14
3 Points 3
4 Played 4
1 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 3
6 Scored 7
9 Conceded 10
-3 GD -3
0.75 PPG 0.75
25% Win % 25%

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
0% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

VfB Stuttgart are 15th (3 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 14th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/4
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Daghim 2 G 2 A
Adam Hlozek 2 G
Ozan Kabak 1 G
Tim Lemperle 1 G
Leon Avdullahu 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.02 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart48% Draw24% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
71%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
52%
VfB Stuttgart or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart36% Draw40% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim24%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 0
5.5%
1 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4%
0 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 19% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 15% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.