Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Fri 24 Apr 2026 · 18:30 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
25 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 4.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–1 W
18 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–1 W
11 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–0 W
04 Apr SV Werder Bremen A 2–1 W
20 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 5–0 W
15 Mar VfB Stuttgart A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
18 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 1–2 L
11 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–3 L
05 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–1 D
21 Mar FC Bayern München A 0–4 L
15 Mar SC Freiburg A 1–0 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig 1. FC Union Berlin
#3 Position #11
65 Points 39
34 Played 34
20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 9 / 15
66 Scored 44
47 Conceded 58
+19 GD -14
1.91 PPG 1.15
59% Win % 29%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between RB Leipzig and 1. FC Union Berlin is underway.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' 1. FC Union Berlin looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Danilho Doekhi scoring 1 goals.
  • 22' GOAL! Max Finkgrafe scores on 22.
  • 25' Goal! Romulo Cruz scores his 3 goal in 373 matches.
  • 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RB Leipzig needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 31' Time for substitution for 1. FC Union Berlin. Frederik Ronnow is replaced by Carl Klaus.
  • 35' It’s a booking for RB Leipzig player. Christoph Baumgartner gets a card.
  • 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with 1. FC Union Berlin winning 50% of all matches.
  • 45' RB Leipzig started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
  • 50' Supporters expect more eagerness from Janik Haberer, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena Leipzig with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 55' 1. FC Union Berlin seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 59' 1. FC Union Berlin manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ilyas Ansah is hanging Christopher Trimmel on the field on 59 minute.
  • 60' The supporters are chanting for Aljoscha Kemlein. He replaces Janik Haberer on 60 minute.
  • 63' What a strike from Ridle Baku! The score is 3-0.
  • 68' Brajan Gruda is replacing Romulo Cruz for the RB Leipzig side.
  • 73' Ilyas Ansah has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 78' Goal! Danilho Doekhi scores his 14 goal in 282 matches.
  • 79' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Yan Diomande is replaced by Johan Bakayoko.
  • 83' Another substitution for 1. FC Union Berlin to replace Andras Schafer by Livan Burcu on 83 minute.
  • 84' Diogo Leite is having his name booked by the referee on 84.
  • 89' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Tidiam Gomis. He replaces Antonio Nusa on 90 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for 1. FC Union Berlin.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.3 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig66% Draw20% 1. FC Union Berlin14%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
86%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
34%
RB Leipzig or 1. FC Union Berlin
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig49% Draw39% 1. FC Union Berlin12%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
9.1%
3 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
5.6%
4 – 0
4.6%
4 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 20% 55%
-1.5 45% 55%
-1 45% 22% 32%
-0.5 68% 32%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
42%
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.