Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 6 Oct 2024 · 17:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 58,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 44' Valentin Gendrey
Ermedin Demirovic 90+9' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Stefan Lupp
5 games this season 🟨 0.2/game 3.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
01 Oct AC Sparta Praha H 1–1 D
28 Sep VfL Wolfsburg A 2–2 D
22 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 5–1 W
17 Sep Real Madrid CF A 1–3 L
14 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 1–1 D
03 Oct FK Dynamo Kyiv H 2–0 W
29 Sep SV Werder Bremen H 3–4 L
25 Sep FC Midtjylland A 1–1 D
21 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
14 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–4 L

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#10 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfB Stuttgart are 10th (0 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for VfB Stuttgart to score. At the same time, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Alexander Prass has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' Germany international Umut Tohumcu has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' The crowd applauds Tim Drexler as he leaves the pitch. Arthur Chaves steps in for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His VfB Stuttgart side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 25' VfB Stuttgart currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 26' It’s a booking for VfB Stuttgart player. Maximilian Mittelstadt gets a card.
  • 31' Haris Tabakovic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 31 goals in his last 4 appearances.
  • 36' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have won 529 goals from 407 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 44' Valentin Gendrey doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Tom Bischof.
  • 46' VfB Stuttgart ring the changes. Anthony Rouault has done his job and it is now time for Josha Vagnoman to step up.
  • 51' Alexander Nubel is a natural goalkeeper and has been asked to do a very specific job for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim tonight.
  • 55' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim player sees a card in front of him.
  • 60' Angelo Stiller needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 14 Yellow cards this season.
  • 62' A change in the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ranks — Adam Hlozek exits the field as Max Moerstedt enters on 62.
  • 66' Andrej Kramaric has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 66.
  • 71' Arthur Chaves is having his name booked by the referee on 71.
  • 73' Fabian Rieder has so much to prove this time. He replaces Enzo Millot on 73 minute.
  • 78' The home supporters are growing impatient. VfB Stuttgart must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 83' With 0 assists to his name this season, Oliver Baumann is clearly more than just a goal scorer for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
  • 88' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.88 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.6 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 81% + VfB Stuttgart or Draw 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart42% Draw36% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes28% 0% No72%
Avg goals/match: 1.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 75%
25%
± 1.5 44%
56%
± 2.5 19%
81%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
77%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
58%
VfB Stuttgart or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
64%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart24% Draw63% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim13%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
25.4%
1 – 0
18.5%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
12%
2 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 2
3.7%
1 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
2.4%
2 – 2
1.8%
3 – 1
1.7%
1 – 3
0.7%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 25% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 16% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
55%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.