Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
2 0
Full Time
Wed 14 Jan 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs SC FreiburgBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
18 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 4.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan SC Freiburg H 2–0 W
20 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–3 L
12 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–3 L
06 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 6–0 W
02 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg H 3–1 W
28 Nov Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
10 Jan Hamburger SV H 2–1 W
20 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 4–3 W
14 Dec Borussia Dortmund H 1–1 D
11 Dec FC Red Bull Salzburg H 1–0 W
06 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–2 L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig SC Freiburg
#3 Position #7
65 Points 47
34 Played 34
20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 13 / 8 / 13
66 Scored 51
47 Conceded 57
+19 GD -6
1.91 PPG 1.38
59% Win % 38%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.45 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + RB Leipzig to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig63% Draw20% SC Freiburg17%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
83%
Draw or SC Freiburg
37%
RB Leipzig or SC Freiburg
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig48% Draw37% SC Freiburg15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 1
8.5%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
6.6%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
4 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 0
4%
4 – 0
4%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 19% 57%
-1.5 43% 57%
-1 43% 21% 35%
-0.5 65% 35%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
32%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.