Thursday , 2 July 2026

RCD Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sun 20 Oct 2024 · 12:00 UTC Estadi Mallorca Son Moix 18,316 HT 45' · FT 45'
Vedat Muriqi 76' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

RCD Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano de MadridLa Liga at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.

Match Details

  • Referee Javier Alberola Rojas
  • Assistant 1 Alfredo Rodriguez Moreno (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Jorge Bueno Mateo (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct RCD Mallorca A 0–1 L
05 Oct Real Valladolid CF A 2–1 W
28 Sep CD Leganes H 1–1 D
25 Sep Girona FC A 0–0 D
22 Sep Club Atletico de Madrid H 1–1 D
16 Sep CA Osasuna H 3–1 W

Season Stats

RCD Mallorca Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#17 Position #8
42 Points 50
38 Played 38
11 / 9 / 18 W / D / L 12 / 14 / 12
47 Scored 41
57 Conceded 44
-10 GD -3
1.11 PPG 1.32
29% Win % 32%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RCD Mallorca are 17th (42 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix!
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' RCD Mallorca is showing some good football. However, RCD Mallorca are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Vedat Muriqi, as he is very good at scoring at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix with 13 goals in the last 10 games.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jorge de Frutos made 323 appearances and scored 17 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' The travelling Rayo Vallecano de Madrid supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 37' Abdul Mumin picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 38' The referee calls foul for Manu Morlanes. He receives a card.
  • 43' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 48' It looks surprising RCD Mallorca does not make any changes. Cyle Larin has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 53' With 0 assists to his name this season, Sergi Darder is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.
  • 54' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Pathe Ciss is hanging Gerard Gumbau on the field on 54 minute.
  • 55' Time for substitution for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid. Sergio Camello is replaced by Sergi Guardiola.
  • 60' The 30-year-old Augusto Batalla has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 64' A change in the Rayo Vallecano de Madrid ranks — Unai Lopez exits the field as Oscar Valentin enters on 64.
  • 69' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Arrasate will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 73' RCD Mallorca make a change. Roberto Navarro trudges off to be replaced by Valery on 73 minutes.
  • 74' Aridane Hernandez gets the nod from Rayo Vallecano de Madrid. He replaces Abdul Mumin and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 76' Goal! Vedat Muriqi scores his 45 goal in 192 matches.
  • 77' The RCD Mallorca manager makes a substitution. Manu Morlanes departs to be replaced by Omar Mascarell.
  • 82' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 84' RCD Mallorca ring the changes. Sergi Darder has done his job and it is now time for Antonio Sanchez to step up.
  • 89' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • Another three points for RCD Mallorca.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.29 RCD Mallorca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RCD Mallorca49% Draw28% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid23%
Actual: RCD Mallorca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

RCD Mallorca or Draw
78%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
51%
RCD Mallorca or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RCD Mallorca30% Draw52% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
9.1%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5.5%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.9%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — RCD Mallorca

Handicap RCD Mallorca covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 24% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 16% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

RCD Mallorca keeps clean sheet
42%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.