VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- Borussia Dortmund 4 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Badstubner
- Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
- Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
3 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 10.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | Borussia Dortmund | H | 5–1 | W |
| 17 Sep | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 3–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 3–3 | D |
| 27 Aug | SC Preußen Münster | A | 5–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | SC Freiburg | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–5 | L |
| 18 Sep | Club Brugge KV | A | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 4–2 | W |
| 31 Aug | SV Werder Bremen | A | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Aug | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | 1. FC Phönix Lübeck | A | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #1 |
| 3 | Points | 12 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 1 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 4 / 0 / 0 |
| 6 | Scored | 9 |
| 9 | Conceded | 2 |
| -3 | GD | +7 |
| 0.75 | PPG | 3.00 |
| 25% | Win % | 100% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
75%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
VfB Stuttgart are 15th (3 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
| Josha Vagnoman | 2 G | 1 A |
| Ermedin Demirovic | 1 G | |
| Grischa Promel | 1 G | |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 1 G |
Borussia Dortmund
| Sehrou Guirassy | 2 G | 2 A |
| Felix Kalu Nmecha | 2 G | |
| Fabio Silva | 2 G | |
| Ioannis Konstantelias | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund — let the football do the talking.
- 4' A stunning finish from Deniz Undav — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 9' The home supporters are growing impatient. VfB Stuttgart must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 14' Maximilian Mittelstadt is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Borussia Dortmund so far.
- 17' That looks like a foul for a card for Jamie Leweling.
- 21' GOAL! Ermedin Demirovic fires home to make it 2-0!
- 26' The 35-year-old Pascal Gross has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 30' Jamie Bynoe-Gittens has so much to prove this time. He replaces Felix Kalu Nmecha on 30 minute.
- 35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 40' Borussia Dortmund started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
- 45' VfB Stuttgart are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Borussia Dortmund backline.
- 46' Fresh legs for Borussia Dortmund! Yan Couto comes on to replace Julian Ryerson.
- 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 56' Anthony Rouault, a France , has 20 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 61' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 62' A goal from the France international Enzo Millot! He fires home on 62 to make it 3-0!
- 63' Donyell Malen gets the nod from Borussia Dortmund. He replaces Pascal Gross and will look to change the dynamic.
- 68' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 70' A change in the VfB Stuttgart ranks — Maximilian Mittelstadt exits the field as Anrie Chase enters on 70.
- 72' Another change for Borussia Dortmund made on 72 minute. Julian Brandt leaves to be changed by Emre Can.
- 73' A moment of madness from Emre Can on 73 minutes earns him a card. Borussia Dortmund will be frustrated.
- 75' The deadlock is broken! Sehrou Guirassy gets on the scoresheet on 75 minutes.
- 77' It’s gonna be a card for Marcel Sabitzer.
- 79' Another substitution for VfB Stuttgart to replace Josha Vagnoman by El Bilal Toure on 79 minute.
- 80' GOAL! El Bilal Toure scores on 80. Assisted by Enzo Millot
- 81' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ramy Bensebaini.
- 85' Angelo Stiller makes way for Chris Fuhrich at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfB Stuttgart.
- 90' Brilliant from the ! Deniz Undav makes it 5-1 with a superb finish on 90.
- It finishes all square. VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund share the spoils 5-1.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
- 16
- 24
- 9
-
4
Josha Vagnoman ↓ El Bilal Toure 79'
- 7
- 33
- 18
- 26
- 8
- 29
-
6
Angelo Stiller ↓ Chris Fuhrich 85'
Bench
-
23
Dan-Axel Zagadou ↑ 70'
- 15
-
27
Chris Fuhrich ↑ 85'
- 1
- 11
-
10
El Bilal Toure ↑ 79'
-
32
Fabian Rieder ↑ 70'
- 13
-
45
Anrie Chase ↑ 70'
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
13
Pascal Gross ↓ Donyell Malen 63'
- 25
-
10
Julian Brandt ↓ Emre Can 72'
- 3
- 1
- 20
- 9
-
26
Julian Ryerson ↓ Yan Couto 46'
- 8
- 4
-
27
Karim Adeyemi ↓ Ramy Bensebaini 46'
Bench
-
21
Donyell Malen ↑ 63'
-
5
Ramy Bensebaini ↑ 46'
- 33
-
23
Emre Can ↑ 72'
- 14
-
2
Yan Couto ↑ 46'
-
43
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens ↑ 30'
- 16
- 38
Coach
Nuri Sahin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Julian Brandt | 5 |
| Marco Reus | 4 |
| Sehrou Guirassy | 4 |
| Gio Reyna | 4 |
| Jude Bellingham | 3 |
| Deniz Undav | 3 |
| Silas Wamangituka | 2 |
| Tanguy Coulibaly | 2 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
2024-09-22
VfB Stuttgart
5–1
Borussia Dortmund
L
2024-09-18
Club Brugge KV
0–3
Borussia Dortmund
W
2024-09-13
Borussia Dortmund
4–2
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
W
2024-08-31
SV Werder Bremen
0–0
Borussia Dortmund
D
2024-08-24
Borussia Dortmund
2–0
Eintracht Frankfurt
W
2024-08-17
1. FC Phönix Lübeck
1–4
Borussia Dortmund
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.72
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.06
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund 77% + Over 2.5 goals 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfB Stuttgart win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
62%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
61%
VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 3
5.5%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 3
4.7%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 0
3.5%
2 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 16% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 19% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 14% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.