Saturday , 22 August 2026

Holstein Kiel vs FC Bayern Munchen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 14 Sep 2024 · 16:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 15,034 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Jamal Musiala
0–2 7' Harry Kane
0–3 13' Nicolai Remberg og
0–4 43' Harry Kane
0–5 65' Michael Olise
Armin Gigovic 82' 1–5
1–6 90+1' Harry Kane pen

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs FC Bayern MunchenBundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Reichel
  • Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim

Head-to-Head

1
2
Holstein Kiel 3 games · Avg 6.0 goals FC Bayern Munchen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep FC Bayern Munchen H 1–6 L
31 Aug VfL Wolfsburg H 0–2 L
24 Aug TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–3 L
17 Aug Alemannia Aachen A 3–2 W
19 May Hannover 96 A 2–1 W
11 May TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Holstein Kiel A 6–1 W
01 Sep SC Freiburg H 2–0 W
25 Aug VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
16 Aug SSV Ulm 1846 A 4–0 W
18 May TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–4 L
12 May VfL Wolfsburg H 2–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Holstein Kiel to score. At the same time, FC Bayern Munchen does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 1' The deadlock is broken! Jamal Musiala gets on the scoresheet on 1 minutes.
  • 6' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Carl Johansson suffering a number of foals already.
  • 7' Brilliant from the ! Harry Kane makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 7.
  • 12' FC Bayern Munchen are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 13' Nicolai Remberg has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 13 minutes.
  • 18' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 23' Holstein Kiel is showing some good football. However, Holstein Kiel are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 28' The 25-year-old Sacha Boey has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 33' Holstein Kiel are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern Munchen backline.
  • 38' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Bayern Munchen that had 540 games and scored 1057 goals.
  • 43' Magnificent from Harry Kane! That is 274 goals in 385 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 46' The Holstein Kiel bench stirs into life. Dominik Javorcek is withdrawn and Tymoteusz Puchacz gets his opportunity.
  • 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Holstein Kiel and FC Bayern Munchen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 56' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 61' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 64' Konrad Laimer has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sacha Boey on 64 minute.
  • 65' A goal from the France international Michael Olise! He fires home on 65 to make it 1-4!
  • 70' Holstein Kiel are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 75' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 76' Armin Gigovic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lewis Holtby on 76 minute.
  • 81' That is a card for FC Bayern Munchen. Joao Palhinha will be fuming at that decision.
  • 82' Armin Gigovic doubles the advantage! 2-4 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 87' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • The final score is 1-6.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.3 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.54 FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel22% Draw22% FC Bayern Munchen56%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
43%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
78%
Holstein Kiel or FC Bayern Munchen
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel17% Draw36% FC Bayern Munchen47%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–6 not predicted
1 – 6
Actual
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 1
7.9%
1 – 3
7.3%
0 – 2
7%
0 – 3
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.8%
1 – 4
4.7%
2 – 1
4.6%
0 – 4
3.6%
0 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 10% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 37% 63%
+1 37% 20% 42%
+1.5 58% 42%
+2 58% 18% 24%
+2.5 76% 24%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
9%
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.