Sunday , 8 November 2026

Real Madrid CF vs UD Almería, La Liga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2022-23
Sat 29 Apr 2023 · 16:30 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs UD Almería — La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Naranjo
  • Referee Guillermo Cuadra
  • Referee Aitor Villate
  • Referee David Medie
  • Referee Victor Perez
  • Referee Julian Villasenor (Spain)

Head-to-Head

4
Real Madrid CF 4 games · Avg 4.5 goals UD Almería

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr UD Almería H 4–2 W
25 Apr Girona FC A 2–4 L
22 Apr RC Celta de Vigo H 2–0 W
18 Apr Chelsea FC A 2–0 W
15 Apr Cadiz CF A 2–0 W
12 Apr Chelsea FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–4 L
26 Apr Getafe CF A 2–1 W
22 Apr Athletic Club H 1–2 L
16 Apr Club Atletico de Madrid A 1–2 L
09 Apr Valencia CF H 2–1 W
02 Apr RC Celta de Vigo A 2–2 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
3/–
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
4/2
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 13 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 4 G 3 A
Arda Guler 3 G 4 A
Yan Diomande 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Real Madrid CF to score. At the same time, UD Almería does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Karim Benzema is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
  • 10' With 1 assists to his name this season, Eduardo Camavinga is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Real Madrid CF.
  • 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Real Madrid CF and UD Almería are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 17' GOAL! Karim Benzema scores on 17. Assisted by Rodrygo
  • 22' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering UD Almería that had 172 games and scored 210 goals.
  • 27' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 32' Toni Kroos needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 28 Yellow cards this season.
  • 37' Vinicius Junior is having his name booked by the referee on 37.
  • 42' A goal from the France international Karim Benzema! He fires home on 42 to make it 3-0!
  • 46' GOAL! Lazaro fires home to make it 3-1!
  • 47' What a strike from Rodrygo! The score is 4-1.
  • 48' Brilliant from the ! Rodrygo makes it 5-1 with a superb finish on 48.
  • 53' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 57' Fresh legs for UD Almeria! Lucas Robertone comes on to replace Cesar de la Hoz.
  • 58' Time for substitution for UD Almeria. Arnau Puigmal is replaced by Inigo Eguaras.
  • 61' Lucas Robertone makes no mistake. The score reads 5-2 and UD Almeria are in front.
  • 64' Largie Ramazani makes way for Luis Suarez at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from UD Almeria.
  • 66' It’s a booking for UD Almeria player. Lazaro gets a Yellow card.
  • 67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Houboulang Mendes on 67.
  • 72' The Real Madrid CF bench stirs into life. Toni Kroos is withdrawn and Nacho gets his opportunity.
  • 74' Real Madrid CF receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 74.
  • 75' Alex Centelles gets the nod from UD Almeria. He replaces Sergio Akieme and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 82' The Real Madrid CF bench stirs into life. Vinicius Junior is withdrawn and Dani Carvajal gets his opportunity.
  • 87' It looks surprising Real Madrid CF does not make any changes. Inigo Eguaras has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • It finishes all square. Real Madrid CF and UD Almería share the spoils 4-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.09 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 UD Almería xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF57% Draw22% UD Almería21%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
80%
Draw or UD Almería
43%
Real Madrid CF or UD Almería
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF41% Draw41% UD Almería18%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.2%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push UD Almería covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 17% 66%
-1.5 34% — 66%
-1 34% 21% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
UD Almería keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.