Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SC Freiburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sun 12 Mar 2023 · 14:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Referee Mark Borsch
  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Referee Thorben Siewer
  • Referee Robert Kempter
  • Referee Florian Exner
5 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 10.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–1 W
09 Mar Juventus FC A 0–1 L
04 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–0 D
26 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–1 D
18 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–0 W
11 Feb VfB Stuttgart H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
04 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–1 L
25 Feb Borussia Dortmund H 0–1 L
17 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–1 L
11 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–3 L
04 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–5 L

Season Stats

SC Freiburg TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#3 Position #14
10 Points 3
4 Played 4
3 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 3
12 Scored 7
3 Conceded 10
+9 GD -3
2.50 PPG 0.75
75% Win % 25%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
0% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

SC Freiburg are 3rd (10 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 14th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/4
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Daghim 2 G 2 A
Adam Hlozek 2 G
Ozan Kabak 1 G
Tim Lemperle 1 G
Leon Avdullahu 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.18 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: SC Freiburg to win 75% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg75% Draw15% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim10%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 4.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
90%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
25%
SC Freiburg or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
85%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg62% Draw30% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim8%
Actual: SC Freiburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
9.2%
2 – 0
9.1%
3 – 1
7.9%
2 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
7.2%
4 – 1
6.3%
1 – 0
5.6%
1 – 1
5.5%
5 – 0
4.6%
5 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
3.5%
2 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 42% — 58%
-2 42% 20% 37%
-1.5 63% — 37%
-1 63% 18% 20%
-0.5 80% — 20%
+0.5 93% — 7%
+1 93% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
42% ✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.