RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union Berlin — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FC Union Berlin 34 games · 39 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Sven Jablonski
25 games this season
🟨 0.6/game
⚽ 4.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Apr | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | SV Werder Bremen | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Mar | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 5–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr | RB Leipzig | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Apr | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 1–3 | L |
| 05 Apr | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Mar | FC Bayern München | A | 0–4 | L |
| 15 Mar | SC Freiburg | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | 1. FC Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #11 |
| 65 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 20 / 5 / 9 | W / D / L | 10 / 9 / 15 |
| 66 | Scored | 44 |
| 47 | Conceded | 58 |
| +19 | GD | -14 |
| 1.91 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 59% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
21%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
1. FC Union Berlin this season
RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between RB Leipzig and 1. FC Union Berlin is underway.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 20' 1. FC Union Berlin looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Danilho Doekhi scoring 1 goals.
- 22' GOAL! Max Finkgrafe scores on 22.
- 25' Goal! Romulo Cruz scores his 3 goal in 373 matches.
- 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RB Leipzig needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 31' Time for substitution for 1. FC Union Berlin. Frederik Ronnow is replaced by Carl Klaus.
- 35' It’s a booking for RB Leipzig player. Christoph Baumgartner gets a card.
- 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with 1. FC Union Berlin winning 50% of all matches.
- 45' RB Leipzig started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
- 50' Supporters expect more eagerness from Janik Haberer, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena Leipzig with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 55' 1. FC Union Berlin seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 59' 1. FC Union Berlin manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ilyas Ansah is hanging Christopher Trimmel on the field on 59 minute.
- 60' The supporters are chanting for Aljoscha Kemlein. He replaces Janik Haberer on 60 minute.
- 63' What a strike from Ridle Baku! The score is 3-0.
- 68' Brajan Gruda is replacing Romulo Cruz for the RB Leipzig side.
- 73' Ilyas Ansah has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 78' Goal! Danilho Doekhi scores his 14 goal in 282 matches.
- 79' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Yan Diomande is replaced by Johan Bakayoko.
- 83' Another substitution for 1. FC Union Berlin to replace Andras Schafer by Livan Burcu on 83 minute.
- 84' Diogo Leite is having his name booked by the referee on 84.
- 89' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Tidiam Gomis. He replaces Antonio Nusa on 90 minute.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for 1. FC Union Berlin.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
Starting XI
-
17
Ridle Baku ↓ Benjamin Henrichs 79'
- 14
- 4
- 24
- 26
- 5
-
7
Antonio Nusa ↓ Tidiam Gomis 90'
-
40
Romulo Cruz ↓ Brajan Gruda 68'
-
20
Assan Ouedraogo ↓ Conrad Harder 68'
- 35
-
49
Yan Diomande ↓ Johan Bakayoko 79'
Bench
-
39
Benjamin Henrichs ↑ 79'
- 1
- 16
-
9
Johan Bakayoko ↑ 79'
-
10
Brajan Gruda ↑ 68'
-
11
Conrad Harder ↑ 68'
-
27
Tidiam Gomis ↑ 90'
- 19
- 33
Coach
Ole Werner
1. FC Union Berlin Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 5
- 8
- 19
-
1
Frederik Ronnow ↓ Carl Klaus 31'
- 28
- 4
-
13
Andras Schafer ↓ Livan Burcu 83'
- 15
-
23
Andrej Ilic ↓ Josip Juranovic 60'
- 14
Bench
- 21
-
18
Josip Juranovic ↑ 60'
- 33
-
25
Carl Klaus ↑ 31'
- 39
-
6
Aljoscha Kemlein ↑ 60'
- 34
-
9
Livan Burcu ↑ 83'
-
10
Ilyas Ansah ↑ 59'
Coach
Marie-Louise Eta
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 3 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 3 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 3 |
| Sheraldo Becker | 3 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 2 |
| Marcel Sabitzer | 2 |
| Emil Forsberg | 2 |
| Marvin Friedrich | 1 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
1. FC Union Berlin Form
2026-04-24
RB Leipzig
3–1
1. FC Union Berlin
L
2026-04-18
1. FC Union Berlin
1–2
VfL Wolfsburg
L
2026-04-11
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
3–1
1. FC Union Berlin
L
2026-04-05
1. FC Union Berlin
1–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
D
2026-03-21
FC Bayern München
4–0
1. FC Union Berlin
L
2026-03-15
SC Freiburg
0–1
1. FC Union Berlin
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.3
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89
1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for:
RB Leipzig to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
86%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
34%
RB Leipzig or 1. FC Union Berlin
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
9.1%
3 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
5.6%
4 – 0
4.6%
4 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | 1. FC Union Berlin covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -2 | 25% | 20% | 55% |
| -1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 22% | 32% |
| -0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

