VfB Stuttgart vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Hartmann
- Assistant 1 Christian Leicher
- Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 3 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | Holstein Kiel | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | Juventus FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | FC Bayern München | A | 0–4 | L |
| 06 Oct | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Oct | AC Sparta Praha | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Sep | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–4 | L |
| 21 Sep | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Sep | FC Bayern München | H | 1–6 | L |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Mercedes-Benz Arena. VfB Stuttgart are looking to make home advantage count against Holstein Kiel.
- 5' Germany international Marvin Schulz has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Mercedes-Benz Arena. VfB Stuttgart seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 19' Deniz Undav puts VfB Stuttgart on the lead.
- 24' The home supporters are growing impatient. VfB Stuttgart must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 29' It looks surprising VfB Stuttgart does not make any changes. Alexander Nubel has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 31' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Marvin Schulz gets a card.
- 36' VfB Stuttgart are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Holstein Kiel's 5-3-2 shape.
- 41' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 46' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 46 minute. Benedikt Pichler leaves to be changed by Steven Skrzybski.
- 49' Josha Vagnoman has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 49.
- 54' Benedikt Pichler has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 4 appearances.
- 58' A tactical swap from Holstein Kiel — Nicolai Remberg on, Magnus Knudsen off on 58 minutes.
- 61' El Bilal Toure has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 61 minutes.
- 62' The VfB Stuttgart manager makes a substitution. Fabian Rieder departs to be replaced by Chris Fuhrich.
- 63' Poor challenge from Julian Chabot. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 66' The referee shows VfB Stuttgart player a card on 66.
- 70' Another substitution for VfB Stuttgart to replace Deniz Undav by Anthony Rouault on 70 minute.
- 71' Armin Gigovic was booked on 71.
- 76' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Julian Chabot made 307 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 80' That is a card for Holstein Kiel. Max Geschwill will be fuming at that decision.
- 80' Max Geschwill makes way for Phil Harres at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Holstein Kiel.
- 81' Jann-Fiete Arp was booked on 81.
- 84' What composure from Armin Gigovic! The Bosnia-Herzegovina international strokes it home. 2-1.
- 87' Fresh legs for VfB Stuttgart! Ramon Hendriks comes on to replace Jamie Leweling.
- 88' Jann-Fiete Arp is having his name booked by the referee on 88.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — VfB Stuttgart 2-1 Holstein Kiel.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 24
- 4
- 7
- 33
-
18
Jamie Leweling ↓ Ramon Hendriks 87'
- 10
-
26
Deniz Undav ↓ Anthony Rouault 70'
-
8
Enzo Millot ↓ Atakan Karazor 70'
- 6
-
32
Fabian Rieder ↓ Chris Fuhrich 62'
- 45
Bench
-
16
Atakan Karazor ↑ 70'
-
9
Ermedin Demirovic ↑ 62'
- 15
-
27
Chris Fuhrich ↑ 62'
- 1
- 11
- 5
-
29
Anthony Rouault ↑ 70'
-
3
Ramon Hendriks ↑ 87'
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
Holstein Kiel Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 20
- 4
-
15
Marvin Schulz ↓ Shuto Machino 70'
- 1
- 24
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Tymoteusz Puchacz 70'
- 9
- 17
- 37
-
14
Max Geschwill ↓ Phil Harres 80'
- 6
Bench
-
7
Steven Skrzybski ↑ 46'
-
18
Shuto Machino ↑ 70'
-
27
Tymoteusz Puchacz ↑ 70'
- 3
- 21
- 33
-
22
Nicolai Remberg ↑ 58'
-
19
Phil Harres ↑ 80'
- 23
Coach
Marcel Rapp
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Steven Skrzybski | 2 |
| Deniz Undav | 1 |
| Armin Gigovic | 1 |
| Ermedin Demirovic | 1 |
| Jamie Leweling | 1 |
| El Bilal Toure | 1 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
Holstein Kiel Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.6
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfB Stuttgart win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
76%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
49%
VfB Stuttgart or Holstein Kiel
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.