Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club — La Liga at Estadio de Vallecas.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Athletic Club 6 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Mario Melero Lopez (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Jose Martinez Serrato (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Jose Francisco Garcia Lozano (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Real Betis Balompié | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Madrid CF | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Sevilla FC | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Deportivo Alavés | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | RC Deportivo La Coruña | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | CA Osasuna | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal CF | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 6 | 8 |
| 13 | Getafe CF | 7 | 8 |
| 14 | RC Celta de Vigo | 7 | 7 |
| 15 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 7 | 7 |
| 16 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 7 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante UD | 6 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche CF | 7 | 5 |
| 19 | Valencia CF | 7 | 4 |
| 20 | Málaga CF | 7 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec | Athletic Club | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Nov | Sevilla FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Nov | UD Las Palmas | H | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Oct | Deportivo Alavés | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | RCD Mallorca | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Oct | Real Valladolid CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Nov | IF Elfsborg | H | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Nov | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Nov | Real Valladolid CF | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Nov | PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | A | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Nov | Real Betis Balompié | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #12 |
| 8 | Points | 8 |
| 7 | Played | 6 |
| 2 / 2 / 3 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 2 |
| 11 | Scored | 7 |
| 16 | Conceded | 6 |
| -5 | GD | +1 |
| 1.14 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 29% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Athletic Club this season
Athletic Club this season
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 10th (8 pts). Athletic Club are 12th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
1/1
46-60
5/2
61-75
–/1
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Athletic Club
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
| Sergio Camello | 7 G | 1 A |
| Alvaro Garcia | 2 G | 2 A |
Athletic Club
| Roberto Navarro | 2 G |
| Aitor Paredes Casamichana | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid is hosting Athletic Club for another epic battle.
- 5' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Athletic Club's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Randy Ntekja made 236 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 14' Randy Ntekja doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 19' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Athletic Club are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 24' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 29' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 34' Over 34 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 39' Athletic Club seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 44' With 0 assists to his name this season, Oscar Valentin is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.
- 49' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 54' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 56' Fresh legs for Athletic Club! De Marcos comes on to replace Inigo Lekue.
- 57' It is a substitution in Athletic Club team. Mikel Jauregizar is replaced by Unai Gomez on 57 minute.
- 62' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 64' Another change for Athletic Club made on 64 minute. Inaki Williams leaves to be changed by Alvaro Djalo.
- 65' Oihan Sancet adds to his 1 season tally! Athletic Club lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 69' Pathe Ciss catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 69.
- 73' Another substitution for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to replace Isi Palazon by Oscar Trejo on 73 minute.
- 74' The supporters are chanting for Gerard Gumbau. He replaces Pathe Ciss on 74 minute.
- 75' Mikel Vesga has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ruiz de Galarreta on 75 minute.
- 76' Controversy at the stadium! Gerard Gumbau argues furiously but the card stands.
- 78' What a moment for Oihan Sancet! That strike on 78 puts his side firmly in control.
- 82' It is a substitution in Rayo Vallecano de Madrid team. Oscar Valentin is replaced by Pedro Diaz on 82 minute.
- 87' The travelling Athletic Club supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid will have plenty to reflect on. Athletic Club were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 24
-
21
Adri Embarba ↓ Jorge de Frutos 64'
- 18
-
7
Isi Palazon ↓ Oscar Trejo 73'
-
23
Oscar Valentin ↓ Pedro Diaz 82'
- 13
- 16
- 2
-
6
Pathe Ciss ↓ Gerard Gumbau 74'
-
11
Randy Ntekja ↓ Sergio Camello 64'
- 3
Bench
- 20
- 10
-
15
Gerard Gumbau ↑ 74'
- 12
- 5
-
4
Pedro Diaz ↑ 82'
-
8
Oscar Trejo ↑ 73'
-
14
Sergio Camello ↑ 64'
-
19
Jorge de Frutos ↑ 64'
- 1
- 22
- 27
Athletic Club Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
16
Ruiz de Galarreta ↓ Mikel Vesga 75'
- 17
- 5
-
15
Inigo Lekue ↓ De Marcos 56'
-
9
Inaki Williams ↓ Alvaro Djalo 64'
-
12
Gorka Guruzeta ↓ Oihan Sancet 57'
- 7
- 4
- 10
- 13
-
23
Mikel Jauregizar ↓ Unai Gomez 57'
Bench
- 21
-
6
Mikel Vesga ↑ 75'
- 2
- 1
- 14
-
18
De Marcos ↑ 56'
- 3
-
8
Oihan Sancet ↑ 57'
- 22
-
11
Alvaro Djalo ↑ 64'
-
20
Unai Gomez ↑ 57'
- 32
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Oihan Sancet | 6 |
| Nico Williams | 5 |
| Inaki Williams | 5 |
| Radamel Falcao | 3 |
| Raul de Tomas | 1 |
| Gorka Guruzeta | 1 |
| Raul Garcia | 1 |
| Randy Ntekja | 1 |
Head to Head
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Form
2024-12-01
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–2
Athletic Club
L
2024-11-24
Sevilla FC
1–0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
L
2024-11-08
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–3
UD Las Palmas
L
2024-10-26
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–0
Deportivo Alavés
W
2024-10-20
RCD Mallorca
1–0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
L
2024-10-05
Real Valladolid CF
1–2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
W
Athletic Club Form
2024-12-01
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
1–2
Athletic Club
W
2024-11-28
Athletic Club
3–0
IF Elfsborg
W
2024-11-24
Athletic Club
1–0
Real Sociedad de Fútbol
W
2024-11-10
Real Valladolid CF
1–1
Athletic Club
D
2024-11-07
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad
1–2
Athletic Club
W
2024-11-03
Athletic Club
1–1
Real Betis Balompié
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.03
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8
Athletic Club xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Athletic Club win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw
48%
Draw or Athletic Club
78%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Athletic Club
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
0 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 3
5.7%
0 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.4%
1 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
3.1%
2 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
| Handicap | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers | Push | Athletic Club covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 13% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 23% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.