Sunday , 8 November 2026

UD Almería vs Villarreal CF, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sun 21 Apr 2024 · 14:15 UTC Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 25' Ilias Akhomach
Anthony Lozano 30' 1–1
1–2 90+3' Alexander Sorloth

Overview

Match Preview

UD Almería vs Villarreal CF — La Liga at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos.

Match Details

  • Referee Miguel Ortiz Arias (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Jose Garrido Romero (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Guillermo Santiago Sacristan (Spain)
3 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 18.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Villarreal CF H 1–2 L
14 Apr Real Sociedad de Futbol A 2–2 D
30 Mar CA Osasuna H 0–3 L
17 Mar UD Las Palmas A 1–0 W
11 Mar Sevilla FC H 2–2 D
01 Mar RC Celta de Vigo A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr UD Almería A 2–1 W
14 Apr Athletic Club A 1–1 D
01 Apr Club Atletico de Madrid H 1–2 L
17 Mar Valencia CF H 1–0 W
14 Mar Olympique de Marseille H 3–1 W
10 Mar Real Betis Balompie A 3–2 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
9% Clean Sheets
Villarreal CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Villarreal CF
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Villarreal CF
Georges Mikautadze 3 G 1 A
Pape Gueye 3 G
Alberto Moleiro 2 G 4 A
Nicolas Pepe 2 G
Gerard Moreno 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. UD Almeria host Villarreal CF — let the battle begin!
  • 5' UD Almeria currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' The 34-year-old Alberto Moreno has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Filip Jorgensen made 420 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' The Morocco forward Ilias Akhomach breaks the deadlock on 25 minutes. 0-1!
  • 30' A stunning finish from Anthony Lozano — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 40' Jose Morales is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for UD Almeria so far.
  • 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 50' Ilias Akhomach is having his name booked by the referee on 50.
  • 55' Alfonso Pedraza has been relatively quiet despite scoring 12 goals in his last 420 appearances.
  • 59' The referee has no hesitation. Francis Coquelin is booked for Villarreal CF — card on 59.
  • 60' Goncalo Guedes is replacing Dani Parejo for the Villarreal CF side.
  • 61' Alfonso Pedraza makes way for Alberto Moreno at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from Villarreal CF.
  • 62' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Filip Jorgensen on 62 minutes.
  • 67' UD Almeria are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 69' Another substitution for UD Almeria to replace Anthony Lozano by Largie Ramazani on 69 minute.
  • 71' The crowd applauds Gerard Moreno as he leaves the pitch. Bertrand Traore steps in for Villarreal CF.
  • 72' Aissa Mandi makes way for Jorge Cuenca at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Villarreal CF.
  • 73' Jonathan Viera picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 76' Jonathan Viera makes way for Sergio Arribas at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from UD Almeria.
  • 79' Villarreal CF ring the changes. Ilias Akhomach has done his job and it is now time for Jose Morales to step up.
  • 80' The referee has no hesitation. Largie Ramazani is booked for UD Almeria — card on 80.
  • 85' UD Almeria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luka Romero is hanging Adri Embarba on the field on 85 minute.
  • 87' That is a card for UD Almeria. Largie Ramazani will be fuming at that decision.
  • 88' Kiko Femenia is having his name booked by the referee on 88.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Villarreal CF players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.14 UD Almería xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Villarreal CF xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
UD Almería27% Draw27% Villarreal CF46%
Actual: Villarreal CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

UD Almería or Draw
54%
Draw or Villarreal CF
73%
UD Almería or Villarreal CF
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
UD Almería20% Draw46% Villarreal CF34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8.4%
0 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
4.8%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — UD Almería

Handicap UD Almería covers Push Villarreal CF covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 54% — 46%
+1 54% 22% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

UD Almería keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.