Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hertha BSC vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 11 Mar 2023 · 14:30 UTC Olympiastadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hertha BSC vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Olympiastadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Cortus
  • Referee Norbert Grudzinski
  • Referee Sascha Thielert
  • Referee Florian Heft
  • Referee Frederick Assmuth
  • Referee Soren Storks

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
05 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–4 L
25 Feb FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
19 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 1–4 L
12 Feb Borussia Monchengladbach H 4–1 W
04 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Hertha BSC A 1–1 D
04 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–0 W
24 Feb Borussia Monchengladbach H 4–0 W
19 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 3–2 W
11 Feb FC Augsburg H 3–1 W
04 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Olympiastadion. Hertha BSC are looking to make home advantage count against 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' It looks surprising Hertha BSC does not make any changes. Ludovic Ajorque has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 18' What composure from Jessic Ngankam! The Germany international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 22' It’s a booking for Hertha BSC player. Tolga Cigerci gets a Yellow card.
  • 27' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 32' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sandro Schwarz might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 37' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 42' A quiet spell here at Olympiastadion. Hertha BSC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 46' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Anthony Caci departs to be replaced by Aaron Martin.
  • 47' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Anthony Caci is withdrawn and Aaron Martin gets his opportunity.
  • 52' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Andreas Hanche-Olsen.
  • 53' Andreas Hanche-Olsen picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 57' Ludovic Ajorque makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are in front.
  • 58' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Ludovic Ajorque exits the field as Aymen Barkok enters on 58.
  • 63' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Tolga Cigerci as he leaves the pitch. Ivan Sunjic steps in for Hertha BSC.
  • 66' The referee calls foul for Lucas Tousart. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 67' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Lucas Tousart on 67 minutes.
  • 72' Hertha BSC make a change. Jessic Ngankam trudges off to be replaced by Dodi Lukebakio on 72 minutes.
  • 73' Jonjoe Kenny is replacing Marco Richter for the Hertha BSC side.
  • 78' Leandro Barreiro Martins has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 80' The whistle greets Leandro Barreiro Martins as he departs to be replaced by Dominik Kohr.
  • 85' Hertha BSC is showing some good football. However, Hertha BSC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 89' Wilfride Kanga has so much to prove this time. He replaces Suat Serdar on 89 minute.
  • 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.38 Hertha BSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Hertha BSC or 1. FSV Mainz 05 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hertha BSC38% Draw29% 1. FSV Mainz 0533%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Hertha BSC or Draw
67%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
62%
Hertha BSC or 1. FSV Mainz 05
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hertha BSC28% Draw48% 1. FSV Mainz 0524%
Actual: Hertha BSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.2%
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Hertha BSC

Handicap Hertha BSC covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 20% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Hertha BSC keeps clean sheet
29%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.