Saturday , 14 November 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 22 Sep 2024 · 15:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 60,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Deniz Undav 4' 1–0
Ermedin Demirovic 21' 2–0
Enzo Millot 62' 3–0
3–1 75' Sehrou Guirassy
El Bilal Toure 80' 4–1
Deniz Undav 90' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
  • Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
  • Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
8 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 10.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 5–1 W
17 Sep Real Madrid CF A 1–3 L
14 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach A 3–1 W
31 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–3 D
27 Aug SC Preußen Münster A 5–0 W
24 Aug SC Freiburg A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep VfB Stuttgart A 1–5 L
18 Sep Club Brugge KV A 3–0 W
13 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 4–2 W
31 Aug SV Werder Bremen A 0–0 D
24 Aug Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–0 W
17 Aug 1. FC Phönix Lübeck A 4–1 W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart Borussia Dortmund
#8 Position #2
12 Points 21
9 Played 9
4 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 3 / 0
15 Scored 16
15 Conceded 7
+0 GD +9
1.33 PPG 2.33
44% Win % 67%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
56% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

VfB Stuttgart are 8th (12 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.92 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 68% + Over 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart48% Draw23% Borussia Dortmund29%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
72%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
52%
VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart34% Draw41% Borussia Dortmund25%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 0
5.1%
0 – 0
4.4%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 19% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 16% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.