Burnley FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burnley FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at Turf Moor.
- Burnley FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 15 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee David Webb
- Assistant 1 Daniel Leach
- Assistant 2 Andrew Fox
4 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 5.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Nov | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Nov | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Oct | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Oct | Hull City AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov | Burnley FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Nov | Watford FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | Oxford United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Oct | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Oct | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Burnley FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #6 |
| 10 | Points | 26 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 1 / 7 / 7 | W / D / L | 8 / 2 / 5 |
| 22 | Scored | 22 |
| 31 | Conceded | 18 |
| -9 | GD | +4 |
| 0.67 | PPG | 1.73 |
| 7% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
40%
Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
Swansea City AFC this season
Burnley FC are 22nd (10 pts). Swansea City AFC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burnley FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
5/5
61-75
–/9
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Swansea City AFC
0-15
4/5
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/5
46-60
6/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burnley FC
| Largie Ramazani | 4 G | 1 A |
| Zeki Amdouni | 3 G | 1 A |
| Zian Flemming | 2 G |
Swansea City AFC
| Adam Idah | 4 G | 1 A |
| Joseph Opoku | 3 G | 2 A |
| Moussa Kounfolo Yeo | 3 G | |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Burnley FC and Swansea City AFC is underway.
- 5' The travelling Swansea City AFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Turf Moor. Burnley FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luke Williams will be considering his options from the bench.
- 25' With 0 assists to his name this season, Cyrus Christie is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Swansea City AFC.
- 30' Burnley FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 32' Josh Cullen was booked on 32.
- 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kyle Naughton made 395 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 42' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Burnley FC and Swansea City AFC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 47' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 52' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 57' Swansea City AFC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Adam Idah scoring 1 goals.
- 61' Swansea City AFC player sees a card in front of him.
- 62' The Swansea City AFC bench stirs into life. Zan Vipotnik is withdrawn and Florian Bianchini gets his opportunity.
- 67' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Swansea City AFC that had 395 games and scored 488 goals.
- 68' A change in the Burnley FC ranks — Lucas Pires exits the field as Bashir Humphreys enters on 68.
- 69' Luca Koleosho makes way for Enock Agyei at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burnley FC.
- 74' Swansea City AFC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 78' A change in the Swansea City AFC ranks — Myles Peart-Harris exits the field as Kyle Naughton enters on 78.
- 83' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 85' Cyrus Christie is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ronald at the 85 minute mark.
- 86' Liam Cullen was booked on 86.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Benjamin Cabango on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Burnley FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 14
-
24
Josh Cullen ↓ Josh Laurent 78'
-
19
Zian Flemming ↓ Jay Rodriguez 78'
- 11
- 1
- 7
- 5
-
23
Lucas Pires ↓ Bashir Humphreys 68'
- 6
-
30
Luca Koleosho ↓ Enock Agyei 69'
Bench
-
9
Jay Rodriguez ↑ 78'
- 16
- 32
- 37
-
28
Hannibal Mejbri ↑ 78'
- 39
-
12
Bashir Humphreys ↑ 68'
-
48
Enock Agyei ↑ 69'
-
29
Josh Laurent ↑ 78'
Coach
Scott Parker
Swansea City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
7
Joe Allen ↓ Liam Cullen 62'
- 8
- 22
- 2
- 6
- 5
- 14
- 17
- 25
- 9
-
35
Ronald ↓ Cyrus Christie 85'
Bench
-
26
Kyle Naughton ↑ 78'
-
20
Liam Cullen ↑ 62'
- 33
-
23
Cyrus Christie ↑ 85'
- 3
- 21
- 32
-
19
Florian Bianchini ↑ 62'
- 47
Coach
Luke Williams
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jay Rodriguez | 3 |
| Ian Maatsen | 3 |
| Vitinho | 1 |
| Anass Zaroury | 1 |
| Oliver Cooper | 1 |
| Josh Brownhill | 1 |
| Jaidon Anthony | 1 |
| Adam Idah | 1 |
Head to Head
Burnley FC Form
Swansea City AFC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.38
Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burnley FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Burnley FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
53%
Burnley FC or Swansea City AFC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
10.2%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Burnley FC
| Handicap | Burnley FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 21% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

