Sunday , 13 September 2026

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
RB Leipzig
2 – 1
Full Time
FC St. Pauli 1910
Sat 9 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig 47,800 HT 45' · FT 45'
Xaver Schlager 45' 1–0
Willi Orban 54' 2–0
2–1 86' Abdoulie Ceesay
Castello Lukeba 19' Y
Christoph Baumgartner 50' Y

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
3 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 22.7 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SC Freiburg 3 9
2 Borussia Dortmund 3 9
3 FC Augsburg 3 7
4 SV 07 Elversberg 2 6
5 FC Bayern Munchen 2 4
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 4
7 1. FSV Mainz 05 3 4
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 3 4
9 SV Werder Bremen 3 4
10 FC Schalke 04 3 4
11 1. FC Koln 3 4
12 RB Leipzig 2 3
13 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
14 VfB Stuttgart 3 3
15 SC Paderborn 07 3 1
16 1. FC Union Berlin 3 1
17 Hamburger SV 2 0
18 Borussia Monchengladbach 3 0

Head-to-Head

3
2
RB Leipzig 5 games · Avg 2.6 goals FC St. Pauli 1910
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-09 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 2026-01-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 RB Leipzig 2025-02-09 RB Leipzig 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-10-29 RB Leipzig 4–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-09-22 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–0 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W
02 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–4 L
24 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–1 W
18 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–1 W
11 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–0 W
04 Apr SV Werder Bremen A 2–1 W
FC St. Pauli 1910
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May RB Leipzig A 1–2 L
03 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
25 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–2 L
17 Apr 1. FC Koln H 1–1 D
11 Apr FC Bayern Munchen H 0–5 L
05 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–1 D

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G
Antonio Nusa 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. FC St. Pauli 1910 get us underway at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 19' The referee calls foul for Castello Lukeba. He receives a card.
  • 24' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 29' Joel Fujita is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC St. Pauli 1910 tonight.
  • 34' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and FC St. Pauli 1910 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 39' FC St. Pauli 1910 have won 146 goals from 275 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Christoph Baumgartner, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena Leipzig with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 45' Xaver Schlager makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and RB Leipzig are in front.
  • 50' A moment of madness from Christoph Baumgartner on 50 minutes earns him a card. RB Leipzig will be frustrated.
  • 54' Magnificent from Willi Orban! That is 30 goals in 513 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 59' Ridle Baku has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 64' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 64 minutes.
  • 69' RB Leipzig started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 69.
  • 74' With 1 assists to his name this season, Yan Diomande is clearly more than just a goal scorer for RB Leipzig.
  • 79' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 84' RB Leipzig are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 86' Goal! Abdoulie Ceesay scores his 3 goal in 275 matches.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ole Werner

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Alexander Blessin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Yussuf Poulsen 2
Morgan Guilavogui 1
Christoph Baumgartner 1
Antonio Nusa 1
Xavi Simons 1
Benjamin Sesko 1
Abdoulie Ceesay 1
Willi Orban 1

Head to Head

2026-05-09 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 2026-01-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 RB Leipzig 2025-02-09 RB Leipzig 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-10-29 RB Leipzig 4–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-09-22 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–0 RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig Form

2026-05-09 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2026-05-02 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–1 RB Leipzig L 2026-04-24 RB Leipzig 3–1 1. FC Union Berlin W 2026-04-18 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 RB Leipzig W 2026-04-11 RB Leipzig 1–0 Borussia Monchengladbach W 2026-04-04 SV Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig W

FC St. Pauli 1910 Form

2026-05-09 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2026-05-03 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-04-25 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2026-04-17 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 1. FC Koln D 2026-04-11 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–5 FC Bayern Munchen L 2026-04-05 1. FC Union Berlin 1–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.63 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig57% Draw25% FC St. Pauli 191018%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
82%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
43%
RB Leipzig or FC St. Pauli 1910
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig37% Draw47% FC St. Pauli 191016%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
11.9%
2 – 0
10.1%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
5.4%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 24% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
41% ✓
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.