Sunday , 16 August 2026

Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2023-24 QUARTER FINALS

4 5
3 – 4 pen
Full Time
Wed 17 Apr 2024 · 19:00 UTC Etihad Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 12' Rodrygo
Kevin De Bruyne 76' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CFChampions League at Etihad Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Orsato
  • Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
  • Assistant 2 Alessandro Giallatini
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game 15.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Apr Real Madrid CF H 4–5 L
13 Apr Luton Town FC H 5–1 W
09 Apr Real Madrid CF A 3–3 D
06 Apr Crystal Palace FC A 4–2 W
03 Apr Aston Villa FC H 4–1 W
31 Mar Arsenal FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Apr Manchester City FC A 5–4 W
13 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–0 W
09 Apr Manchester City FC H 3–3 D
31 Mar Athletic Club H 2–0 W
16 Mar CA Osasuna A 4–2 W
10 Mar RC Celta de Vigo H 4–0 W

Season Stats

Manchester City FC Real Madrid CF
#8 Position #9
16 Points 15
8 Played 8
5 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 3
15 Scored 21
9 Conceded 12
+6 GD +9
2.00 PPG 1.88
63% Win % 63%

Key Stats

85% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
92% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Manchester City FC are 8th (16 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester City FC
Erling Haaland 8 G
Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 15 G 1 A
Vinicius Junior 5 G 6 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Manchester City FC and Real Madrid CF get this one started.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' named a 4-1-4-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 12' The Brazil Rodrygo breaks the deadlock on 12 minutes. 0-1!
  • 17' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 22' Manchester City FC are deployed in a 4-1-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against Real Madrid CF's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 27' Manchester City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Real Madrid CF backline.
  • 32' Eduardo Camavinga has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 37' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 38' A moment of madness from Dani Carvajal on 38 minutes earns him a card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
  • 43' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Manchester City FC and Real Madrid CF are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 48' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 53' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 58' Real Madrid CF has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings.
  • 59' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jack Grealish on 59 minutes.
  • 61' Josko Gvardiol has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 61.
  • 66' Manchester City FC is showing some good football. However, Manchester City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 71' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kyle Walker made 436 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 72' Jeremy Doku gets the nod from Manchester City FC. He replaces Jack Grealish and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 76' The Belgium Kevin De Bruyne breaks the deadlock on 76 minutes. 1-1!
  • 79' Real Madrid CF ring the changes. Toni Kroos has done his job and it is now time for Luka Modric to step up.
  • 84' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Brahim Diaz comes on to replace Rodrygo.
  • 89' It is a cagey affair so far. Manchester City FC in their 4-1-4-1 trying to find a way past Real Madrid CF's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 90' Rodri is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • It finishes all square. Manchester City FC and Real Madrid CF share the spoils 4-5.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.4 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.21 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester City FC41% Draw23% Real Madrid CF36%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 66%
34%
± 4.5 48%
52%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
59%
Manchester City FC or Real Madrid CF
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester City FC35% Draw35% Real Madrid CF30%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–5 not predicted
4 – 5
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.9%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3.2%
2 – 0
3%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 13% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 17% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 16% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 11% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
12%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.