Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hertha BSC, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sun 5 Mar 2023 · 14:30 UTC BayArena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hertha BSC — Bundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Patrick Ittrich
  • Referee Aarne Aarnink
  • Referee Norbert Grudzinski
  • Referee Henrik Bramlage
  • Referee Thomas Gorniak
  • Referee Gunter Perl

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar Hertha BSC H 4–1 W
26 Feb SC Freiburg A 1–1 D
23 Feb AS Monaco FC A 8–5 W
19 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–3 L
16 Feb AS Monaco FC H 2–3 L
11 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–4 L
25 Feb FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
19 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 1–4 L
12 Feb Borussia Mönchengladbach H 4–1 W
04 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–3 L
28 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–2 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Patrik Schick 4 G 1 A
Christian Kofane 2 G
Ibrahim Maza 1 G 1 A
Facundo Medina 1 G
Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.08 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Hertha BSC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen56% Draw23% Hertha BSC21%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
78%
Draw or Hertha BSC
44%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Hertha BSC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen40% Draw41% Hertha BSC19%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push Hertha BSC covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 16% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 21% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Hertha BSC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.