Saturday , 14 November 2026

Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sat 2 Dec 2023 · 15:15 UTC San Mames 44,689 HT 45' · FT 45'
Gorka Guruzeta 23' 1–0
Alfonso Espino og 47' 2–0
Inaki Williams 64' 3–0
Nico Williams 68' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — La Liga at San Mames.

Match Details

  • Referee Francisco Hernandez Maeso (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Abraham Perez Dapia (Spain)
6 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 14.2 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 4–0 W
27 Nov Girona FC A 1–1 D
10 Nov RC Celta de Vigo H 4–3 W
05 Nov Villarreal CF A 3–2 W
29 Oct Valencia CF H 2–2 D
22 Oct FC Barcelona A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec Athletic Club A 0–4 L
25 Nov FC Barcelona H 1–1 D
11 Nov Girona FC H 1–2 L
05 Nov Real Madrid CF A 0–0 D
29 Oct Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 2–2 D
22 Oct UD Las Palmas A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Athletic Club Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#7 Position #13
16 Points 12
11 Played 11
4 / 4 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 3 / 5
15 Scored 15
11 Conceded 21
+4 GD -6
1.45 PPG 1.09
36% Win % 27%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
45% Clean Sheets
Athletic Club this season
10% Clean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season

Athletic Club are 7th (16 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 13th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Athletic Club
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/3
61-75
3/–
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0-15
4/2
16-30
2/6
31-45
2/2
46-60
6/3
61-75
1/3
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Sergio Camello 7 G 2 A
Alvaro Garcia 3 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.26 Athletic Club xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Athletic Club to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club65% Draw20% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid15%
Actual: Athletic Club win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Athletic Club or Draw
86%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
35%
Athletic Club or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club49% Draw40% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid11%
Actual: Athletic Club win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
9.3%
3 – 0
8%
3 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
5.8%
4 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
4.1%
4 – 1
4.1%
1 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Athletic Club

Handicap Athletic Club covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 24% — 76%
-2 24% 20% 55%
-1.5 45% — 55%
-1 45% 23% 33%
-0.5 67% — 33%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.