Thursday , 2 July 2026

Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2022-23
Sat 17 Sep 2022 · 19:00 UTC San Mames Barria HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano de MadridLa Liga at San Mames Barria.

Match Details

  • Referee Antonio Mateu
  • Referee Pau Cebrian
  • Referee Ignacio Iglesias
  • Referee Sergio Escriche
  • Referee Ruben Porras
  • Referee Juan Luis Pulido

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Sep Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 3–2 W
11 Sep Elche CF A 4–1 W
04 Sep RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 0–1 L
29 Aug Cadiz CF A 4–0 W
21 Aug Valencia CF H 1–0 W
15 Aug RCD Mallorca H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Sep Athletic Club A 2–3 L
10 Sep Valencia CF H 2–1 W
04 Sep CA Osasuna A 1–2 L
27 Aug RCD Mallorca H 0–2 L
19 Aug RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 2–0 W
13 Aug FC Barcelona A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Athletic Club Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#12 Position #8
45 Points 50
38 Played 38
13 / 6 / 19 W / D / L 12 / 14 / 12
43 Scored 41
58 Conceded 44
-15 GD -3
1.18 PPG 1.32
34% Win % 32%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Athletic Club are 12th (45 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.39 Athletic Club xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club45% Draw27% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid28%
Actual: Athletic Club win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Athletic Club or Draw
72%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
55%
Athletic Club or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Athletic Club28% Draw48% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid24%
Actual: Athletic Club win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.2%
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Athletic Club

Handicap Athletic Club covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
29%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.