Millwall FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Burnley FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- Burnley FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Gavin Ward
- Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
- Assistant 2 Matthew Smith
6 games this season
🟨 3.8/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | Burnley FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | Swansea City AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Oct | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Derby County FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Oct | Cardiff City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Oct | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Oct | Hull City AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Oct | Preston North End FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Oct | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Burnley FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #22 |
| 18 | Points | 10 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 3 / 7 | W / D / L | 1 / 7 / 7 |
| 23 | Scored | 22 |
| 27 | Conceded | 31 |
| -4 | GD | -9 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 0.67 |
| 33% | Win % | 7% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts). Burnley FC are 22nd (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Burnley FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
5/5
61-75
–/9
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 5 G | 2 A |
| Camiel Neghli | 3 G | 3 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Burnley FC
| Largie Ramazani | 4 G | 1 A |
| Zeki Amdouni | 3 G | 1 A |
| Zian Flemming | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at The Den. Millwall FC are looking to make home advantage count against Burnley FC.
- 5' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 20' Millwall FC is showing some good football. However, Millwall FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 21' Controversy at the stadium! Jake Cooper argues furiously but the card stands.
- 23' Poor challenge from Joe Bryan. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 28' Millwall FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 33' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lukas Jensen suffering a number of foals already.
- 38' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 43' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 48' The 32-year-old Duncan Watmore has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 52' What composure from Jake Cooper! The England international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 57' Millwall FC currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 62' The travelling Burnley FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 63' A change in the Burnley FC ranks — Bashir Humphreys exits the field as Jeremy Sarmiento enters on 63.
- 64' Burnley FC ring the changes. Andreas Hountondji has done his job and it is now time for Jay Rodriguez to step up.
- 69' Belgium international Casper De Norre has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 73' Dan McNamara has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joe Bryan on 73 minute.
- 76' The Millwall FC manager makes a substitution. Femi Azeez departs to be replaced by Ryan Wintle.
- 77' A tactical swap from Millwall FC — Duncan Watmore on, Romain Esse off on 77 minutes.
- 82' Over 82 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 87' With 0 assists to his name this season, George Saville is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Millwall FC.
- 88' The referee shows Burnley FC player a card on 88.
- 90' A moment of madness from Hannibal Mejbri on 90 minutes earns him a card. Burnley FC will be frustrated.
- 90' Millwall FC ring the changes. George Honeyman has done his job and it is now time for Shaun Hutchinson to step up.
- With this win, Millwall FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 17
- 18
- 5
- 39
-
15
Joe Bryan ↓ Dan McNamara 73'
- 23
- 24
- 6
- 1
-
11
Femi Azeez ↓ Ryan Wintle 76'
-
25
Romain Esse ↓ Duncan Watmore 77'
Bench
-
4
Shaun Hutchinson ↑ 90'
-
19
Duncan Watmore ↑ 77'
- 13
-
14
Ryan Wintle ↑ 76'
-
2
Dan McNamara ↑ 73'
-
21
Josh Coburn ↑ 76'
- 22
- 26
- 16
Coach
Neil Harris
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 14
- 24
- 37
- 11
- 1
- 5
- 6
- 30
- 12
-
29
Josh Laurent ↓ Hannibal Mejbri 63'
Bench
-
9
Jay Rodriguez ↑ 64'
- 16
- 32
- 3
-
28
Hannibal Mejbri ↑ 63'
- 39
-
7
Jeremy Sarmiento ↑ 63'
- 23
- 48
Coach
Scott Parker
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ashley Barnes | 2 |
| Josh Brownhill | 2 |
| Jay Rodriguez | 1 |
| Vitinho | 1 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 1 |
| Jake Cooper | 1 |
| Mihailo Ivanovic | 1 |
| Jaidon Anthony | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.65
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24
Burnley FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Burnley FC
52%
Millwall FC or Burnley FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
7.5%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Burnley FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 21% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.