Sunday , 8 November 2026

UD Almería vs Real Zaragoza, Segunda Division 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 17:30 UTC Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos 10,867 HT 45' · FT 45'
Edgar Gonzalez 6' 1–0
Luis Suarez 16' 2–0
2–1 25' Edgar Gonzalez og
Nico Melamed 45+5' 3–1
Marc Pubill 53' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

UD Almería vs Real Zaragoza — Segunda Division at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Palencia Caballero (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Joan Mendez Mateo (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Ion Rodriguez Portela (Spain)

Head-to-Head

3
1
UD Almería 4 games · Avg 4.0 goals Real Zaragoza

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Real Zaragoza H 4–1 W
07 Mar SD Eibar A 0–1 L
01 Mar Malaga CF H 2–2 D
22 Feb Real Sporting de Gijón A 1–1 D
17 Feb Elche CF H 1–1 D
09 Feb RC Deportivo La Coruna A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar UD Almería A 1–4 L
08 Mar CD Eldense H 2–4 L
01 Mar Real Sporting de Gijón H 1–1 D
22 Feb Granada CF A 2–2 D
16 Feb Burgos CF H 0–1 L
07 Feb Albacete Balompie A 1–2 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
42% Clean Sheets
UD Almería this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

UD Almería
0-15
3/–
16-30
5/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

UD Almería
Miguel De la Fuente 7 G 1 A
Brian Cipenga 3 G 4 A
Javi Munoz 2 G 3 A
Nico Melamed 2 G 1 A
Daijiro Chirino 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — UD Almería and Real Zaragoza get this one started.
  • 2' Dion Lopy is having his name booked by the referee on 2.
  • 6' The Spain defender Edgar Gonzalez breaks the deadlock on 6 minutes. 0-1!
  • 11' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 16' A stunning finish from Luis Suarez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 21' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 25' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Edgar Gonzalez makes no mistake. 0-3!
  • 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 35' UD Almería have won 210 goals from 172 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 40' Francho Serrano is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Real Zaragoza tonight.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Marcos Luna. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 47' Ivan Calero gets the nod from Real Zaragoza. He replaces Dani Tasende and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 50' A goal from the Spain international Nico Melamed! He fires home on 45 to make it 0-4!
  • 53' What composure from Marc Pubill! The Spain international strokes it home. 0-5.
  • 58' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both UD Almería and Real Zaragoza are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 60' Real Zaragoza manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Adri Liso is hanging Marcos Luna on the field on 60 minute.
  • 65' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 66' The UD Almeria bench stirs into life. Lucas Robertone is withdrawn and Silvi gets his opportunity.
  • 71' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering UD Almería that had 172 games and scored 210 goals.
  • 76' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 76 minutes.
  • 78' Gonzalo Melero makes way for Sergio Arribas at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from UD Almeria.
  • 81' Samed Bazdar was booked on 81.
  • 86' It’s high time Miguel Ramírez made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 87' Marko Perovic gets the nod from UD Almeria. He replaces Marc Pubill and will look to change the dynamic.
  • UD Almería celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.14 UD Almería xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Real Zaragoza xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
UD Almería59% Draw22% Real Zaragoza19%
Actual: UD Almería win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

UD Almería or Draw
81%
Draw or Real Zaragoza
41%
UD Almería or Real Zaragoza
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
UD Almería43% Draw40% Real Zaragoza17%
Actual: UD Almería win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.5%
1 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — UD Almería

Handicap UD Almería covers Push Real Zaragoza covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 22% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 11% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

UD Almería keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Real Zaragoza keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.