Saturday , 14 November 2026

Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2023-24 QUARTER FINALS

4 – 5
3 – 4 pen
Full Time
Wed 17 Apr 2024 · 19:00 UTC Etihad Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 12' Rodrygo
Kevin De Bruyne 76' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Etihad Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Orsato
  • Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
  • Assistant 2 Alessandro Giallatini
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 15.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Apr Real Madrid CF H 4–5 L
13 Apr Luton Town FC H 5–1 W
09 Apr Real Madrid CF A 3–3 D
06 Apr Crystal Palace FC A 4–2 W
03 Apr Aston Villa FC H 4–1 W
31 Mar Arsenal FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Apr Manchester City FC A 5–4 W
13 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–0 W
09 Apr Manchester City FC H 3–3 D
31 Mar Athletic Club H 2–0 W
16 Mar CA Osasuna A 4–2 W
10 Mar RC Celta de Vigo H 4–0 W

Season Stats

Manchester City FC Real Madrid CF
#8 Position #9
16 Points 15
8 Played 8
5 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 3
15 Scored 21
9 Conceded 12
+6 GD +9
2.00 PPG 1.88
63% Win % 63%

Key Stats

85% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
92% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Manchester City FC are 8th (16 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester City FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/2
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester City FC
Erling Haaland 5 G
Phil Foden 3 G 1 A
Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 4 G 1 A
Federico Valverde 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Etihad Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' It’s high time Carlo Ancelotti made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' Toni Kroos, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 12' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Rodrygo makes it 0-1.
  • 17' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 22' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Manchester City FC and Real Madrid CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 27' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 32' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 37' It is a cagey affair so far. Manchester City FC in their 4-1-4-1 trying to find a way past Real Madrid CF's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 38' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Dani Carvajal on 38 minutes.
  • 43' The energy levels are beginning to show. Pep Guardiola might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 48' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 53' named a 4-1-4-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 58' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 59' It’s gonna be a card for Jack Grealish.
  • 61' That looks like a foul for a card for Josko Gvardiol.
  • 66' Real Madrid CF fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 71' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Carlo Ancelotti will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 72' Another substitution for Manchester City FC to replace Jack Grealish by Jeremy Doku on 72 minute.
  • 76' What an equalizer from Kevin De Bruyne!
  • 79' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Toni Kroos exits the field as Luka Modric enters on 79.
  • 84' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CF — Brahim Diaz on, Rodrygo off on 84 minutes.
  • 89' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ederson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Real Madrid CF.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Rodri. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-5 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.4 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.21 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester City FC41% Draw23% Real Madrid CF36%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 66%
34%
± 4.5 48%
52%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
59%
Manchester City FC or Real Madrid CF
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester City FC35% Draw35% Real Madrid CF30%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–5 not predicted
4 – 5
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.9%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3.2%
2 – 0
3%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 13% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 17% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 16% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 11% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.