Thursday , 2 July 2026

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sun 1 Dec 2024 · 17:30 UTC Estadio de Vallecas HT 45' · FT 45'
Randy Ntekja 14' 1–0
1–1 65' Oihan Sancet
1–2 78' Oihan Sancet

Overview

Match Preview

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic ClubLa Liga at Estadio de Vallecas.

Match Details

  • Referee Mario Melero Lopez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Jose Martinez Serrato (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Jose Francisco Garcia Lozano (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Dec Athletic Club H 1–2 L
24 Nov Sevilla FC A 0–1 L
08 Nov UD Las Palmas H 1–3 L
26 Oct Deportivo Alaves H 1–0 W
20 Oct RCD Mallorca A 0–1 L
05 Oct Real Valladolid CF A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Athletic Club
#8 Position #12
50 Points 45
38 Played 38
12 / 14 / 12 W / D / L 13 / 6 / 19
41 Scored 43
44 Conceded 58
-3 GD -15
1.32 PPG 1.18
32% Win % 34%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts). Athletic Club are 12th (45 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Estadio de Vallecas!
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 14' Randy Ntekja has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 14 minutes.
  • 19' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 24' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 29' Athletic Club are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 34' Over 34 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 39' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Augusto Batalla, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio de Vallecas with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 49' De Marcos needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 54' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 56' Fresh legs for Athletic Club! De Marcos comes on to replace Inigo Lekue.
  • 57' It is a substitution in Athletic Club team. Mikel Jauregizar is replaced by Unai Gomez on 57 minute.
  • 62' Alvaro Garcia has been relatively quiet despite scoring 26 goals in his last 229 appearances.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Alvaro Djalo. He replaces Inaki Williams on 64 minute.
  • 65' Against the run of play, Oihan Sancet has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 69' Poor challenge from Pathe Ciss. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 73' The crowd applauds Isi Palazon as he leaves the pitch. Oscar Trejo steps in for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.
  • 74' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid make a change. Pathe Ciss trudges off to be replaced by Gerard Gumbau on 74 minutes.
  • 75' Athletic Club make a change. Ruiz de Galarreta trudges off to be replaced by Mikel Vesga on 75 minutes.
  • 76' It’s a booking for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid player. Gerard Gumbau gets a card.
  • 78' GOAL! Oihan Sancet scores on 78. Assisted by De Marcos
  • 82' A tactical swap from Rayo Vallecano de MadridPedro Diaz on, Oscar Valentin off on 82 minutes.
  • 87' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Athletic Club to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.14 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Athletic Club xG
I would bet for: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Athletic Club 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid28% Draw28% Athletic Club44%
Actual: Athletic Club win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw
56%
Draw or Athletic Club
72%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Athletic Club
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid22% Draw48% Athletic Club30%
Actual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
9.9%
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.7%
0 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.9%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Handicap Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers Push Athletic Club covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 21% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
25%
Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.