Monday , 21 September 2026

UD Almería vs Real Zaragoza, Segunda Division 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 17:30 UTC Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos 10,867 HT 45' · FT 45'
Edgar Gonzalez 6' 1–0
Luis Suarez 16' 2–0
2–1 25' Edgar Gonzalez og
Nico Melamed 45+5' 3–1
Marc Pubill 53' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

UD Almería vs Real ZaragozaSegunda Division at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Palencia Caballero (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Joan Mendez Mateo (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Ion Rodriguez Portela (Spain)

Head-to-Head

3
1
UD Almería 4 games · Avg 4.0 goals Real Zaragoza

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Real Zaragoza H 4–1 W
07 Mar SD Eibar A 0–1 L
01 Mar Málaga CF H 2–2 D
22 Feb Real Sporting de Gijón A 1–1 D
17 Feb Elche CF H 1–1 D
09 Feb RC Deportivo La Coruña A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar UD Almería A 1–4 L
08 Mar CD Eldense H 2–4 L
01 Mar Real Sporting de Gijón H 1–1 D
22 Feb Granada CF A 2–2 D
16 Feb Burgos CF H 0–1 L
07 Feb Albacete Balompié A 1–2 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
UD Almería this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

UD Almería
0-15
3/
16-30
/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

UD Almería
Nico Melamed 2 G 1 A
Federico Bonini 1 G
Stefan Dzodic 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. UD Almeria is hosting Real Zaragoza for another epic battle.
  • 2' Dion Lopy is having his name booked by the referee on 2.
  • 6' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Edgar Gonzalez makes it 1-0.
  • 11' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 16' The Colombia Luis Suarez breaks the deadlock on 16 minutes. 2-0!
  • 21' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 25' What a strike from Edgar Gonzalez! The score is 3-0.
  • 30' Real Zaragoza are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Bernardo Vital suffering a number of foals already.
  • 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Marcos Luna on 45 minutes earns him a card. Real Zaragoza will be frustrated.
  • 47' Dani Tasende makes way for Ivan Calero at the 47 minute mark. A tactical switch from Real Zaragoza.
  • 50' The Spain forward Nico Melamed breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 4-0!
  • 53' Marc Pubill makes no mistake. The score reads 5-0 and UD Almeria are in front.
  • 58' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rubí might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 60' Adri Liso gets the nod from Real Zaragoza. He replaces Marcos Luna and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 65' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 66' The crowd applauds Lucas Robertone as he leaves the pitch. Silvi steps in for UD Almeria.
  • 71' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 76' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 78' Fresh legs for UD Almeria! Sergio Arribas comes on to replace Gonzalo Melero.
  • 81' Samed Bazdar catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 81.
  • 86' Over 86 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 87' UD Almeria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marko Perovic is hanging Marc Pubill on the field on 87 minute.
  • With this win, UD Almeria is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.14 UD Almería xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Real Zaragoza xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
UD Almería59% Draw22% Real Zaragoza19%
Actual: UD Almería win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

UD Almería or Draw
81%
Draw or Real Zaragoza
41%
UD Almería or Real Zaragoza
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
UD Almería43% Draw40% Real Zaragoza17%
Actual: UD Almería win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.5%
1 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — UD Almería

Handicap UD Almería covers Push Real Zaragoza covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 22% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 11% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

UD Almería keeps clean sheet
32%
Real Zaragoza keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.