Wednesday , 30 September 2026

RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
2 – 0
Full Time
Wed 14 Jan 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
4 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 30.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan SC Freiburg H 2–0 W
20 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–3 L
12 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–3 L
06 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 6–0 W
02 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg H 3–1 W
28 Nov Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
10 Jan Hamburger SV H 2–1 W
20 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 4–3 W
14 Dec Borussia Dortmund H 1–1 D
11 Dec FC Red Bull Salzburg H 1–0 W
06 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–2 L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig SC Freiburg
#9 Position #3
6 Points 10
4 Played 4
2 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 0
9 Scored 12
5 Conceded 3
+4 GD +9
1.50 PPG 2.50
50% Win % 75%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
50% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts). SC Freiburg are 3rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.8 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig49% Draw24% SC Freiburg27%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
72%
Draw or SC Freiburg
51%
RB Leipzig or SC Freiburg
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig33% Draw42% SC Freiburg25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
6.1%
0 – 0
5.3%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 16% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
24% ✗
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.