Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2024-25 PLAYOFFS
Overview
Match Preview
Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Etihad Stadium.
- Manchester City FC 8 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Clement Turpin
- Assistant 1 Nicolas Danos
- Assistant 2 Benjamin Pages
16 games this season
🟨 3.1/game
⚽ 10.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb | Real Madrid CF | H | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Feb | Leyton Orient FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Feb | Arsenal FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 29 Jan | Club Brugge KV | H | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Jan | Chelsea FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Jan | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb | Manchester City FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 08 Feb | Club Atlético de Madrid | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Jan | Stade Brestois 29 | A | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Jan | Real Valladolid CF | A | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Jan | FC Red Bull Salzburg | H | 5–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Manchester City FC | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #9 |
| 16 | Points | 15 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 1 / 2 | W / D / L | 5 / 0 / 3 |
| 15 | Scored | 21 |
| 9 | Conceded | 12 |
| +6 | GD | +9 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 1.88 |
| 63% | Win % | 63% |
Key Stats
85%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
92%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season
Manchester City FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Manchester City FC are 8th (16 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Manchester City FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/2
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Manchester City FC
| Erling Haaland | 5 G | |
| Phil Foden | 3 G | 1 A |
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 G | 1 A |
| Federico Valverde | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Manchester City FC and Real Madrid CF has kicked off!
- 5' Vinicius Junior, a Brazil , has 3 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' Real Madrid CF come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 15' Manchester City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 19' Against the run of play, Erling Haaland has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 24' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 29' It’s high time Carlo Ancelotti made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 30' Manchester City FC make a change. Jack Grealish trudges off to be replaced by Phil Foden on 30 minutes.
- 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ruben Dias made 482 appearances and scored 21 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 40' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 45' With 0 assists to his name this season, John Stones is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Real Madrid CF.
- 46' Manchester City FC ring the changes. Manuel Akanji has done his job and it is now time for Rico Lewis to step up.
- 51' Manchester City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 56' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 60' What a moment for Kylian Mbappe! That strike on 60 puts his side firmly in control.
- 61' It is a substitution in Manchester City FC team. Nathan Ake is replaced by Mateo Kovacic on 61 minute.
- 66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 71' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 76' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 80' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Erling Haaland makes it 2-1.
- 81' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Luka Modric comes on to replace Dani Ceballos.
- 84' Another change for Manchester City FC made on 84 minute. Kevin De Bruyne leaves to be changed by Ilkay Gundogan.
- 86' A goal from the Morocco international Brahim Diaz! He fires home on 86 to make it 2-2!
- 90' Fran Garcia has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kylian Mbappe on 90 minute.
- Manchester City FC will have plenty to reflect on. Real Madrid CF were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Manchester City FC Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
-
6
Nathan Ake ↓ Mateo Kovacic 61'
- 31
- 20
- 5
- 17
-
10
Jack Grealish ↓ Phil Foden 30'
-
25
Manuel Akanji ↓ Rico Lewis 46'
- 3
- 9
- 24
-
26
Savio ↓ Omar Marmoush 84'
Bench
-
8
Mateo Kovacic ↑ 61'
-
19
Ilkay Gundogan ↑ 84'
-
47
Phil Foden ↑ 30'
- 18
- 27
- 11
-
7
Omar Marmoush ↑ 84'
- 14
- 87
-
82
Rico Lewis ↑ 46'
- 75
- 45
Coach
Pep Guardiola
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
9
Kylian Mbappe ↓ Fran Garcia 90'
- 23
- 14
-
19
Dani Ceballos ↓ Luka Modric 81'
- 8
- 7
- 1
-
11
Rodrygo ↓ Brahim Diaz 84'
- 6
- 5
- 35
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 84'
- 13
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 81'
- 18
- 15
- 16
- 34
-
20
Fran Garcia ↑ 90'
- 30
- 31
- 36
- 39
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin De Bruyne | 5 |
| Karim Benzema | 5 |
| Bernardo Silva | 4 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 |
| Gabriel Jesus | 3 |
| Rodrygo | 3 |
| Erling Haaland | 2 |
| Phil Foden | 2 |
Head to Head
Manchester City FC Form
2025-02-11
Manchester City FC
2–3
Real Madrid CF
L
2025-02-08
Leyton Orient FC
1–2
Manchester City FC
W
2025-02-02
Arsenal FC
5–1
Manchester City FC
L
2025-01-29
Manchester City FC
3–1
Club Brugge KV
W
2025-01-25
Manchester City FC
3–1
Chelsea FC
W
2025-01-22
Paris Saint-Germain FC
4–2
Manchester City FC
L
Real Madrid CF Form
2025-02-11
Manchester City FC
2–3
Real Madrid CF
W
2025-02-08
Real Madrid CF
1–1
Club Atlético de Madrid
D
2025-02-01
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
1–0
Real Madrid CF
L
2025-01-29
Stade Brestois 29
0–3
Real Madrid CF
W
2025-01-25
Real Valladolid CF
0–3
Real Madrid CF
W
2025-01-22
Real Madrid CF
5–1
FC Red Bull Salzburg
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.07
Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.98
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Manchester City FC or Real Madrid CF 76% + Over 2.5 goals 76%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.05
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
Double Chance
Manchester City FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
62%
Manchester City FC or Real Madrid CF
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Manchester City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.9%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
4.8%
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 3
3.2%
1 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC
| Handicap | Manchester City FC covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 17% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 17% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 11% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.