VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- Borussia Dortmund 34 games · 73 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Badstubner
- Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
- Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
18 games this season
🟨 0.8/game
⚽ 4.5 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | Borussia Dortmund | H | 5–1 | W |
| 17 Sep | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 3–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 3–3 | D |
| 27 Aug | SC Preussen Munster | A | 5–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | SC Freiburg | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–5 | L |
| 18 Sep | Club Brugge KV | A | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 4–2 | W |
| 31 Aug | SV Werder Bremen | A | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Aug | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | 1. FC Phonix Lubeck | A | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 62 | Points | 73 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 22 / 7 / 5 |
| 71 | Scored | 70 |
| 49 | Conceded | 34 |
| +22 | GD | +36 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 2.15 |
| 53% | Win % | 65% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
44%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Mercedes-Benz Arena as VfB Stuttgart face off against Borussia Dortmund in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 4' Goal! Deniz Undav scores his 72 goal in 231 matches.
- 9' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfB Stuttgart that had 438 games and scored 440 goals.
- 14' Borussia Dortmund has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 17' It’s gonna be a card for Jamie Leweling.
- 21' Brilliant from the ! Ermedin Demirovic makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 21.
- 26' Marcel Sabitzer needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 30' The Borussia Dortmund manager makes a substitution. Felix Kalu Nmecha departs to be replaced by Jamie Bynoe-Gittens.
- 35' Borussia Dortmund fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 40' VfB Stuttgart are deployed in a 4-2-2-2 today, looking to exploit space against Borussia Dortmund's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 45' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 46' The Borussia Dortmund manager makes a substitution. Julian Ryerson departs to be replaced by Yan Couto.
- 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alexander Nubel suffering a number of foals already.
- 56' Jamie Leweling has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 61' Julian Brandt has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 12 cards already picked up this season.
- 62' Enzo Millot is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 63' The Borussia Dortmund manager makes a substitution. Pascal Gross departs to be replaced by Donyell Malen.
- 68' VfB Stuttgart started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 68.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Anrie Chase. He replaces Maximilian Mittelstadt on 70 minute.
- 72' Borussia Dortmund ring the changes. Julian Brandt has done his job and it is now time for Emre Can to step up.
- 73' Borussia Dortmund receives a card for a hard tackle on 73.
- 75' What composure from Sehrou Guirassy! The Guinea international strokes it home. 3-1.
- 77' Borussia Dortmund player sees a card in front of him.
- 79' El Bilal Toure is ready to make an impact after coming on for Josha Vagnoman at the 79 minute mark.
- 80' GOAL! El Bilal Toure scores on 80. Assisted by Enzo Millot
- 81' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ramy Bensebaini on 81 minutes.
- 85' The supporters are chanting for Chris Fuhrich. He replaces Angelo Stiller on 85 minute.
- 90' What a strike from Deniz Undav! The score is 5-1.
- VfB Stuttgart celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
- 16
- 24
- 9
-
4
Josha Vagnoman ↓ El Bilal Toure 79'
- 7
- 33
- 18
- 26
- 8
- 29
-
6
Angelo Stiller ↓ Chris Fuhrich 85'
Bench
-
23
Dan-Axel Zagadou ↑ 70'
- 15
-
27
Chris Fuhrich ↑ 85'
- 1
- 11
-
10
El Bilal Toure ↑ 79'
-
32
Fabian Rieder ↑ 70'
- 13
-
45
Anrie Chase ↑ 70'
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
13
Pascal Gross ↓ Donyell Malen 63'
- 25
-
10
Julian Brandt ↓ Emre Can 72'
- 3
- 1
- 20
- 9
-
26
Julian Ryerson ↓ Yan Couto 46'
- 8
- 4
-
27
Karim Adeyemi ↓ Ramy Bensebaini 46'
Bench
-
21
Donyell Malen ↑ 63'
-
5
Ramy Bensebaini ↑ 46'
- 33
-
23
Emre Can ↑ 72'
- 14
-
2
Yan Couto ↑ 46'
-
43
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens ↑ 30'
- 16
- 38
Coach
Nuri Sahin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Julian Brandt | 5 |
| Sehrou Guirassy | 4 |
| Gio Reyna | 4 |
| Marco Reus | 4 |
| Deniz Undav | 3 |
| Jude Bellingham | 3 |
| Paco Alcacer | 2 |
| Donyell Malen | 2 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
2024-09-22
VfB Stuttgart
5–1
Borussia Dortmund
L
2024-09-18
Club Brugge KV
0–3
Borussia Dortmund
W
2024-09-13
Borussia Dortmund
4–2
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
W
2024-08-31
SV Werder Bremen
0–0
Borussia Dortmund
D
2024-08-24
Borussia Dortmund
2–0
Eintracht Frankfurt
W
2024-08-17
1. FC Phonix Lubeck
1–4
Borussia Dortmund
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.23
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfB Stuttgart win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.89
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
74%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
48%
VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
1 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
6%
2 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
5%
1 – 0
4.1%
3 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.7%
4 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 15% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 19% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 14% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

