Sunday , 16 August 2026

RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Fri 24 Apr 2026 · 18:30 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 1.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–1 W
18 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–1 W
11 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–0 W
04 Apr SV Werder Bremen A 2–1 W
20 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 5–0 W
15 Mar VfB Stuttgart A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
18 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 1–2 L
11 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–3 L
05 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–1 D
21 Mar FC Bayern München A 0–4 L
15 Mar SC Freiburg A 1–0 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig 1. FC Union Berlin
#9 Position #17
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 17th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! RB Leipzig welcome 1. FC Union Berlin for this crunch clash at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RB Leipzig side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' Oliver Burke, a Scotland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' 1. FC Union Berlin started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 22' What composure from Max Finkgrafe! The Germany international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 25' Romulo Cruz does the damage! The net is bulging and RB Leipzig surge ahead!
  • 30' Tom Rothe has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 31' The 1. FC Union Berlin manager makes a substitution. Frederik Ronnow departs to be replaced by Carl Klaus.
  • 35' That looks like a foul for a card for Christoph Baumgartner.
  • 40' RB Leipzig are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against 1. FC Union Berlin's shape.
  • 45' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 50' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and 1. FC Union Berlin are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 55' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 59' Ilyas Ansah gets the nod from 1. FC Union Berlin. He replaces Christopher Trimmel and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 60' 1. FC Union Berlin manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Aljoscha Kemlein is hanging Janik Haberer on the field on 60 minute.
  • 63' Assisted by Yan Diomande with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ridle Baku makes no mistake. 3-0!
  • 68' The supporters are chanting for Brajan Gruda. He replaces Romulo Cruz on 68 minute.
  • 73' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FC Union Berlin needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 78' Danilho Doekhi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 78 minutes.
  • 79' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Yan Diomande has done his job and it is now time for Johan Bakayoko to step up.
  • 83' A tactical swap from 1. FC Union BerlinLivan Burcu on, Andras Schafer off on 83 minutes.
  • 84' A moment of madness from Diogo Leite on 84 minutes earns him a card. 1. FC Union Berlin will be frustrated.
  • 89' Ilyas Ansah has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 90' Antonio Nusa makes way for Tidiam Gomis at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
  • The final score is 3-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.12 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.36 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 81% + Under — clean sheet likely 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig56% Draw31% 1. FC Union Berlin13%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes22% 0% No78%
Avg goals/match: 1.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 75%
25%
± 1.5 44%
56%
± 2.5 19%
81%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
88%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
44%
RB Leipzig or 1. FC Union Berlin
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig33% Draw61% 1. FC Union Berlin6%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
25.2%
1 – 0
24.4%
2 – 0
13.6%
1 – 1
9.8%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
1.6%
4 – 0
1.4%
0 – 2
1.2%
2 – 2
1%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 16% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 30% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 90% 10%
+1 90% 8% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
70%
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.