Thursday , 2 July 2026

Atalanta BC vs FC Bayern München, Champions League 2025-26 LAST 16

UEFA Champions League · 2025-26
Atalanta BC
1 – 6
Full Time
FC Bayern München
Tue 10 Mar 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs FC Bayern München — Champions League .

Match Details

  • Referee Espen Eskas (Norway)
11 games this season 🟨 1.5/game ⚽ 4.7 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Arsenal FC 8 24
2 FC Bayern München 8 21
3 Liverpool FC 8 18
4 Tottenham Hotspur FC 8 17
5 FC Barcelona 8 16
6 Chelsea FC 8 16
7 Sporting Clube de Portugal 8 16
8 Manchester City FC 8 16
9 Real Madrid CF 8 15
10 FC Internazionale Milano 8 15
11 Paris Saint-Germain FC 8 14
12 Newcastle United FC 8 14
13 Juventus FC 8 13
14 Club Atletico de Madrid 8 13
15 Atalanta BC 8 13
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 12
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 11
18 PAE Olympiakos SFP 8 11
19 Club Brugge KV 8 10
20 Galatasaray SK 8 10
21 AS Monaco FC 8 10
22 Qarabag Agdam FK 8 10
23 FK Bodø/Glimt 8 9
24 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 8 9
25 Olympique de Marseille 8 9
26 Paphos FC 8 9
27 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 9
28 PSV 8 8
29 Athletic Club 8 8
30 SSC Napoli 8 8
31 FC København 8 8
32 AFC Ajax 8 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 4
34 SK Slavia Praha 8 3
35 Villarreal CF 8 1
36 FK Kairat 8 1

Head-to-Head

2
Atalanta BC 2 games · Avg 6.0 goals FC Bayern München
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-10 Atalanta BC 1–6 FC Bayern München

Recent Form

Atalanta BC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Mar FC Bayern München H 1–6 L
07 Mar Udinese Calcio H 2–2 D
01 Mar US Sassuolo Calcio A 1–2 L
25 Feb Borussia Dortmund H 4–1 W
22 Feb SSC Napoli H 2–1 W
17 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 0–2 L
FC Bayern München
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Mar Atalanta BC A 6–1 W
06 Mar Borussia Monchengladbach H 4–1 W
28 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 3–2 W
21 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–2 W
14 Feb SV Werder Bremen A 3–0 W
11 Feb RB Leipzig H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Atalanta BC FC Bayern München
#15 Position #2
13 Points 21
8 Played 8
4 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 1
10 Scored 22
10 Conceded 8
+0 GD +14
1.63 PPG 2.63
50% Win % 88%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season
14% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Atalanta BC are 15th (13 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Atalanta BC Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.13 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.33 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + FC Bayern München to win 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC15% Draw17% FC Bayern München68%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 4.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 63%
37%
± 4.5 44%
56%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
33%
Draw or FC Bayern München
85%
Atalanta BC or FC Bayern München
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC10% Draw30% FC Bayern München60%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–6 not predicted
1 – 6
Actual
1 – 3
7.9%
1 – 2
7.3%
0 – 3
7.2%
0 – 2
6.7%
1 – 4
6.5%
0 – 4
5.8%
1 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.4%
1 – 5
4.4%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 1
3.9%
0 – 5
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 2% 97%
-1.5 3% — 97%
-1 3% 6% 91%
-0.5 9% — 91%
+0.5 22% — 78%
+1 22% 17% 60%
+1.5 40% — 60%
+2 40% 20% 41%
+2.5 59% — 41%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
4% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.