Monday , 2 November 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2026-27
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 16:30 UTC MHPArena HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 70' Maximilian Beier

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at MHPArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Lasse Koslowski
  • Assistant 2 Sascha Thielert
8 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 10.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 0–1 L
12 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–2 L
09 Sep Viking FK H 3–1 W
04 Sep 1. FC Koln H 4–1 W
28 Aug FC Bayern Munchen A 1–5 L
21 Aug FC Hansa Rostock A 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep VfB Stuttgart A 1–0 W
12 Sep SC Paderborn 07 H 3–0 W
08 Sep Villarreal CF H 3–2 W
05 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–2 W
01 Sep HEBC Hamburg A 5–0 W
29 Aug Hamburger SV H 2–0 W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart Borussia Dortmund
#11 Position #2
9 Points 18
8 Played 8
3 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 5 / 3 / 0
14 Scored 14
15 Conceded 6
-1 GD +8
1.13 PPG 2.25
38% Win % 63%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
63% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

VfB Stuttgart are 11th (9 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.25 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart27% Draw26% Borussia Dortmund47%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.04
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
54%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
73%
VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart21% Draw43% Borussia Dortmund36%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
7.6%
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
5.1%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 21% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
29% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.