VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- Borussia Dortmund 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Badstubner
- Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
- Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
8 games this season
🟨 2.8/game
⚽ 10.0 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | Borussia Dortmund | H | 5–1 | W |
| 17 Sep | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 3–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 3–3 | D |
| 27 Aug | SC Preußen Münster | A | 5–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | SC Freiburg | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–5 | L |
| 18 Sep | Club Brugge KV | A | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 4–2 | W |
| 31 Aug | SV Werder Bremen | A | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Aug | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | 1. FC Phönix Lübeck | A | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #2 |
| 12 | Points | 21 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 4 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 0 |
| 15 | Scored | 16 |
| 15 | Conceded | 7 |
| +0 | GD | +9 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 2.33 |
| 44% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
56%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
VfB Stuttgart are 8th (12 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
| Ermedin Demirovic | 5 G | |
| Josha Vagnoman | 2 G | 1 A |
| Maximilian Mittelstadt | 2 G | 1 A |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 2 G | |
| Grischa Promel | 1 G |
Borussia Dortmund
| Felix Kalu Nmecha | 4 G | |
| Sehrou Guirassy | 3 G | 2 A |
| Fabio Silva | 3 G | 2 A |
| Maximilian Beier | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ioannis Konstantelias | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Mercedes-Benz Arena as VfB Stuttgart face off against Borussia Dortmund in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 4' GOAL! Deniz Undav fires home to make it 1-0!
- 9' Maximilian Mittelstadt has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 14' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Karim Adeyemi suffering a number of foals already.
- 17' Controversy at the stadium! Jamie Leweling argues furiously but the card stands.
- 21' Ermedin Demirovic adds to his 9 season tally! VfB Stuttgart lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 26' It is a cagey affair so far. VfB Stuttgart in their 4-2-2-2 trying to find a way past Borussia Dortmund's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 30' Borussia Dortmund make a change. Felix Kalu Nmecha trudges off to be replaced by Jamie Bynoe-Gittens on 30 minutes.
- 35' Sehrou Guirassy has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
- 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 45' Borussia Dortmund has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 46' The crowd applauds Julian Ryerson as he leaves the pitch. Yan Couto steps in for Borussia Dortmund.
- 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 56' VfB Stuttgart are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 61' Supporters expect more eagerness from Pascal Gross, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 62' A stunning finish from Enzo Millot — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 63' A change in the Borussia Dortmund ranks — Pascal Gross exits the field as Donyell Malen enters on 63.
- 68' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 70' Maximilian Mittelstadt makes way for Anrie Chase at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfB Stuttgart.
- 72' Emre Can gets the nod from Borussia Dortmund. He replaces Julian Brandt and will look to change the dynamic.
- 73' The referee calls foul for Emre Can. He receives a card.
- 75' Sehrou Guirassy is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 13 goals this season for the .
- 77' It’s a booking for Borussia Dortmund player. Marcel Sabitzer gets a card.
- 79' A tactical swap from VfB Stuttgart — El Bilal Toure on, Josha Vagnoman off on 79 minutes.
- 80' What a strike from El Bilal Toure! The score is 4-1.
- 81' Poor challenge from Ramy Bensebaini. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 85' The supporters are chanting for Chris Fuhrich. He replaces Angelo Stiller on 85 minute.
- 90' Deniz Undav is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 5 goals this season for the .
- Borussia Dortmund will have plenty to reflect on. VfB Stuttgart were simply the better side today.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
- 16
- 24
- 9
-
4
Josha Vagnoman ↓ El Bilal Toure 79'
- 7
- 33
- 18
- 26
- 8
- 29
-
6
Angelo Stiller ↓ Chris Fuhrich 85'
Bench
-
23
Dan-Axel Zagadou ↑ 70'
- 15
-
27
Chris Fuhrich ↑ 85'
- 1
- 11
-
10
El Bilal Toure ↑ 79'
-
32
Fabian Rieder ↑ 70'
- 13
-
45
Anrie Chase ↑ 70'
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
13
Pascal Gross ↓ Donyell Malen 63'
- 25
-
10
Julian Brandt ↓ Emre Can 72'
- 3
- 1
- 20
- 9
-
26
Julian Ryerson ↓ Yan Couto 46'
- 8
- 4
-
27
Karim Adeyemi ↓ Ramy Bensebaini 46'
Bench
-
21
Donyell Malen ↑ 63'
-
5
Ramy Bensebaini ↑ 46'
- 33
-
23
Emre Can ↑ 72'
- 14
-
2
Yan Couto ↑ 46'
-
43
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens ↑ 30'
- 16
- 38
Coach
Nuri Sahin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Julian Brandt | 5 |
| Gio Reyna | 4 |
| Marco Reus | 4 |
| Sehrou Guirassy | 4 |
| Deniz Undav | 3 |
| Jude Bellingham | 3 |
| Paco Alcacer | 2 |
| Donyell Malen | 2 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
2024-09-22
VfB Stuttgart
5–1
Borussia Dortmund
L
2024-09-18
Club Brugge KV
0–3
Borussia Dortmund
W
2024-09-13
Borussia Dortmund
4–2
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
W
2024-08-31
SV Werder Bremen
0–0
Borussia Dortmund
D
2024-08-24
Borussia Dortmund
2–0
Eintracht Frankfurt
W
2024-08-17
1. FC Phönix Lübeck
1–4
Borussia Dortmund
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.92
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 68% + Over 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfB Stuttgart win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
72%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
52%
VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 0
5.1%
0 – 0
4.4%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 19% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 16% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

