Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club — La Liga at Estadio de Vallecas.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 38 games · 50 pts (2026/27)
- Athletic Club 38 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Mario Melero Lopez (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Jose Martinez Serrato (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Jose Francisco Garcia Lozano (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 38 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 38 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal CF | 38 | 72 |
| 4 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 38 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis Balompie | 38 | 60 |
| 6 | RC Celta de Vigo | 38 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe CF | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 38 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia CF | 38 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Elche CF | 38 | 43 |
| 14 | Deportivo Alaves | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | Sevilla FC | 38 | 43 |
| 16 | CA Osasuna | 38 | 42 |
| 17 | RCD Mallorca | 38 | 42 |
| 18 | Levante UD | 38 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona FC | 38 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 29 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec | Athletic Club | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Nov | Sevilla FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Nov | UD Las Palmas | H | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Oct | Deportivo Alaves | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | RCD Mallorca | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Oct | Real Valladolid CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Nov | IF Elfsborg | H | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Nov | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Nov | Real Valladolid CF | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Nov | PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | A | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Nov | Real Betis Balompie | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #12 |
| 50 | Points | 45 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 12 / 14 / 12 | W / D / L | 13 / 6 / 19 |
| 41 | Scored | 43 |
| 44 | Conceded | 58 |
| -3 | GD | -15 |
| 1.32 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 32% | Win % | 34% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts). Athletic Club are 12th (45 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Estadio de Vallecas!
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 14' Randy Ntekja has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 14 minutes.
- 19' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 24' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 29' Athletic Club are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 34' Over 34 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 39' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Augusto Batalla, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio de Vallecas with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 49' De Marcos needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 54' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 56' Fresh legs for Athletic Club! De Marcos comes on to replace Inigo Lekue.
- 57' It is a substitution in Athletic Club team. Mikel Jauregizar is replaced by Unai Gomez on 57 minute.
- 62' Alvaro Garcia has been relatively quiet despite scoring 26 goals in his last 229 appearances.
- 64' The supporters are chanting for Alvaro Djalo. He replaces Inaki Williams on 64 minute.
- 65' Against the run of play, Oihan Sancet has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 69' Poor challenge from Pathe Ciss. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 73' The crowd applauds Isi Palazon as he leaves the pitch. Oscar Trejo steps in for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.
- 74' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid make a change. Pathe Ciss trudges off to be replaced by Gerard Gumbau on 74 minutes.
- 75' Athletic Club make a change. Ruiz de Galarreta trudges off to be replaced by Mikel Vesga on 75 minutes.
- 76' It’s a booking for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid player. Gerard Gumbau gets a card.
- 78' GOAL! Oihan Sancet scores on 78. Assisted by De Marcos
- 82' A tactical swap from Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — Pedro Diaz on, Oscar Valentin off on 82 minutes.
- 87' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Athletic Club to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 24
-
21
Adri Embarba ↓ Jorge de Frutos 64'
- 18
-
7
Isi Palazon ↓ Oscar Trejo 73'
-
23
Oscar Valentin ↓ Pedro Diaz 82'
- 13
- 16
- 2
-
6
Pathe Ciss ↓ Gerard Gumbau 74'
-
11
Randy Ntekja ↓ Sergio Camello 64'
- 3
Bench
- 20
- 10
-
15
Gerard Gumbau ↑ 74'
- 12
- 5
-
4
Pedro Diaz ↑ 82'
-
8
Oscar Trejo ↑ 73'
-
14
Sergio Camello ↑ 64'
-
19
Jorge de Frutos ↑ 64'
- 1
- 22
- 27
Athletic Club Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
16
Ruiz de Galarreta ↓ Mikel Vesga 75'
- 17
- 5
-
15
Inigo Lekue ↓ De Marcos 56'
-
9
Inaki Williams ↓ Alvaro Djalo 64'
-
12
Gorka Guruzeta ↓ Oihan Sancet 57'
- 7
- 4
- 10
- 13
-
23
Mikel Jauregizar ↓ Unai Gomez 57'
Bench
- 21
-
6
Mikel Vesga ↑ 75'
- 2
- 1
- 14
-
18
De Marcos ↑ 56'
- 3
-
8
Oihan Sancet ↑ 57'
- 22
-
11
Alvaro Djalo ↑ 64'
-
20
Unai Gomez ↑ 57'
- 32
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Oihan Sancet | 6 |
| Nico Williams | 5 |
| Inaki Williams | 5 |
| Radamel Falcao | 3 |
| Nico Serrano | 1 |
| Oscar Trejo | 1 |
| Jose Pozo | 1 |
| Sergio Camello | 1 |
Head to Head
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Form
2024-12-01
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–2
Athletic Club
L
2024-11-24
Sevilla FC
1–0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
L
2024-11-08
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–3
UD Las Palmas
L
2024-10-26
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–0
Deportivo Alaves
W
2024-10-20
RCD Mallorca
1–0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
L
2024-10-05
Real Valladolid CF
1–2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
W
Athletic Club Form
2024-12-01
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–2
Athletic Club
W
2024-11-28
Athletic Club
3–0
IF Elfsborg
W
2024-11-24
Athletic Club
1–0
Real Sociedad de Fútbol
W
2024-11-10
Real Valladolid CF
1–1
Athletic Club
D
2024-11-07
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad
1–2
Athletic Club
W
2024-11-03
Athletic Club
1–1
Real Betis Balompie
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.14
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
Athletic Club xG
I would bet for:
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Athletic Club 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Athletic Club win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw
56%
Draw or Athletic Club
72%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Athletic Club
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
9.9%
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.7%
0 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.9%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
| Handicap | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers | Push | Athletic Club covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 17% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 21% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

