Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2024-25 PLAYOFFS

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UEFA Champions League · 2024-25

Manchester City FC

2 – 3

Full Time

Real Madrid CF

Tue 11 Feb 2025 · 20:00 UTC Etihad Stadium 52,081 HT 45' · FT 45'

Erling Haaland 19' 1–0

1–1 60' Kylian Mbappe

Erling Haaland pen 80' 2–1

2–2 86' Brahim Diaz

2–3 90+2' Jude Bellingham

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Etihad Stadium.

Manchester City FC 8 games · 16 pts (2025/26)
Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Clement Turpin
Assistant 1 Nicolas Danos
Assistant 2 Benjamin Pages

16 games this season 🟨 1.9/game ⚽ 7.6 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Arsenal FC	8	24
2	FC Bayern München	8	21
3	Liverpool FC	8	18
4	Tottenham Hotspur FC	8	17
5	FC Barcelona	8	16
6	Chelsea FC	8	16
7	Sporting Clube de Portugal	8	16
8	Manchester City FC	8	16
9	Real Madrid CF	8	15
10	FC Internazionale Milano	8	15
11	Paris Saint-Germain FC	8	14
12	Newcastle United FC	8	14
13	Juventus FC	8	13
14	Club Atletico de Madrid	8	13
15	Atalanta BC	8	13
16	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	8	12
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11
18	PAE Olympiakos SFP	8	11
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10
20	Galatasaray SK	8	10
21	AS Monaco FC	8	10
22	Qarabag Agdam FK	8	10
23	FK Bodø/Glimt	8	9
24	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	8	9
25	Olympique de Marseille	8	9
26	Paphos FC	8	9
27	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	8	9
28	PSV	8	8
29	Athletic Club	8	8
30	SSC Napoli	8	8
31	FC København	8	8
32	AFC Ajax	8	6
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4
34	SK Slavia Praha	8	3
35	Villarreal CF	8	1
36	FK Kairat	8	1

Head-to-Head

Manchester City FC 13 games · Avg 4.3 goals Real Madrid CF

Last 5 meetings

2025-02-11 Manchester City FC 2–3 Real Madrid CF 2024-04-17 Manchester City FC 4–5 Real Madrid CF 2024-04-09 Real Madrid CF 3–3 Manchester City FC 2023-05-17 Manchester City FC 4–0 Real Madrid CF 2023-05-09 Real Madrid CF 1–1 Manchester City FC

Recent Form

Manchester City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Feb	Real Madrid CF	H	2–3	L
08 Feb	Leyton Orient FC	A	2–1	W
02 Feb	Arsenal FC	A	1–5	L
29 Jan	Club Brugge KV	H	3–1	W
25 Jan	Chelsea FC	H	3–1	W
22 Jan	Paris Saint-Germain FC	A	2–4	L

Real Madrid CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Feb	Manchester City FC	A	3–2	W
08 Feb	Club Atletico de Madrid	H	1–1	D
01 Feb	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	A	0–1	L
29 Jan	Stade Brestois 29	A	3–0	W
25 Jan	Real Valladolid CF	A	3–0	W
22 Jan	FC Red Bull Salzburg	H	5–1	W

Season Stats

Manchester City FC		Real Madrid CF
#8	Position	#9
16	Points	15
8	Played	8
5 / 1 / 2	W / D / L	5 / 0 / 3
15	Scored	21
9	Conceded	12
+6	GD	+9
2.00	PPG	1.88
63%	Win %	63%

Key Stats

85% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

92% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

30% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Manchester City FC are 8th (16 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/2

46-60

–/1

61-75

1/–

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Manchester City FC get us underway at Etihad Stadium.
5' Real Madrid CF looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
10' Manchester City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Real Madrid CF backline.
15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
19' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Erling Haaland makes it 1-0.
24' Eduardo Camavinga has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
29' Manchester City FC are deployed in a 4-1-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against Real Madrid CF's 4-4-2 shape.
30' Phil Foden is replacing Jack Grealish for the Manchester City FC side.
35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Manchester City FC and Real Madrid CF are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
40' Nathan Ake needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 13 Yellow cards this season.
45' It looks like no one’s ball. Manchester City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
46' The crowd applauds Manuel Akanji as he leaves the pitch. Rico Lewis steps in for Manchester City FC.
51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Pep Guardiola might look to freshen things up shortly.
56' Josko Gvardiol, a Croatia , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
60' What a moment for Kylian Mbappe! That strike on 60 puts his side firmly in control.
61' Mateo Kovacic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nathan Ake on 61 minute.
66' Manchester City FC is showing some good football. However, Manchester City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
71' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 71 minutes.
76' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ruben Dias, as he is very good at scoring at Etihad Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
80' A goal from the Norway international Erling Haaland! He fires home on 80 to make it 2-1!
81' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Dani Ceballos departs to be replaced by Luka Modric.
84' Ilkay Gundogan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kevin De Bruyne at the 84 minute mark.
86' What an equalizer from Brahim Diaz!
90' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Kylian Mbappe exits the field as Fran Garcia enters on 90.
Game over. The scoreline of 2-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Manchester City FC Lineups

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pep Guardiola

Real Madrid CF Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carlo Ancelotti

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin De Bruyne	5
Karim Benzema	5
Bernardo Silva	4
Kylian Mbappe	4
Rodrygo	3
Gabriel Jesus	3
Erling Haaland	2
Phil Foden	2

Head to Head

Manchester City FC Form

2025-02-11 Manchester City FC 2–3 Real Madrid CF L 2025-02-08 Leyton Orient FC 1–2 Manchester City FC W 2025-02-02 Arsenal FC 5–1 Manchester City FC L 2025-01-29 Manchester City FC 3–1 Club Brugge KV W 2025-01-25 Manchester City FC 3–1 Chelsea FC W 2025-01-22 Paris Saint-Germain FC 4–2 Manchester City FC L

Real Madrid CF Form

2025-02-11 Manchester City FC 2–3 Real Madrid CF W 2025-02-08 Real Madrid CF 1–1 Club Atletico de Madrid D 2025-02-01 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1–0 Real Madrid CF L 2025-01-29 Stade Brestois 29 0–3 Real Madrid CF W 2025-01-25 Real Valladolid CF 0–3 Real Madrid CF W 2025-01-22 Real Madrid CF 5–1 FC Red Bull Salzburg W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.07 Manchester City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.98 Real Madrid CF xG

I would bet for: Manchester City FC or Real Madrid CF 76% + Over 2.5 goals 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Manchester City FC38% Draw24% Real Madrid CF38%

Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.05

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	76%	24%
± 3.5	57%	43%
± 4.5	38%	62%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw

62%

Draw or Real Madrid CF

62%

Manchester City FC or Real Madrid CF

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Manchester City FC32% Draw38% Real Madrid CF30%

Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

7.9%

2 – 1

7.2%

2 – 2

1 – 2

6.9%

3 – 1

4.9%

3 – 2

4.8%

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 3

4.5%

2 – 0

3.8%

0 – 2

3.5%

3 – 3

3.2%

1 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap	Manchester City FC covers	Push	Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	12%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	17%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	17%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	11%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.