Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2023-24 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Etihad Stadium.
- Manchester City FC 8 games · 16 pts (2025/26)
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Daniele Orsato
- Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
- Assistant 2 Alessandro Giallatini
4 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 15.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Kobenhavn | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr | Real Madrid CF | H | 4–5 | L |
| 13 Apr | Luton Town FC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 09 Apr | Real Madrid CF | A | 3–3 | D |
| 06 Apr | Crystal Palace FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 03 Apr | Aston Villa FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 31 Mar | Arsenal FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr | Manchester City FC | A | 5–4 | W |
| 13 Apr | RCD Mallorca | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Apr | Manchester City FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 31 Mar | Athletic Club | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | CA Osasuna | A | 4–2 | W |
| 10 Mar | RC Celta de Vigo | H | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Manchester City FC | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #9 |
| 16 | Points | 15 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 1 / 2 | W / D / L | 5 / 0 / 3 |
| 15 | Scored | 21 |
| 9 | Conceded | 12 |
| +6 | GD | +9 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 1.88 |
| 63% | Win % | 63% |
Key Stats
85%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
92%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
30%
Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season
Manchester City FC this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Manchester City FC are 8th (16 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Manchester City FC
| Erling Haaland | 8 G |
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 15 G | 1 A |
| Vinicius Junior | 5 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Manchester City FC and Real Madrid CF get this one started.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' named a 4-1-4-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 12' The Brazil Rodrygo breaks the deadlock on 12 minutes. 0-1!
- 17' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 22' Manchester City FC are deployed in a 4-1-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against Real Madrid CF's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 27' Manchester City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Real Madrid CF backline.
- 32' Eduardo Camavinga has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 37' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 38' A moment of madness from Dani Carvajal on 38 minutes earns him a card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
- 43' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Manchester City FC and Real Madrid CF are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 48' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 53' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 58' Real Madrid CF has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings.
- 59' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jack Grealish on 59 minutes.
- 61' Josko Gvardiol has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 61.
- 66' Manchester City FC is showing some good football. However, Manchester City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 71' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kyle Walker made 436 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 72' Jeremy Doku gets the nod from Manchester City FC. He replaces Jack Grealish and will look to change the dynamic.
- 76' The Belgium Kevin De Bruyne breaks the deadlock on 76 minutes. 1-1!
- 79' Real Madrid CF ring the changes. Toni Kroos has done his job and it is now time for Luka Modric to step up.
- 84' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Brahim Diaz comes on to replace Rodrygo.
- 89' It is a cagey affair so far. Manchester City FC in their 4-1-4-1 trying to find a way past Real Madrid CF's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 90' Rodri is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- It finishes all square. Manchester City FC and Real Madrid CF share the spoils 4-5.
Lineups
Manchester City FC Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 31
- 20
- 2
-
17
Kevin De Bruyne ↓ Mateo Kovacic 112'
- 47
-
10
Jack Grealish ↓ Jeremy Doku 72'
-
25
Manuel Akanji ↓ John Stones 112'
- 16
- 3
-
9
Erling Haaland ↓ Julian Alvarez 91'
- 24
Bench
- 6
-
8
Mateo Kovacic ↑ 112'
-
5
John Stones ↑ 112'
- 33
- 21
- 18
- 27
-
19
Julian Alvarez ↑ 91'
-
11
Jeremy Doku ↑ 72'
- 82
- 52
Coach
Pep Guardiola
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 22
- 23
- 13
-
8
Toni Kroos ↓ Luka Modric 79'
- 6
- 15
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↓ Lucas Vazquez 102'
-
2
Dani Carvajal ↓ Eder Militao 110'
-
11
Rodrygo ↓ Brahim Diaz 84'
- 12
- 5
Bench
- 25
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 84'
- 14
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 79'
-
17
Lucas Vazquez ↑ 102'
- 19
-
3
Eder Militao ↑ 110'
- 24
- 20
- 30
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin De Bruyne | 5 |
| Karim Benzema | 5 |
| Bernardo Silva | 4 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 |
| Rodrygo | 3 |
| Gabriel Jesus | 3 |
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Erling Haaland | 2 |
Head to Head
Manchester City FC Form
2024-04-17
Manchester City FC
4–5
Real Madrid CF
L
2024-04-13
Manchester City FC
5–1
Luton Town FC
W
2024-04-09
Real Madrid CF
3–3
Manchester City FC
D
2024-04-06
Crystal Palace FC
2–4
Manchester City FC
W
2024-04-03
Manchester City FC
4–1
Aston Villa FC
W
2024-03-31
Manchester City FC
0–0
Arsenal FC
D
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.4
Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.21
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.61
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
Double Chance
Manchester City FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
59%
Manchester City FC or Real Madrid CF
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–5 not predicted4 – 5Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.9%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3.2%
2 – 0
3%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC
| Handicap | Manchester City FC covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 13% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 17% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 16% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 11% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

