Wednesday , 30 September 2026

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
RB Leipzig
2 – 1
Full Time
FC St. Pauli 1910
Sat 9 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig 47,800 HT 45' · FT 45'
Xaver Schlager 45' 1–0
Willi Orban 54' 2–0
2–1 86' Abdoulie Ceesay
Castello Lukeba 19' Y
Christoph Baumgartner 50' Y

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 24.0 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

3
2
RB Leipzig 5 games · Avg 2.6 goals FC St. Pauli 1910
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-09 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 2026-01-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 RB Leipzig 2025-02-09 RB Leipzig 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-10-29 RB Leipzig 4–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-09-22 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–0 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W
02 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–4 L
24 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–1 W
18 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–1 W
11 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–0 W
04 Apr SV Werder Bremen A 2–1 W
FC St. Pauli 1910
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May RB Leipzig A 1–2 L
03 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
25 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–2 L
17 Apr 1. FC Köln H 1–1 D
11 Apr FC Bayern München H 0–5 L
05 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–1 D

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against RB Leipzig and FC St. Pauli 1910 has kicked off!
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. RB Leipzig is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena Leipzig. RB Leipzig seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' FC St. Pauli 1910 is showing some good football. However, FC St. Pauli 1910 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 19' RB Leipzig player sees a card in front of him.
  • 24' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 29' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Martijn Kaars suffering a number of foals already.
  • 34' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RB Leipzig side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 39' RB Leipzig are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against FC St. Pauli 1910's 3-5-2 shape.
  • 44' FC St. Pauli 1910 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 45' Brilliant from the midfielder! Xaver Schlager makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 45.
  • 50' Christoph Baumgartner catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 50.
  • 54' The deadlock is broken! Willi Orban gets on the scoresheet on 54 minutes.
  • 59' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RB Leipzig needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 69' Lars Ritzka needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 74' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 79' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alexander Blessin might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 84' Yan Diomande has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 519 appearances.
  • 86' Abdoulie Ceesay doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ole Werner

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Alexander Blessin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Yussuf Poulsen 2
Christoph Baumgartner 1
Antonio Nusa 1
Xavi Simons 1
Benjamin Sesko 1
Abdoulie Ceesay 1
Willi Orban 1
Xaver Schlager 1

Head to Head

2026-05-09 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 2026-01-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 RB Leipzig 2025-02-09 RB Leipzig 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-10-29 RB Leipzig 4–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-09-22 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–0 RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig Form

2026-05-09 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2026-05-02 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–1 RB Leipzig L 2026-04-24 RB Leipzig 3–1 1. FC Union Berlin W 2026-04-18 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 RB Leipzig W 2026-04-11 RB Leipzig 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach W 2026-04-04 SV Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig W

FC St. Pauli 1910 Form

2026-05-09 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2026-05-03 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-04-25 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2026-04-17 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 1. FC Köln D 2026-04-11 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–5 FC Bayern München L 2026-04-05 1. FC Union Berlin 1–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.63 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig57% Draw25% FC St. Pauli 191018%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
82%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
43%
RB Leipzig or FC St. Pauli 1910
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig37% Draw47% FC St. Pauli 191016%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
11.9%
2 – 0
10.1%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
5.4%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 24% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
41% ✓
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.