Thursday , 2 July 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hertha BSC, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 18 Mar 2023 · 14:30 UTC PreZero Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hertha BSCBundesliga at PreZero Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
  • Referee Guido Kleve
  • Referee Aarne Aarnink
  • Referee Thorben Siewer
  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Referee Christian Leicher
18 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 4.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar Hertha BSC H 3–1 W
12 Mar SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
04 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–1 L
25 Feb Borussia Dortmund H 0–1 L
17 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–1 L
11 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–3 L
11 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
05 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–4 L
25 Feb FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
19 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 1–4 L
12 Feb Borussia Monchengladbach H 4–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.8 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Hertha BSC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim51% Draw25% Hertha BSC24%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
76%
Draw or Hertha BSC
49%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Hertha BSC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim37% Draw44% Hertha BSC19%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.6%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push Hertha BSC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 22% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
32%
Hertha BSC keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.