Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2024-25 PLAYOFFS

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UEFA Champions League · 2024-25

Manchester City FC

2 – 3

Full Time

Real Madrid CF

Tue 11 Feb 2025 · 20:00 UTC Etihad Stadium 52,081 HT 45' · FT 45'

Erling Haaland 19' 1–0

1–1 60' Kylian Mbappe

Erling Haaland pen 80' 2–1

2–2 86' Brahim Diaz

2–3 90+2' Jude Bellingham

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Etihad Stadium.

Manchester City FC 8 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Clement Turpin
Assistant 1 Nicolas Danos
Assistant 2 Benjamin Pages

11 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 7.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Arsenal FC	8	24
2	FC Bayern München	8	21
3	Liverpool FC	8	18
4	Tottenham Hotspur FC	8	17
5	FC Barcelona	8	16
6	Chelsea FC	8	16
7	Sporting Clube de Portugal	8	16
8	Manchester City FC	8	16
9	Real Madrid CF	8	15
10	FC Internazionale Milano	8	15
11	Paris Saint-Germain FC	8	14
12	Newcastle United FC	8	14
13	Juventus FC	8	13
14	Club Atlético de Madrid	8	13
15	Atalanta BC	8	13
16	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	8	12
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11
18	PAE Olympiakos SFP	8	11
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10
20	Galatasaray SK	8	10
21	AS Monaco FC	8	10
22	Qarabag Agdam FK	8	10
23	FK Bodø/Glimt	8	9
24	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	8	9
25	Olympique de Marseille	8	9
26	Paphos FC	8	9
27	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	8	9
28	PSV	8	8
29	Athletic Club	8	8
30	SSC Napoli	8	8
31	FC København	8	8
32	AFC Ajax	8	6
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4
34	SK Slavia Praha	8	3
35	Villarreal CF	8	1
36	FK Kairat	8	1

Head-to-Head

Manchester City FC 13 games · Avg 4.3 goals Real Madrid CF

Last 5 meetings

2025-02-11 Manchester City FC 2–3 Real Madrid CF 2024-04-17 Manchester City FC 4–5 Real Madrid CF 2024-04-09 Real Madrid CF 3–3 Manchester City FC 2023-05-17 Manchester City FC 4–0 Real Madrid CF 2023-05-09 Real Madrid CF 1–1 Manchester City FC

Recent Form

Manchester City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Feb	Real Madrid CF	H	2–3	L
08 Feb	Leyton Orient FC	A	2–1	W
02 Feb	Arsenal FC	A	1–5	L
29 Jan	Club Brugge KV	H	3–1	W
25 Jan	Chelsea FC	H	3–1	W
22 Jan	Paris Saint-Germain FC	A	2–4	L

Real Madrid CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Feb	Manchester City FC	A	3–2	W
08 Feb	Club Atlético de Madrid	H	1–1	D
01 Feb	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	A	0–1	L
29 Jan	Stade Brestois 29	A	3–0	W
25 Jan	Real Valladolid CF	A	3–0	W
22 Jan	FC Red Bull Salzburg	H	5–1	W

Season Stats

Manchester City FC		Real Madrid CF
#8	Position	#9
16	Points	15
8	Played	8
5 / 1 / 2	W / D / L	5 / 0 / 3
15	Scored	21
9	Conceded	12
+6	GD	+9
2.00	PPG	1.88
63%	Win %	63%

Key Stats

85% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

92% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

100% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Manchester City FC are 8th (16 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester City FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Real Madrid CF

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

–/–

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester City FC

Erling Haaland

2 G

Real Madrid CF

Kylian Mbappe	1 G
Federico Valverde	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Real Madrid CF get us underway at Etihad Stadium.
5' Eduardo Camavinga needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
10' It looks surprising Manchester City FC does not make any changes. Ederson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
15' A quiet spell here at Etihad Stadium. Manchester City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
19' Erling Haaland makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Manchester City FC are in front.
24' Thibaut Courtois has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
29' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 29 minutes.
30' A change in the Manchester City FC ranks — Jack Grealish exits the field as Phil Foden enters on 30.
35' With 2 assists to his name this season, Ilkay Gundogan is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Real Madrid CF.
40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Madrid CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
45' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
46' Manchester City FC make a change. Manuel Akanji trudges off to be replaced by Rico Lewis on 46 minutes.
51' It’s high time Pep Guardiola made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
56' The home supporters are growing impatient. Manchester City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
60' A stunning finish from Kylian Mbappe — that came from absolutely nowhere!
61' The crowd applauds Nathan Ake as he leaves the pitch. Mateo Kovacic steps in for Manchester City FC.
66' named a 4-1-4-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
71' Both keepers have barely been tested. Manchester City FC and Real Madrid CF are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
76' Manchester City FC are deployed in a 4-1-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against Real Madrid CF's 4-4-2 shape.
80' Erling Haaland with the second goal in the match!
81' The whistle greets Dani Ceballos as he departs to be replaced by Luka Modric.
84' Manchester City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ilkay Gundogan is hanging Kevin De Bruyne on the field on 84 minute.
86' A stunning finish from Brahim Diaz — that came from absolutely nowhere!
90' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Kylian Mbappe is replaced by Fran Garcia on 90 minute.
2-3 the final result. Manchester City FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Manchester City FC Lineups

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pep Guardiola

Real Madrid CF Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carlo Ancelotti

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin De Bruyne	5
Karim Benzema	5
Bernardo Silva	4
Kylian Mbappe	4
Rodrygo	3
Gabriel Jesus	3
Erling Haaland	2
Phil Foden	2

Head to Head

Manchester City FC Form

2025-02-11 Manchester City FC 2–3 Real Madrid CF L 2025-02-08 Leyton Orient FC 1–2 Manchester City FC W 2025-02-02 Arsenal FC 5–1 Manchester City FC L 2025-01-29 Manchester City FC 3–1 Club Brugge KV W 2025-01-25 Manchester City FC 3–1 Chelsea FC W 2025-01-22 Paris Saint-Germain FC 4–2 Manchester City FC L

Real Madrid CF Form

2025-02-11 Manchester City FC 2–3 Real Madrid CF W 2025-02-08 Real Madrid CF 1–1 Club Atlético de Madrid D 2025-02-01 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1–0 Real Madrid CF L 2025-01-29 Stade Brestois 29 0–3 Real Madrid CF W 2025-01-25 Real Valladolid CF 0–3 Real Madrid CF W 2025-01-22 Real Madrid CF 5–1 FC Red Bull Salzburg W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.07 Manchester City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.98 Real Madrid CF xG

I would bet for: Manchester City FC or Real Madrid CF 76% + Over 2.5 goals 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Manchester City FC38% Draw24% Real Madrid CF38%

Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.05

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	76%	24%
± 3.5	57%	43%
± 4.5	38%	62%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw

62%

Draw or Real Madrid CF

62%

Manchester City FC or Real Madrid CF

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Manchester City FC32% Draw38% Real Madrid CF30%

Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

7.9%

2 – 1

7.2%

2 – 2

1 – 2

6.9%

3 – 1

4.9%

3 – 2

4.8%

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 3

4.5%

2 – 0

3.8%

0 – 2

3.5%

3 – 3

3.2%

1 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap	Manchester City FC covers	Push	Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	12%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	17%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	17%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	11%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.