Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 22 Sep 2024 · 15:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 60,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Deniz Undav 4' 1–0
Ermedin Demirovic 21' 2–0
Enzo Millot 62' 3–0
3–1 75' Sehrou Guirassy
El Bilal Toure 80' 4–1
Deniz Undav 90' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
  • Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
  • Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 5–1 W
17 Sep Real Madrid CF A 1–3 L
14 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach A 3–1 W
31 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–3 D
27 Aug SC Preußen Münster A 5–0 W
24 Aug SC Freiburg A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep VfB Stuttgart A 1–5 L
18 Sep Club Brugge KV A 3–0 W
13 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 4–2 W
31 Aug SV Werder Bremen A 0–0 D
24 Aug Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–0 W
17 Aug 1. FC Phonix Lubeck A 4–1 W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart Borussia Dortmund
#10 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfB Stuttgart are 10th (0 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.49 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart54% Draw27% Borussia Dortmund19%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
81%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
46%
VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart36% Draw50% Borussia Dortmund14%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
14.4%
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 0
12.5%
2 – 0
11.1%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
5.4%
1 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
2%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 25% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
46%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.