Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2023-24 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Etihad Stadium.
- Manchester City FC 8 games · 16 pts (2025/26)
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Daniele Orsato
- Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
- Assistant 2 Alessandro Giallatini
4 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 15.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr | Real Madrid CF | H | 4–5 | L |
| 13 Apr | Luton Town FC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 09 Apr | Real Madrid CF | A | 3–3 | D |
| 06 Apr | Crystal Palace FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 03 Apr | Aston Villa FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 31 Mar | Arsenal FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr | Manchester City FC | A | 5–4 | W |
| 13 Apr | RCD Mallorca | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Apr | Manchester City FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 31 Mar | Athletic Club | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | CA Osasuna | A | 4–2 | W |
| 10 Mar | RC Celta de Vigo | H | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Manchester City FC | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #9 |
| 16 | Points | 15 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 1 / 2 | W / D / L | 5 / 0 / 3 |
| 15 | Scored | 21 |
| 9 | Conceded | 12 |
| +6 | GD | +9 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 1.88 |
| 63% | Win % | 63% |
Key Stats
85%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
92%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
30%
Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season
Manchester City FC this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Manchester City FC are 8th (16 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Manchester City FC welcome Real Madrid CF for this crunch clash at Etihad Stadium.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ruben Dias, as he is very good at scoring at Etihad Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 12' GOAL! Rodrygo fires home to make it 0-1!
- 17' named a 4-1-4-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 22' Germany international Antonio Rudiger has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 27' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 32' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 37' Real Madrid CF come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 38' A moment of madness from Dani Carvajal on 38 minutes earns him a card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
- 43' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 48' Manchester City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 53' Jude Bellingham has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 5 goals to his name this season.
- 58' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 59' Manchester City FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 61' Josko Gvardiol catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 61.
- 66' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 71' The 23-year-old Eduardo Camavinga has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 72' Manchester City FC make a change. Jack Grealish trudges off to be replaced by Jeremy Doku on 72 minutes.
- 76' The Belgium Kevin De Bruyne breaks the deadlock on 76 minutes. 1-1!
- 79' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Toni Kroos is replaced by Luka Modric.
- 84' Real Madrid CF ring the changes. Rodrygo has done his job and it is now time for Brahim Diaz to step up.
- 89' It looks like no one’s ball. Real Madrid CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 90' Rodri catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- The points are shared — Manchester City FC 4-5 Real Madrid CF. Honours even.
Lineups
Manchester City FC Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 31
- 20
- 2
-
17
Kevin De Bruyne ↓ Mateo Kovacic 112'
- 47
-
10
Jack Grealish ↓ Jeremy Doku 72'
-
25
Manuel Akanji ↓ John Stones 112'
- 16
- 3
-
9
Erling Haaland ↓ Julian Alvarez 91'
- 24
Bench
- 6
-
8
Mateo Kovacic ↑ 112'
-
5
John Stones ↑ 112'
- 33
- 21
- 18
- 27
-
19
Julian Alvarez ↑ 91'
-
11
Jeremy Doku ↑ 72'
- 82
- 52
Coach
Pep Guardiola
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 22
- 23
- 13
-
8
Toni Kroos ↓ Luka Modric 79'
- 6
- 15
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↓ Lucas Vazquez 102'
-
2
Dani Carvajal ↓ Eder Militao 110'
-
11
Rodrygo ↓ Brahim Diaz 84'
- 12
- 5
Bench
- 25
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 84'
- 14
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 79'
-
17
Lucas Vazquez ↑ 102'
- 19
-
3
Eder Militao ↑ 110'
- 24
- 20
- 30
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin De Bruyne | 5 |
| Karim Benzema | 5 |
| Bernardo Silva | 4 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 |
| Rodrygo | 3 |
| Gabriel Jesus | 3 |
| Phil Foden | 2 |
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
Head to Head
Manchester City FC Form
2024-04-17
Manchester City FC
4–5
Real Madrid CF
L
2024-04-13
Manchester City FC
5–1
Luton Town FC
W
2024-04-09
Real Madrid CF
3–3
Manchester City FC
D
2024-04-06
Crystal Palace FC
2–4
Manchester City FC
W
2024-04-03
Manchester City FC
4–1
Aston Villa FC
W
2024-03-31
Manchester City FC
0–0
Arsenal FC
D
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.4
Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.21
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.61
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
Double Chance
Manchester City FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
59%
Manchester City FC or Real Madrid CF
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–5 not predicted4 – 5Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.9%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3.2%
2 – 0
3%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC
| Handicap | Manchester City FC covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 13% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 17% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 16% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 11% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

