Sunday , 16 August 2026

Hertha BSC vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 11 Mar 2023 · 14:30 UTC Olympiastadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hertha BSC vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Olympiastadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Cortus
  • Referee Norbert Grudzinski
  • Referee Sascha Thielert
  • Referee Florian Heft
  • Referee Frederick Assmuth
  • Referee Soren Storks

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
05 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–4 L
25 Feb FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
19 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 1–4 L
12 Feb Borussia Mönchengladbach H 4–1 W
04 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Hertha BSC A 1–1 D
04 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–0 W
24 Feb Borussia Mönchengladbach H 4–0 W
19 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 3–2 W
11 Feb FC Augsburg H 3–1 W
04 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.38 Hertha BSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Hertha BSC or 1. FSV Mainz 05 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hertha BSC38% Draw29% 1. FSV Mainz 0533%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Hertha BSC or Draw
67%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
62%
Hertha BSC or 1. FSV Mainz 05
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hertha BSC28% Draw48% 1. FSV Mainz 0524%
Actual: Hertha BSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.2%
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Hertha BSC

Handicap Hertha BSC covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 20% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Hertha BSC keeps clean sheet
29%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.