Romania vs Ukraine, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Romania vs Ukraine — European Championship at Allianz Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Glenn Nyberg
- Assistant 1 Mahbod Beigi
- Assistant 2 Andreas Soderqvist (Sweden)
17 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 4.5 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun | Ukraine | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 May | Shaftesbury FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Apr | SSC Napoli | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Apr | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Apr | FC Schalke 04 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Apr | Galatasaray SK | H | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Romania this season
Romania this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Ukraine this season
Ukraine this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Romania
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Ukraine
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Romania
| Razvan Marin | 2 G |
| Denis Dragus | 1 G |
| Nicolae Stanciu | 1 G |
Ukraine
| Mykola Shaparenko | 1 G | 1 A |
| Roman Yaremchuk | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Allianz Arena. Romania are looking to make home advantage count against Ukraine.
- 5' Romania started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' Romania looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Nicolae Stanciu scoring 1 goals.
- 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 20' Ukraine is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 29' A stunning finish from Nicolae Stanciu — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 34' Dennis Man is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Ukraine so far.
- 39' It looks like no one’s ball. Romania is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 44' Ukraine seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 49' Mykola Shaparenko has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 164 appearances.
- 53' What a moment for Razvan Marin! That strike on 53 puts his side firmly in control.
- 57' Denis Dragus is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 62' Time for substitution for Romania. Dennis Man is replaced by Valentin Mihaila.
- 67' It’s gonna be a card for Yukhym Konoplya.
- 72' A change in the Ukraine ranks — Yukhym Konoplya exits the field as Oleksandr Tymchyk enters on 72.
- 75' Romania ring the changes. Marius Mihai Marin has done his job and it is now time for Adrian Rus to step up.
- 79' A moment of madness from Razvan Marin on 79 minutes earns him a card. Romania will be frustrated.
- 83' The whistle greets Heorhii Sudakov as he departs to be replaced by Ruslan Malinovskiy.
- 87' The crowd applauds Nicolae Stanciu as he leaves the pitch. Bogdan Racovitan steps in for Romania.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-0.
Lineups
Romania Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
-
6
Marius Mihai Marin ↓ Adrian Rus 75'
-
19
Denis Dragus ↓ George Puscas 75'
- 18
- 21
- 11
-
20
Dennis Man ↓ Valentin Mihaila 62'
-
17
Florinel Coman ↓ Ianis Hagi 62'
- 1
- 2
- 15
- 3
Bench
- 22
-
9
George Puscas ↑ 75'
- 7
-
10
Ianis Hagi ↑ 62'
- 5
- 8
-
13
Valentin Mihaila ↑ 62'
-
4
Adrian Rus ↑ 75'
- 14
- 26
-
24
Bogdan Racovitan ↑ 87'
- 16
- 25
- 12
- 23
Ukraine Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 17
- 23
- 15
- 19
- 6
- 11
- 10
- 13
- 14
- 2
- 22
Bench
-
7
Andrii Yarmolenko ↑ 62'
- 16
-
9
Roman Yaremchuk ↑ 62'
- 3
-
24
Oleksandr Tymchyk ↑ 72'
- 26
- 20
- 12
- 21
- 25
- 4
- 5
-
8
Ruslan Malinovskiy ↑ 83'
- 1
-
18
Volodymyr Brazhko ↑ 62'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nicolae Stanciu | 1 |
| Denis Dragus | 1 |
| Razvan Marin | 1 |
Head to Head
Romania Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.6
Romania xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Ukraine xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Romania win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Romania or Draw
78%
Draw or Ukraine
48%
Romania or Ukraine
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Romania win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Romania
| Handicap | Romania covers | Push | Ukraine covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 23% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Romania keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Ukraine keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.