Thursday , 2 July 2026

Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2023-24 QUARTER FINALS

4 5
3 – 4 pen
Full Time
Wed 17 Apr 2024 · 19:00 UTC Etihad Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 12' Rodrygo
Kevin De Bruyne 76' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CFChampions League at Etihad Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Orsato
  • Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
  • Assistant 2 Alessandro Giallatini
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game 15.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Apr Real Madrid CF H 4–5 L
13 Apr Luton Town FC H 5–1 W
09 Apr Real Madrid CF A 3–3 D
06 Apr Crystal Palace FC A 4–2 W
03 Apr Aston Villa FC H 4–1 W
31 Mar Arsenal FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Apr Manchester City FC A 5–4 W
13 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–0 W
09 Apr Manchester City FC H 3–3 D
31 Mar Athletic Club H 2–0 W
16 Mar CA Osasuna A 4–2 W
10 Mar RC Celta de Vigo H 4–0 W

Season Stats

Manchester City FC Real Madrid CF
#8 Position #9
16 Points 15
8 Played 8
5 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 3
15 Scored 21
9 Conceded 12
+6 GD +9
2.00 PPG 1.88
63% Win % 63%

Key Stats

85% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
92% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Manchester City FC are 8th (16 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Manchester City FC welcome Real Madrid CF for this crunch clash at Etihad Stadium.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ruben Dias, as he is very good at scoring at Etihad Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 12' GOAL! Rodrygo fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 17' named a 4-1-4-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 22' Germany international Antonio Rudiger has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 27' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 32' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 37' Real Madrid CF come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 38' A moment of madness from Dani Carvajal on 38 minutes earns him a card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
  • 43' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 48' Manchester City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 53' Jude Bellingham has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 5 goals to his name this season.
  • 58' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 59' Manchester City FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 61' Josko Gvardiol catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 61.
  • 66' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 71' The 23-year-old Eduardo Camavinga has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 72' Manchester City FC make a change. Jack Grealish trudges off to be replaced by Jeremy Doku on 72 minutes.
  • 76' The Belgium Kevin De Bruyne breaks the deadlock on 76 minutes. 1-1!
  • 79' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Toni Kroos is replaced by Luka Modric.
  • 84' Real Madrid CF ring the changes. Rodrygo has done his job and it is now time for Brahim Diaz to step up.
  • 89' It looks like no one’s ball. Real Madrid CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 90' Rodri catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • The points are shared — Manchester City FC 4-5 Real Madrid CF. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.4 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.21 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester City FC41% Draw23% Real Madrid CF36%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 66%
34%
± 4.5 48%
52%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
59%
Manchester City FC or Real Madrid CF
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester City FC35% Draw35% Real Madrid CF30%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–5 not predicted
4 – 5
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.9%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3.2%
2 – 0
3%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 13% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 17% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 16% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 11% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
12%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.