Thursday , 2 July 2026

Romania vs Ukraine, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE

3 0
Full Time
Mon 17 Jun 2024 · 13:00 UTC Allianz Arena 61,591 HT 45' · FT 45'
Nicolae Stanciu 29' 1–0
Razvan Marin 53' 2–0
Denis Dragus 57' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Romania vs UkraineEuropean Championship at Allianz Arena.

  • Romania 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Ukraine 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Glenn Nyberg
  • Assistant 1 Mahbod Beigi
  • Assistant 2 Andreas Soderqvist (Sweden)
16 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 4.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jun Ukraine H 3–0 W
05 May Shaftesbury FC H 0–1 L
28 Apr SSC Napoli A 1–1 D
24 Apr PFC CSKA Moskva H 3–1 W
21 Apr FC Schalke 04 H 1–1 D
17 Apr Galatasaray SK H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jun Romania A 0–3 L
03 Jul England H 0–4 L
29 Jun Sweden A 2–1 W
21 Jun Austria H 0–1 L
17 Jun North Macedonia H 2–1 W
13 Jun Netherlands A 2–3 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Romania this season
33% Clean Sheets
Ukraine this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Romania
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/
46-60
2/
61-75
/
76+
/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Ukraine
0-15
/
16-30
/2
31-45
/
46-60
1/2
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Romania and Ukraine is underway.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Ukraine needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Romania that had 148 games and scored 15 goals.
  • 20' Illia Zabarnyi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Volodymyr Brazhko made 164 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 29' Romania is taking the lead after the goal scored by Nicolae Stanciu on 29.
  • 34' Supporters expect more eagerness from Dennis Man, as he is very good at scoring at Allianz Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 39' The travelling Ukraine supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 44' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Romania winning 100% of all matches.
  • 49' It looks like no one’s ball. Ukraine is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 53' GOAL! Razvan Marin scores on 53.
  • 57' Goal! Denis Dragus scores his 15 goal in 8 matches.
  • 62' It is a substitution in Romania team. Dennis Man is replaced by Valentin Mihaila on 62 minute.
  • 67' The referee shows Ukraine player a card on 67.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Ukraine. Yukhym Konoplya is replaced by Oleksandr Tymchyk.
  • 75' Another change for Romania made on 75 minute. Marius Mihai Marin leaves to be changed by Adrian Rus.
  • 79' The referee shows Romania player a card on 79.
  • 83' Another change for Ukraine made on 83 minute. Heorhii Sudakov leaves to be changed by Ruslan Malinovskiy.
  • 87' Another change for Romania made on 87 minute. Nicolae Stanciu leaves to be changed by Bogdan Racovitan.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Romania and Ukraine (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.6 Romania xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Ukraine xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Romania52% Draw26% Ukraine22%
Actual: Romania win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Romania or Draw
78%
Draw or Ukraine
48%
Romania or Ukraine
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Romania36% Draw47% Ukraine17%
Actual: Romania win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Romania

Handicap Romania covers Push Ukraine covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Romania keeps clean sheet
38%
Ukraine keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.