Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 2 May 2026 · 16:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'
Patrik Schick 25' 1–0
Nathan Tella 45' 2–0
Patrik Schick 76' 3–0
Patrik Schick 89' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB LeipzigBundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz
  • Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
19 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May RB Leipzig H 4–1 W
25 Apr 1. FC Koln A 2–1 W
22 Apr FC Bayern München H 0–2 L
18 Apr FC Augsburg H 1–2 L
11 Apr Borussia Dortmund A 1–0 W
04 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 6–3 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–4 L
24 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–1 W
18 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–1 W
11 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–0 W
04 Apr SV Werder Bremen A 2–1 W
20 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 5–0 W

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen RB Leipzig
#6 Position #3
59 Points 65
34 Played 34
17 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 20 / 5 / 9
68 Scored 66
47 Conceded 47
+21 GD +19
1.74 PPG 1.91
50% Win % 59%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Bayer 04 Leverkusen is hosting RB Leipzig for another epic battle.
  • 5' Patrik Schick needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 14' Max Finkgrafe is having his name booked by the referee on 14.
  • 19' The travelling RB Leipzig supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 24' Bayer 04 Leverkusen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' GOAL! Patrik Schick scores on 25. Assisted by Nathan Tella
  • 30' Bayer 04 Leverkusen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 35' Bayer 04 Leverkusen looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Patrik Schick scoring 3 goals.
  • 40' RB Leipzig started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
  • 45' What a strike from Nathan Tella! The score is 2-0.
  • 50' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 50 minutes.
  • 55' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Bayer 04 Leverkusen winning 100% of all matches.
  • 60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bayer 04 Leverkusen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 65' It looks surprising RB Leipzig does not make any changes. Jarell Quansah has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 70' It looks like no one’s ball. Bayer 04 Leverkusen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 72' It’s gonna be a card for Xaver Schlager.
  • 76' GOAL! Patrik Schick scores on 76. Assisted by Ibrahim Maza
  • 80' What a strike from Christoph Baumgartner! The score is 3-1.
  • 85' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 86' Christoph Baumgartner was booked on 86.
  • 89' Patrik Schick makes a hat-trick on 89.
  • The final score is 4-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.33 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen51% Draw22% RB Leipzig27%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
73%
Draw or RB Leipzig
49%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or RB Leipzig
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen39% Draw37% RB Leipzig24%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
3.9%
1 – 0
3.6%
3 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 15% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 19% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 14% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 8% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
18%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.