Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 13:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'
Victor Boniface 4' 1–0
Jonas Hofmann 8' 2–0
2–1 45+5' Max Geschwill
2–2 69' Jann-Fiete Arp pen

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Holstein KielBundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
  • Assistant 1 Christian Leicher
  • Assistant 2 Markus Schuller
18 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 4.1 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Holstein Kiel H 2–2 D
01 Oct AC Milan H 1–0 W
28 Sep FC Bayern München A 1–1 D
22 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 4–3 W
19 Sep Feyenoord Rotterdam A 4–0 W
14 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–2 D
29 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–4 L
21 Sep VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–2 D
14 Sep FC Bayern München H 1–6 L
31 Aug VfL Wolfsburg H 0–2 L
24 Aug TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds BayArena will turn into a battlefield for Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Holstein Kiel.
  • 4' Goal! Victor Boniface scores his 54 goal in 61 matches.
  • 8' GOAL! Jonas Hofmann scores on 8. Assisted by Exequiel Palacios
  • 13' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 18' Bayer 04 Leverkusen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 23' It looks like no one’s ball. Bayer 04 Leverkusen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 28' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 33' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 33 minutes.
  • 38' The travelling Holstein Kiel supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 43' Lukas Hradecky needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 46' Jann-Fiete Arp is replacing Shuto Machino for the Holstein Kiel side.
  • 50' What a strike from Max Geschwill! The score is 2-1.
  • 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Benedikt Pichler suffering a number of foals already.
  • 60' The referee calls foul for Magnus Knudsen. He receives a card.
  • 60' Time for substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Jonas Hofmann is replaced by Martin Terrier.
  • 65' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Holstein Kiel that had 277 games and scored 170 goals.
  • 68' It’s a booking for Bayer 04 Leverkusen player. Jeremie Frimpong gets a card.
  • 69' Goal! Jann-Fiete Arp scores his 9 goal in 268 matches.
  • 70' Bayer 04 Leverkusen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Patrik Schick is hanging Victor Boniface on the field on 70 minute.
  • 71' The whistle greets Armin Gigovic as he departs to be replaced by Marvin Schulz.
  • 76' It’s high time Marcel Rapp made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 77' Another change for Bayer 04 Leverkusen made on 77 minute. Jeremie Frimpong leaves to be changed by Amine Adli.
  • 82' Supporters expect more eagerness from Steven Skrzybski, as he is very good at scoring at BayArena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 86' Marco Komenda has so much to prove this time. He replaces Finn Porath on 86 minute.
  • 90' Timon Weiner was booked on 90.
  • The final score is 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.75 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen47% Draw24% Holstein Kiel29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
71%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
53%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Holstein Kiel
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen32% Draw42% Holstein Kiel26%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 19% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
23%
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.