Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sun 10 Nov 2024 · 15:00 UTC Turf Moor 18,717 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jay Rodriguez pen 90+4' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Swansea City AFCChampionship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee David Webb
  • Assistant 1 Daniel Leach
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Fox

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Nov Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
07 Nov West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
03 Nov Millwall FC A 0–1 L
26 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC H 0–0 D
23 Oct Hull City AFC A 1–1 D
19 Oct Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Nov Burnley FC A 0–1 L
05 Nov Watford FC H 1–0 W
02 Nov Oxford United FC A 2–1 W
26 Oct Millwall FC H 0–1 L
22 Oct Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–0 D
19 Oct Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Turf Moor that hosts another battle between Burnley FC and Swansea City AFC.
  • 5' It looks surprising Burnley FC does not make any changes. Florian Bianchini has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Zian Flemming, as he is very good at scoring at Turf Moor with 5 goals in the last 5 games.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' Swansea City AFC is showing some good football. However, Swansea City AFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Swansea City AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' Swansea City AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 32' Josh Cullen was booked on 32.
  • 37' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 42' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 47' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 52' Cyrus Christie has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 57' Burnley FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 57.
  • 61' It’s gonna be a card for Ronald.
  • 62' Another substitution for Swansea City AFC to replace Zan Vipotnik by Florian Bianchini on 62 minute.
  • 67' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 68' Bashir Humphreys has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Pires on 68 minute.
  • 69' Another change for Burnley FC made on 69 minute. Luca Koleosho leaves to be changed by Enock Agyei.
  • 74' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matt Grimes suffering a number of foals already.
  • 78' Kyle Naughton is replacing Myles Peart-Harris for the Swansea City AFC side.
  • 83' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Connor Roberts made 383 appearances and scored 22 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 85' The whistle greets Ronald as he departs to be replaced by Cyrus Christie.
  • 86' It’s gonna be a card for Liam Cullen.
  • 90' Swansea City AFC player sees a card in front of him.
  • Full Time. Burnley FC beats Swansea City AFC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.34 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC54% Draw28% Swansea City AFC18%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 2.02
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
46%
Burnley FC or Swansea City AFC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC34% Draw53% Swansea City AFC13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
15.6%
1 – 1
12.9%
2 – 0
11.4%
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 1
7.8%
3 – 0
5%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 2
2.9%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 16% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 26% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
51%
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.