RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

RB Leipzig

2 – 1

Full Time

FC St. Pauli 1910

Sat 9 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig 47,800 HT 45' · FT 45'

Xaver Schlager 45' 1–0

Willi Orban 54' 2–0

2–1 86' Abdoulie Ceesay

Castello Lukeba 19' Y

Christoph Baumgartner 50' Y

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Benjamin Brand
Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller

19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 6.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

RB Leipzig 5 games · Avg 2.6 goals FC St. Pauli 1910

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-09 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 2026-01-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 RB Leipzig 2025-02-09 RB Leipzig 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-10-29 RB Leipzig 4–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-09-22 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–0 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 May	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	2–1	W
02 May	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–4	L
24 Apr	1. FC Union Berlin	H	3–1	W
18 Apr	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	3–1	W
11 Apr	Borussia Monchengladbach	H	1–0	W
04 Apr	SV Werder Bremen	A	2–1	W

FC St. Pauli 1910

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 May	RB Leipzig	A	1–2	L
03 May	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–2	L
25 Apr	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	0–2	L
17 Apr	1. FC Koln	H	1–1	D
11 Apr	FC Bayern München	H	0–5	L
05 Apr	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

RB Leipzig		FC St. Pauli 1910
#3	Position	#18
65	Points	26
34	Played	34
20 / 5 / 9	W / D / L	6 / 8 / 20
66	Scored	29
47	Conceded	60
+19	GD	-31
1.91	PPG	0.76
59%	Win %	18%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig

0-15

1/–

16-30

3/3

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

3/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC St. Pauli 1910

0-15

–/3

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/3

46-60

1/4

61-75

1/1

76+

2/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: FC St. Pauli 1910 gets underway.
5' It’s high time Alexander Blessin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with RB Leipzig winning 50% of all matches.
19' It’s a booking for RB Leipzig player. Castello Lukeba gets a card.
24' Maarten Vandevoordt has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 42 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
29' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 29 minutes.
34' It looks surprising FC St. Pauli 1910 does not make any changes. David Raum has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
39' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
44' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Willi Orban suffering a number of foals already.
45' RB Leipzig is taking the lead after the goal scored by Xaver Schlager on 45.
50' Christoph Baumgartner was booked on 50.
54' Goal! Willi Orban scores his 30 goal in 513 matches.
59' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RB Leipzig needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
64' Andreas Hountondji needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
69' It looks like no one’s ball. FC St. Pauli 1910 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
74' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC St. Pauli 1910 that had 273 games and scored 143 goals.
79' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
84' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
86' What a strike from Abdoulie Ceesay! The score is 2-1.
With this win, RB Leipzig is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ole Werner

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Alexander Blessin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yussuf Poulsen	2
Eric Smith	1
Morgan Guilavogui	1
Christoph Baumgartner	1
Antonio Nusa	1
Xavi Simons	1
Benjamin Sesko	1
Abdoulie Ceesay	1

Head to Head

RB Leipzig Form

2026-05-09 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2026-05-02 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–1 RB Leipzig L 2026-04-24 RB Leipzig 3–1 1. FC Union Berlin W 2026-04-18 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 RB Leipzig W 2026-04-11 RB Leipzig 1–0 Borussia Monchengladbach W 2026-04-04 SV Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig W

FC St. Pauli 1910 Form

2026-05-09 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2026-05-03 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-04-25 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2026-04-17 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 1. FC Koln D 2026-04-11 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–5 FC Bayern München L 2026-04-05 1. FC Union Berlin 1–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.2 RB Leipzig xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.74 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG

I would bet for: RB Leipzig to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct

RB Leipzig69% Draw20% FC St. Pauli 191011%

Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.94

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw

89%

Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910

31%

RB Leipzig or FC St. Pauli 1910

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

RB Leipzig50% Draw41% FC St. Pauli 19109%

Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

12.7%

1 – 0

11.2%

1 – 1

9.3%

2 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

0 – 0

6.9%

3 – 1

6.7%

4 – 0

4 – 1

3.8%

2 – 2

3.4%

0 – 1

3.2%

1 – 2

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap	RB Leipzig covers	Push	FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5	25%	—	75%
-2	25%	21%	54%
-1.5	46%	—	54%
-1	46%	23%	31%
-0.5	69%	—	31%
+0.5	90%	—	10%
+1	90%	7%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	2%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

48% ✓

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.