Millwall FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Burnley FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
- Burnley FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Gavin Ward
- Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
- Assistant 2 Matthew Smith
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | Burnley FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | Swansea City AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Oct | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Derby County FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Oct | Cardiff City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Oct | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Oct | Hull City AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Oct | Preston North End FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Oct | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds The Den will turn into a battlefield for Millwall FC and Burnley FC.
- 5' Millwall FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 20' Burnley FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 21' Jake Cooper is having his name booked by the referee on 21.
- 23' That looks like a foul for a card for Joe Bryan.
- 28' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Hannibal Mejbri suffering a number of foals already.
- 33' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Burnley FC winning 100% of all matches.
- 38' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Romain Esse made 382 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 43' Millwall FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 48' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 52' What a strike from Jake Cooper! The score is 1-0.
- 57' Jaidon Anthony needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 62' It’s high time Scott Parker made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 63' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace Bashir Humphreys by Jeremy Sarmiento on 63 minute.
- 64' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace Andreas Hountondji by Jay Rodriguez on 64 minute.
- 69' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Millwall FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Dan McNamara. He replaces Joe Bryan on 73 minute.
- 76' Time for substitution for Millwall FC. Femi Azeez is replaced by Ryan Wintle.
- 77' Duncan Watmore is replacing Romain Esse for the Millwall FC side.
- 82' Supporters expect more eagerness from Josh Laurent, as he is very good at scoring at The Den with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 87' The travelling Burnley FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 88' Burnley FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 88.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Hannibal Mejbri on 90.
- 90' Shaun Hutchinson has so much to prove this time. He replaces George Honeyman on 90 minute.
- Another three points for Millwall FC.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 17
- 18
- 5
- 39
-
15
Joe Bryan ↓ Dan McNamara 73'
- 23
- 24
- 6
- 1
-
11
Femi Azeez ↓ Ryan Wintle 76'
-
25
Romain Esse ↓ Duncan Watmore 77'
Bench
-
4
Shaun Hutchinson ↑ 90'
-
19
Duncan Watmore ↑ 77'
- 13
-
14
Ryan Wintle ↑ 76'
-
2
Dan McNamara ↑ 73'
-
21
Josh Coburn ↑ 76'
- 22
- 26
- 16
Coach
Neil Harris
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 14
- 24
- 37
- 11
- 1
- 5
- 6
- 30
- 12
-
29
Josh Laurent ↓ Hannibal Mejbri 63'
Bench
-
9
Jay Rodriguez ↑ 64'
- 16
- 32
- 3
-
28
Hannibal Mejbri ↑ 63'
- 39
-
7
Jeremy Sarmiento ↑ 63'
- 23
- 48
Coach
Scott Parker
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ashley Barnes | 2 |
| Josh Brownhill | 2 |
| Vitinho | 1 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 1 |
| Jake Cooper | 1 |
| Mihailo Ivanovic | 1 |
| Jaidon Anthony | 1 |
| Jay Rodriguez | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.06
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
Burnley FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.97
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 3.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Burnley FC
58%
Millwall FC or Burnley FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.5%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.3%
2 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 0
2.6%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Burnley FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 22% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 18% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.