Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2023-24 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Etihad Stadium.
- Manchester City FC 8 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniele Orsato
- Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
- Assistant 2 Alessandro Giallatini
4 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 15.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern Munchen | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr | Real Madrid CF | H | 4–5 | L |
| 13 Apr | Luton Town FC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 09 Apr | Real Madrid CF | A | 3–3 | D |
| 06 Apr | Crystal Palace FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 03 Apr | Aston Villa FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 31 Mar | Arsenal FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr | Manchester City FC | A | 5–4 | W |
| 13 Apr | RCD Mallorca | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Apr | Manchester City FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 31 Mar | Athletic Club | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | CA Osasuna | A | 4–2 | W |
| 10 Mar | RC Celta de Vigo | H | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Manchester City FC | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #9 |
| 16 | Points | 15 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 1 / 2 | W / D / L | 5 / 0 / 3 |
| 15 | Scored | 21 |
| 9 | Conceded | 12 |
| +6 | GD | +9 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 1.88 |
| 63% | Win % | 63% |
Key Stats
85%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
92%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season
Manchester City FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Manchester City FC are 8th (16 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Manchester City FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/2
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Manchester City FC
| Erling Haaland | 5 G | |
| Phil Foden | 3 G | 1 A |
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 G | 1 A |
| Federico Valverde | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Etihad Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' It’s high time Carlo Ancelotti made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' Toni Kroos, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 12' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Rodrygo makes it 0-1.
- 17' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 22' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Manchester City FC and Real Madrid CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 27' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 32' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 37' It is a cagey affair so far. Manchester City FC in their 4-1-4-1 trying to find a way past Real Madrid CF's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 38' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Dani Carvajal on 38 minutes.
- 43' The energy levels are beginning to show. Pep Guardiola might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 48' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 53' named a 4-1-4-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 58' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 59' It’s gonna be a card for Jack Grealish.
- 61' That looks like a foul for a card for Josko Gvardiol.
- 66' Real Madrid CF fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 71' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Carlo Ancelotti will be considering his options from the bench.
- 72' Another substitution for Manchester City FC to replace Jack Grealish by Jeremy Doku on 72 minute.
- 76' What an equalizer from Kevin De Bruyne!
- 79' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Toni Kroos exits the field as Luka Modric enters on 79.
- 84' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CF — Brahim Diaz on, Rodrygo off on 84 minutes.
- 89' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ederson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Real Madrid CF.
- 90' Poor challenge from Rodri. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-5 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Manchester City FC Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 31
- 20
- 2
-
17
Kevin De Bruyne ↓ Mateo Kovacic 112'
- 47
-
10
Jack Grealish ↓ Jeremy Doku 72'
-
25
Manuel Akanji ↓ John Stones 112'
- 16
- 3
-
9
Erling Haaland ↓ Julian Alvarez 91'
- 24
Bench
- 6
-
8
Mateo Kovacic ↑ 112'
-
5
John Stones ↑ 112'
- 33
- 21
- 18
- 27
-
19
Julian Alvarez ↑ 91'
-
11
Jeremy Doku ↑ 72'
- 82
- 52
Coach
Pep Guardiola
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 22
- 23
- 13
-
8
Toni Kroos ↓ Luka Modric 79'
- 6
- 15
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↓ Lucas Vazquez 102'
-
2
Dani Carvajal ↓ Eder Militao 110'
-
11
Rodrygo ↓ Brahim Diaz 84'
- 12
- 5
Bench
- 25
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 84'
- 14
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 79'
-
17
Lucas Vazquez ↑ 102'
- 19
-
3
Eder Militao ↑ 110'
- 24
- 20
- 30
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin De Bruyne | 5 |
| Karim Benzema | 5 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 |
| Bernardo Silva | 4 |
| Rodrygo | 3 |
| Gabriel Jesus | 3 |
| Phil Foden | 2 |
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
Head to Head
Manchester City FC Form
2024-04-17
Manchester City FC
4–5
Real Madrid CF
L
2024-04-13
Manchester City FC
5–1
Luton Town FC
W
2024-04-09
Real Madrid CF
3–3
Manchester City FC
D
2024-04-06
Crystal Palace FC
2–4
Manchester City FC
W
2024-04-03
Manchester City FC
4–1
Aston Villa FC
W
2024-03-31
Manchester City FC
0–0
Arsenal FC
D
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.4
Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.21
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.61
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
Double Chance
Manchester City FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
59%
Manchester City FC or Real Madrid CF
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–5 not predicted4 – 5Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.9%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3.2%
2 – 0
3%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC
| Handicap | Manchester City FC covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 13% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 17% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 16% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 11% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

