Wednesday , 7 October 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
VfB Stuttgart
2 – 1
Full Time
Holstein Kiel
Sat 26 Oct 2024 · 13:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 59,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Deniz Undav 19' 1–0
El Bilal Toure 61' 2–0
2–1 84' Armin Gigovic
Y 31' Marvin Schulz
Josha Vagnoman 49' Y
Julian Chabot 63' Y
Julian Chabot 66' YR
Y 66' Nicolai Remberg
Y 71' Armin Gigovic
Y 80' Max Geschwill
Y 81' Jann-Fiete Arp
YR 88' Jann-Fiete Arp

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
  • Assistant 1 Christian Leicher
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
4 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 30.8 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern Munchen 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Koln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Monchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

2
1
VfB Stuttgart 3 games · Avg 3.3 goals Holstein Kiel
Last 5 meetings
2024-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Holstein Kiel H 2–1 W
22 Oct Juventus FC A 1–0 W
19 Oct FC Bayern Munchen A 0–4 L
06 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
01 Oct AC Sparta Praha H 1–1 D
28 Sep VfL Wolfsburg A 2–2 D
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
20 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–2 L
05 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–2 D
29 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–4 L
21 Sep VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–2 D
14 Sep FC Bayern Munchen H 1–6 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
Josha Vagnoman 2 G 1 A
Ermedin Demirovic 1 G
Grischa Promel 1 G
Bilal El Khannouss 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Mercedes-Benz Arena. VfB Stuttgart are looking to make home advantage count against Holstein Kiel.
  • 5' Jann-Fiete Arp has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' Max Geschwill needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 19' Assisted by El Bilal Toure with the perfectly-timed delivery and Deniz Undav makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 24' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 29' VfB Stuttgart have won 455 goals from 444 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 31' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 31.
  • 36' VfB Stuttgart are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 41' It is a cagey affair so far. VfB Stuttgart in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Holstein Kiel's compact 5-3-2.
  • 46' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Benedikt Pichler departs to be replaced by Steven Skrzybski.
  • 49' That looks like a foul for a card for Josha Vagnoman.
  • 54' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 5-3-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 58' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Magnus Knudsen by Nicolai Remberg on 58 minute.
  • 61' Brilliant from the ! El Bilal Toure makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 61.
  • 62' Chris Fuhrich has so much to prove this time. He replaces Fabian Rieder on 62 minute.
  • 63' Julian Chabot was booked on 63.
  • 66' Controversy at the stadium! Julian Chabot argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 70' Anthony Rouault is ready to make an impact after coming on for Deniz Undav at the 70 minute mark.
  • 71' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 71.
  • 76' Holstein Kiel fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 80' Max Geschwill picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 80' A tactical swap from Holstein Kiel — Phil Harres on, Max Geschwill off on 80 minutes.
  • 81' The referee calls foul for Jann-Fiete Arp. He receives a card.
  • 84' Armin Gigovic adds to his 0 season tally! Holstein Kiel lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 87' Another substitution for VfB Stuttgart to replace Jamie Leweling by Ramon Hendriks on 87 minute.
  • 88' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jann-Fiete Arp.
  • It finishes all square. VfB Stuttgart and Holstein Kiel share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sebastian Hoeneß

Holstein Kiel Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Steven Skrzybski 2
El Bilal Toure 1
Deniz Undav 1
Armin Gigovic 1
Ermedin Demirovic 1
Jamie Leweling 1

Head to Head

2024-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Holstein Kiel

VfB Stuttgart Form

2024-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Holstein Kiel W 2024-10-22 Juventus FC 0–1 VfB Stuttgart W 2024-10-19 FC Bayern Munchen 4–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2024-10-06 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2024-10-01 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 AC Sparta Praha D 2024-09-28 VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 VfB Stuttgart D

Holstein Kiel Form

2024-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Holstein Kiel L 2024-10-20 Holstein Kiel 0–2 1. FC Union Berlin L 2024-10-05 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–2 Holstein Kiel D 2024-09-29 Holstein Kiel 2–4 Eintracht Frankfurt L 2024-09-21 VfL Bochum 1848 2–2 Holstein Kiel D 2024-09-14 Holstein Kiel 1–6 FC Bayern Munchen L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.6 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart51% Draw26% Holstein Kiel23%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
76%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
49%
VfB Stuttgart or Holstein Kiel
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart34% Draw46% Holstein Kiel20%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.