Thursday , 2 July 2026

Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sat 2 Dec 2023 · 15:15 UTC San Mames 44,689 HT 45' · FT 45'
Gorka Guruzeta 23' 1–0
Alfonso Espino og 47' 2–0
Inaki Williams 64' 3–0
Nico Williams 68' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano de MadridLa Liga at San Mames.

Match Details

  • Referee Francisco Hernandez Maeso (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Abraham Perez Dapia (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 4–0 W
27 Nov Girona FC A 1–1 D
10 Nov RC Celta de Vigo H 4–3 W
05 Nov Villarreal CF A 3–2 W
29 Oct Valencia CF H 2–2 D
22 Oct FC Barcelona A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec Athletic Club A 0–4 L
25 Nov FC Barcelona H 1–1 D
11 Nov Girona FC H 1–2 L
05 Nov Real Madrid CF A 0–0 D
29 Oct Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 2–2 D
22 Oct UD Las Palmas A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Athletic Club Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#12 Position #8
45 Points 50
38 Played 38
13 / 6 / 19 W / D / L 12 / 14 / 12
43 Scored 41
58 Conceded 44
-15 GD -3
1.18 PPG 1.32
34% Win % 32%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Athletic Club are 12th (45 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.79 Athletic Club xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Athletic Club to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club56% Draw24% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid20%
Actual: Athletic Club win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Athletic Club or Draw
80%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
44%
Athletic Club or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Athletic Club38% Draw45% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid17%
Actual: Athletic Club win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
5.7%
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Athletic Club

Handicap Athletic Club covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
37%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.